ATL HANNA: Advisories

[cycloneye]

WTNT33 KNHC 051747
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 35A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
200 PM EDT FRI SEP 05 2008

...HANNA NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH...MOVING QUICKLY NORTHWARD...

A TROPICAL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA
NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY...
INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...INCLUDING ALL OF
CHESAPEAKE BAY....THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...AND DELAWARE
BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
PAMLICO SOUND. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PART OF THIS
AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY TO WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT THE CENTER OF HANNA IS FARTHER EAST THAT EARLIER REPORTED. AT
200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST OR ABOUT 160
MILES...255 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH FLORIDA AND ABOUT
310 MILES...500 KM...SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.

HANNA IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THE DAY.
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA
WILL BE NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...115 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL...IT WOULD ONLY TAKE A SMALL INCREASE IN
WIND SPEED FOR HANNA TO BECOME A HURRICANE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
AFTER LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 315 MILES...510 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES. NOAA BUOY 41010 REPORTED A PRESSURE OF
979.7 MB AS THE CENTER OF HANNA PASSED OVER IT A FEW HOURS AGO.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF HANNA.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES
FROM COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTHWARD THROUGH NORTH CAROLINA INTO
CENTRAL VIRGINA...MARYLAND...AND SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA.
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST AND COASTAL GEORGIA. THE POTENTIAL FOR EXTREMELY HEAVY
RAINFALL TOTALS AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE SIGNIFICANT FOR THE
NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AS HANNA
ADVANCES NORTHWARD ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE THERE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...29.8 N...78.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[Brent]

TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
2100 UTC FRI SEP 05 2008

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...INCLUDING ALL OF
CHESAPEAKE BAY....THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...AND THE
DELAWARE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
PAMLICO SOUND. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THIS AREA TONIGHT.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EXTENDED
NORTHWARD TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO MERRIMACK
RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 78.7W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 90NE 90SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT.......250NE 200SE 60SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 250SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.8N 78.7W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N 78.5W

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 33.2N 78.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 60SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 36.7N 76.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...250NE 200SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 40.7N 72.4W...OVER WATER EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 175SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 44.5N 65.6W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...225NE 200SE 75SW 50NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 50.0N 47.5W...OVER WATER EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 51.0N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 52.5N 14.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.8N 78.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 PM EDT FRI SEP 05 2008

...HANNA STILL JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH...TROPICAL STORM WATCH
EXTENDED NORTHWARD...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...INCLUDING ALL OF
CHESAPEAKE BAY....THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...AND THE
DELAWARE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
PAMLICO SOUND. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THIS AREA TONIGHT.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EXTENDED
NORTHWARD TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO MERRIMACK
RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.7 WEST OR ABOUT 160
MILES...255 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND
ABOUT 240 MILES...385 KM...SOUTH OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR. THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST AND A FASTER FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA SHOULD CROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY...THEN MOVE
ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
BEFORE LANDFALL...IT WOULD ONLY TAKE A SMALL INCREASE IN WIND SPEED
FOR HANNA TO BECOME A HURRICANE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER
LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF HANNA.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES
FROM COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTHWARD THROUGH NORTH CAROLINA
THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...WHERE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST AND COASTAL GEORGIA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...30.8 N...78.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

TROPICAL STORM HANNA DISCUSSION NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 PM EDT FRI SEP 05 2008

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT HANNA IS JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH. THE
STEPPED FREQUENCY MICROWAVE REPORTED TWO AREAS OF WIND OF ABOUT 65
KT. HOWEVER...DROPSONDE DATA SUGGESTS THAT THE SFMR ESTIMATES WERE
A LITTLE TOO HIGH. THE MAXIMUM 850 MB FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS WERE 75
KT ABOUT 75 N MI EAST OF THE CENTER. THE LAST REPORTED CENTRAL
PRESSURE WAS 984 MB...UP A LITTLE FROM THIS MORNING. BASED ON ALL
THIS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 60 KT. IT SHOULD BE NOTED
THAT THERE IS NOT MUCH DIFFERENCE METEOROLOGICALLY BETWEEN A 60-KT
TROPICAL STORM AND A 65-KT HURRICANE.

THE MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT WOBBLY 360/17...WITH A RE-ANALYSIS OF
AIRCRAFT DATA SUGGESTING THIS MOTION BEGAN JUST AFTER THE 11Z
AIRCRAFT FIX. HANNA IS MOVING AROUND THE WESTERN END OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND SHOULD ENTER THE
WESTERLIES IN 24-36 HR. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN RECURVATURE TO THE
NORTHEAST AND ACCELERATION. ALL GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THIS
SCENARIO...AND THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT OUTLIERS AMONGST THE
DYNAMICAL MODELS. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS ADJUSTED A LITTLE TO
THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND LIES DOWN THE MIDDLE OF THE
GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.

VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT ARE STILL ISSUES FOR
HANNA...AND SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING APPEARS UNLIKELY BEFORE
LANDFALL. HOWEVER...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT A CONVECTIVE BURST
COULD CAUSE THE STORM TO REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH. THE CYCLONE
SHOULD WEAKEN AFTER LANDFALL AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN ABOUT 36
HR. THE GFS AND UKMET CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY OF
DEEPENING AS AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM LATE IN THE FORECAST
PERIOD...AND THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE 96 AND 120 HR FORECASTS.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 05/2100Z 30.8N 78.7W 60 KT
12HR VT 06/0600Z 33.2N 78.5W 60 KT
24HR VT 06/1800Z 36.7N 76.8W 50 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 07/0600Z 40.7N 72.4W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 07/1800Z 44.5N 65.6W 40 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 08/1800Z 50.0N 47.5W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 09/1800Z 51.0N 30.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 10/1800Z 52.5N 14.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[caneseddy]

000
WTNT43 KNHC 052038
TCDAT3
TROPICAL STORM HANNA DISCUSSION NUMBER 36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 PM EDT FRI SEP 05 2008

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT HANNA IS JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH. THE
STEPPED FREQUENCY MICROWAVE REPORTED TWO AREAS OF WIND OF ABOUT 65
KT. HOWEVER...DROPSONDE DATA SUGGESTS THAT THE SFMR ESTIMATES WERE
A LITTLE TOO HIGH. THE MAXIMUM 850 MB FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS WERE 75
KT ABOUT 75 N MI EAST OF THE CENTER. THE LAST REPORTED CENTRAL
PRESSURE WAS 984 MB...UP A LITTLE FROM THIS MORNING. BASED ON ALL
THIS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 60 KT. IT SHOULD BE NOTED
THAT THERE IS NOT MUCH DIFFERENCE METEOROLOGICALLY BETWEEN A 60-KT
TROPICAL STORM AND A 65-KT HURRICANE.

THE MOTION IS A SOMEWHAT WOBBLY 360/17...WITH A RE-ANALYSIS OF
AIRCRAFT DATA SUGGESTING THIS MOTION BEGAN JUST AFTER THE 11Z
AIRCRAFT FIX. HANNA IS MOVING AROUND THE WESTERN END OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND SHOULD ENTER THE
WESTERLIES IN 24-36 HR. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN RECURVATURE TO THE
NORTHEAST AND ACCELERATION. ALL GUIDANCE AGREES WITH THIS
SCENARIO...AND THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT OUTLIERS AMONGST THE
DYNAMICAL MODELS. THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS ADJUSTED A LITTLE TO
THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND LIES DOWN THE MIDDLE OF THE
GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.

VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT ARE STILL ISSUES FOR
HANNA...AND SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING APPEARS UNLIKELY BEFORE
LANDFALL. HOWEVER...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT A CONVECTIVE BURST
COULD CAUSE THE STORM TO REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH. THE CYCLONE
SHOULD WEAKEN AFTER LANDFALL AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN ABOUT 36
HR. THE GFS AND UKMET CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY OF
DEEPENING AS AN EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM LATE IN THE FORECAST
PERIOD...AND THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE 96 AND 120 HR FORECASTS.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 05/2100Z 30.8N 78.7W 60 KT
12HR VT 06/0600Z 33.2N 78.5W 60 KT
24HR VT 06/1800Z 36.7N 76.8W 50 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 07/0600Z 40.7N 72.4W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 07/1800Z 44.5N 65.6W 40 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 08/1800Z 50.0N 47.5W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 09/1800Z 51.0N 30.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 10/1800Z 52.5N 14.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[Brent]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 36A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
800 PM EDT FRI SEP 05 2008

...HANNA RACING NORTHWARD...HEAVY SQUALLS APPROACHING THE COAST OF
THE CAROLINAS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND
GEORGIA NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...INCLUDING ALL OF
CHESAPEAKE BAY....THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...AND THE
DELAWARE BAY.

THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF EDISTO BEACH
SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING
PAMLICO SOUND. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THIS AREA TONIGHT.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...
BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD...AND NANTUCKET.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST OR ABOUT 100
MILES...165 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND
ABOUT 200 MILES...320 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF WILMINGTON NORTH
CAROLINA.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON SATURDAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA SHOULD CROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
COAST OF THE UNITED STATES TONIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY...THEN MOVE
ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
BEFORE LANDFALL...IT WOULD ONLY TAKE A SMALL INCREASE IN WIND SPEED
FOR HANNA TO BECOME A HURRICANE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER
LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER WAS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF HANNA.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES
FROM COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTHWARD THROUGH NORTH CAROLINA
THROUGH THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...WHERE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST AND COASTAL GEORGIA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...31.6 N...79.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

[Brent]

TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
0300 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
NORTHWARD TO WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND INCLUDING NEW YORK HARBOR AND
LONG ISLAND SOUND.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF EDISTO
BEACH AND THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTHWARD
HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST TO WATCH HILL RHODE
ISLAND...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...ALL OF
CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...DELAWARE
BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR AND LONG ISLAND SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH
CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA EARLY SATURDAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF WATCH HILL
TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S
VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 79.1W AT 06/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 60SE 20SW 50NW.
34 KT.......225NE 175SE 60SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 120SW 60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.4N 79.1W AT 06/0300Z
AT 06/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.5N 79.3W

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 34.9N 78.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...250NE 175SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 39.0N 75.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 175SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 42.5N 69.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...225NE 175SE 25SW 25NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 46.5N 60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...225NE 200SE 75SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 50.0N 42.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 51.5N 27.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 55.0N 13.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.4N 79.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 05 2008

...HANNA HEADING TOWARD THE COAST OF SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA IN A
HURRY...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
NORTHWARD TO WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND...INCLUDING NEW YORK HARBOR AND
LONG ISLAND SOUND.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF EDISTO
BEACH AND THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTHWARD
HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST TO WATCH HILL RHODE
ISLAND...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...ALL OF
CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...DELAWARE
BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR AND LONG ISLAND SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...
INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. HURRICANE WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA EARLY SATURDAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF WATCH HILL
RHODE ISLAND TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING BLOCK
ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.1 WEST OR ABOUT 60
MILES... 95 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND
ABOUT 140 MILES...230 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF WILMINGTON NORTH
CAROLINA.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR. THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON
SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANNA SHOULD BE
MOVING ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA EARLY SATURDAY AND THEN MOVE
ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
BEFORE LANDFALL...IT WOULD ONLY TAKE A SMALL INCREASE IN WIND SPEED
FOR HANNA TO BECOME A HURRICANE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER
LANDFALL AND HANNA SHOULD BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL STORM BY EARLY
SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM
MAINLY TI THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF HANNA.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES
FROM COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA...NORTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL AND EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION AND SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...32.4 N...79.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

TROPICAL STORM HANNA DISCUSSION NUMBER 37
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
1100 PM EDT FRI SEP 05 2008

DATA FROM A RECONNAISSACE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE SURFACE PRESSURE
HAS DROPPED TO 978 MB BUT WINDS HAVE NOT INCREASED. INITIAL
INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 60 KNOTS. THE AREA OF STRONG WINDS HAS BEEN
SHRINKING SINCE HANNA APPEARS TO BE MORE TROPICAL AND THERE IS A
PERSISTENT AND LARGE AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. HANNA
COULD REACH THE COAST IN LESS THAN 12 HOURS AS A HURRICANE SINCE IT
ONLY NEEDS FIVE KNOTS TO BE ONE. HOWEVER...THERE IS NOT MUCH
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN A 60-KT TROPICAL STORM AND A 65-KT HURRICANE.

RADAR AND RECONNAISSANCE FIXES INDICATE THAT HANNA IS MOVING
NORTHWARD AT 17 KNOTS. THE CYCLONE IS ALREADY EMBEDDED IN A STRONG
SOUTHERLY AND SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...AND SOON HANNA SHOULD BEGIN TO
TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. AFTER
LANDFALL...AS HANNA BECOMES FULLY INVOLVED WITH THE MID-LATITUDE
FLOW...IT SHOULD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN ABOUT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
DURING THIS PERIOD...HANNA WILL BE MOVING VERY CLOSE TO OR OVER THE
NORTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 06/0300Z 32.4N 79.1W 60 KT
12HR VT 06/1200Z 34.9N 78.6W 50 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 07/0000Z 39.0N 75.0W 45 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 07/1200Z 42.5N 69.5W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 08/0000Z 46.5N 60.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 09/0000Z 50.0N 42.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 10/0000Z 51.5N 27.5W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 11/0000Z 55.0N 13.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

[Brent]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 37A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
200 AM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

...CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EDISTO BEACH SOUTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST TO WATCH HILL RHODE
ISLAND...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...ALL OF
CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C....DELAWARE
BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR AND LONG ISLAND SOUND.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NORTH CAROLINA...
INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF WATCH HILL
RHODE ISLAND TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING BLOCK
ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE NEAR LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.8 WEST
OR ABOUT 30 MILES...45 KM...SOUTH OF MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA
AND ABOUT 60 MILES...95 KM...SOUTHWEST OF WILMINGTON NORTH
CAROLINA.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH...34 KM/HR.
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS
WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED TODAY AND TOMORROW. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
HANNA WILL MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE BORDER BETWEEN SOUTH CAROLINA AND
NORTH CAROLINA WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...THEN MOVE ACROSS
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA LATER THIS MORNING...ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT....AND ALONG THE COAST OF THE
NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
BEFORE LANDFALL OF THE CENTER IN SOUTH OR NORTH CAROLINA...IT WOULD
ONLY TAKE A SMALL INCREASE IN WIND SPEED FOR HANNA TO BECOME A
HURRICANE. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER LANDFALL AND HANNA SHOULD
BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL STORM BY EARLY SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 260 MILES...415 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF THE PATH OF THE CENTER OF HANNA.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES
FROM COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD THROUGH CENTRAL AND EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING
WILL BE SIGNIFICANT FOR THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION AND SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL PLAINS OF
SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA THIS MORNING.

REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...33.3 N...78.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

[Brent]

TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
0900 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008

AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH ALONG THE COASTS OF
SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA IS DISCONTINUED...AND THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA
SOUTHWARD IS DISCONTINUED.

AT 500 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO
MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO MERRIMACK
RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...ALL
OF CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...DELAWARE
BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S
VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 78.3W AT 06/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 19 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......175NE 175SE 75SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 120SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 78.3W AT 06/0900Z
AT 06/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.4N 78.8W

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 37.3N 76.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 175SE 40SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 41.2N 72.2W...NEAR COAST
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...225NE 175SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 45.0N 64.8W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 100SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 48.2N 56.2W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 100SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 50.5N 38.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 54.5N 20.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 58.5N 11.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.4N 78.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 AM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

...HANNA MOVES ASHORE AS A TROPICAL STORM...

AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH ALONG THE COASTS OF
SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA IS DISCONTINUED...AND THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA
SOUTHWARD IS DISCONTINUED.

AT 500 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO
MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO MERRIMACK
RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...ALL
OF CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON D.C...DELAWARE
BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S
VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.3 WEST OR ABOUT 150
MILES...240 KM...NORTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 25
MILES... 45 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/HR.
A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TOMORROW. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF HANNA WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS
MORNING...ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT....
AND ALONG THE COAST OF THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND
SOUTHEASTERN CANADA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HANNA IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS BY LATE ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND
RECENT AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE DATA IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTS OF SOUTH
CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY. STORM
SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED
TODAY IN ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS AND IN CHESAPEAKE BAY...WHICH
WILL SUBSIDE TONIGHT AFTER HANNA QUICKLY PASSES TO THE NORTHEAST.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES
FROM CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH EASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...SOUTHERN NEW YORK...AND INTO SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.
THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THESE
REGIONS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...EASTERN VIRGINIA...AND SOUTHERN MARYLAND.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...34.4 N...78.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

TROPICAL STORM HANNA DISCUSSION NUMBER 38
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 AM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WSR-88D RADAR DATA...AND SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS...SHOW THAT THE CENTER OF HANNA CAME ASHORE AT ABOUT
0720 UTC NEAR THE BORDER BETWEEN SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA.
PRIOR TO LANDFALL...AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT MEASURED A
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 983 MB...BUT FLIGHT-LEVEL AND SFMR DATA DID NOT
REVEAL ANY INCREASE IN THE WINDS...NOR DID WSR-88D RADAR
VELOCITIES. THE INTENSITY APPEARED TO BE 55 TO 60 KT WHILE THE
CENTER WAS STILL OVER WATER...BUT NOW THAT IT IS INLAND THE MAXIMUM
WINDS HAVE PROBABLY COME DOWN TO ABOUT 50 KT. SLIGHT WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AS HANNA WILL BE MOVING ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THE EAST COAST
OF THE UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER AS HANNA BECOMES AN
EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHEASTERN CANADA.

HANNA IS ROUNDING THE MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC...TURNING RIGHT AND ACCELERATING. THE INITIAL MOTION
ESTIMATE IS ABOUT 020/19...BUT HANNA SHOULD TURN NORTHEASTWARD
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS IT ENTERS THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES.
THE NEW OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OF
THE PREVIOUS ONE...AND IS NOW CLOSE TO A CONSENSUS OF THE
TIGHTLY-CLUSTERED MODEL SOLUTIONS.



FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 06/0900Z 34.4N 78.3W 50 KT
12HR VT 06/1800Z 37.3N 76.7W 50 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 07/0600Z 41.2N 72.2W 45 KT...NEAR COAST
36HR VT 07/1800Z 45.0N 64.8W 45 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 08/0600Z 48.2N 56.2W 45 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 09/0600Z 50.5N 38.5W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 10/0600Z 54.5N 20.5W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 11/0600Z 58.5N 11.5W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

[cycloneye]

WTNT33 KNHC 061153
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 38A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
800 AM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

...CENTER OF HANNA MOVING QUICKLY THROUGH EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

AT 8 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FROM CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA TO
MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS...ALL OF CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...WASHINGTON
D.C...DELAWARE BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...BLOCK
ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.1 WEST OR ABOUT
20 MILES...30 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GOLDSBORO NORTH CAROLINA.
THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
RALEIGH NORTH CAROLINA.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/HR.
A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TOMORROW. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF HANNA WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS
MORNING...ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT....
AND ALONG THE COAST OF THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES AND
SOUTHEASTERN CANADA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...
80 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HANNA IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS BY LATE SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
FROM THE CENTER. GOLDSBORO RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 52
MPH...83 KM/HR.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTS OF SOUTH
CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY. STORM
SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED
TODAY IN ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS AND IN CHESAPEAKE BAY...WHICH
WILL SUBSIDE TONIGHT AFTER HANNA QUICKLY PASSES TO THE NORTHEAST.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES
FROM CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH EASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...SOUTHERN NEW YORK...AND INTO SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.
THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THESE
REGIONS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...EASTERN VIRGINIA...AND SOUTHERN MARYLAND.

REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...35.6 N...78.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[HURAKAN]

130
WTNT33 KNHC 061748
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 39A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
200 PM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

...CENTER OF HANNA MOVING TOWARD THE LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...

AT 2 PM EDT...1800 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FROM CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS...ALL OF CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC... WASHINGTON
D.C...DELAWARE BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...BLOCK
ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.6 WEST OR JUST
NORTHEAST OF WILLIAMSBURG VIRGINIA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT
55 MILES...90 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH...50 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF HANA WILL MOVE THROUGH THE EASTERN
MID-ATLANTIC STATES THIS AFTERNOON...NEAR OR OVER SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND NEAR THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SUNDAY
NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. HOWEVER...HANNA IS FORECAST TO LOSE TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
FROM THE CENTER. THERE ARE NUMEROUS REPORTS OF SUSTAINED WINDS OF
4O TO 45 MPH...65 TO 70 KM/HR...WITH GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH...80 TO
95 KM/HR...NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS INTO SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.18 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS AND ACCOMPANIED LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA. COASTAL STORM
SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND
NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ABLEMARLE SOUNDS...
SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES
FROM CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH EASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES...SOUTHERN NEW YORK...AND INTO SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.
THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THESE
REGIONS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...EASTERN VIRGINIA...SOUTHERN MARYLAND...DELAWARE...
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK TODAY.

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...37.6 N...76.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[Brent]

TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
2100 UTC SAT SEP 06 2008

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
SOUTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...ALL OF CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...
WASHINGTON D.C...DELAWARE BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND
SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 75.8W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 24 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 175SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 360SE 270SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N 75.8W AT 06/2100Z...INLAND
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.7N 76.7W...INLAND

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 41.7N 71.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 45.3N 64.6W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 48.3N 56.0W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 100SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 49.6N 47.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 100SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 51.5N 31.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 56.0N 17.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 60.0N 10.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N 75.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 PM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
SOUTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER TO MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND
ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...ALL OF CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...
WASHINGTON D.C...DELAWARE BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND
SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST OR JUST EAST
OF CAMBRIDGE MARYLAND. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 40 MILES...
65 KM...WEST-NORTHWEST OF OCEAN CITY MARYLAND AND ABOUT 100 MILES...
155 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ATLANTIC CITY NEW JERSEY.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF HANNA WILL CROSS THE EASTERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES THIS
EVENING...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
MORNING. THE CENTER IS FORECAST TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS. HOWEVER...HANNA IS FORECAST TO LOSE TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
FROM THE CENTER. WALLOPS ISLAND VIRGINIA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND
GUST OF 54 MPH...87 KM/HR.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS AND ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA. COASTAL STORM
SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND
NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ABLEMARLE SOUNDS...
SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
FROM THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH NEW
ENGLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE.
THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THESE
REGIONS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...38.5 N...75.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

TCDAT3
TROPICAL STORM HANNA DISCUSSION NUMBER 40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 PM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

THE CENTER OF HANNA IS MOVING OVER THE DELMARVA PENINSULA...
WITH RADAR DATA CONTINUING TO SHOW WIDESPREAD RAINBANDS OVER THE
NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. HOWEVER...THE CENTRAL CONVECTION IS
DECREASING...AND THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS RISEN TO 994 MB.
RECENT SURFACE OBSERVATIONS HAVE SHOWN 35-40 KT SUSTAINED WINDS.
SO...THE MAXIMUM INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED AT 45 KT ON THE PREMISE
THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS WERE NOT SAMPLED. AS BEFORE...WHILE LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS LIKELY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...HANNA IS
EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS IN 12-24 HOURS.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS NOW 040/23. HANNA IS ENTERING THE WESTERLIES
AND SHOULD ACCELERATE NORTHEASTWARD FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HR..FOLLOWED
BY A RAPID EASTWARD MOTION. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH SOME
DECELERATION IS POSSIBLE AFTER 96 HR. THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS FAIRLY
WELL CLUSTERED AROUND THIS SCENARIO...AND THE NEW FORECAST TRACK IS
ESSENTIALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 06/2100Z 38.5N 75.8W 45 KT...INLAND
12HR VT 07/0600Z 41.7N 71.8W 45 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 07/1800Z 45.3N 64.6W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 08/0600Z 48.3N 56.0W 45 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 08/1800Z 49.6N 47.2W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 09/1800Z 51.5N 31.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 10/1800Z 56.0N 17.5W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 11/1800Z 60.0N 10.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN

[Brent]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 40A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
800 PM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

...HANNA A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT RACES TOWARD NEW ENGLAND...

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
SOUTH OF CAPE HENLOPEN DELAWARE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM CAPE HENLOPEN NORTHWARD TO MERRIMACK RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY...NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG
ISLAND SOUND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.6 WEST OR NEAR
ATLANTIC NEW JERSEY. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 110 MILES...180
KM... SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NEW YORK CITY AND 120 MILES...195 KM
SOUTHWEST OF ISLIP NEW YORK.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF HANNA WILL CROSS THE EASTERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES
TONIGHT...AND MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
MORNING. THE CENTER IS FORECAST TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

INFORMATION FROM SHIPS...BUOYS...AND NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 55 MPH...93
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HOWEVER...HANNA IS FORECAST TO
LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS ON SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
...MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. DURING
THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...TWO SHIPS NEAR THE MOUTH OF DELAWARE BAY
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 49 MPH...80 KM/HR AND 46 MPH...74
KM/HR.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON A RECENT REPORT FROM
A NOAA BUOY IN DELAWARE BAY IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS AND ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA. COASTAL STORM
SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTS OF SOUTH CAROLINA AND
NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ABLEMARLE SOUNDS...
SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
FROM THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH NEW
ENGLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE.
THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THESE
REGIONS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...39.5 N...74.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...55 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

[Brent]

TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
0300 UTC SUN SEP 07 2008

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK NORTHWARD TO MERRIMACK RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...
BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.5N 73.4W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 26 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 992 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 85SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......150NE 175SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 360SE 150SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.5N 73.4W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 74.6W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 43.0N 68.8W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 85SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 46.4N 61.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 200SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 48.8N 53.2W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 100SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 50.0N 45.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 225SE 100SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 52.5N 28.3W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 56.5N 15.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 61.5N 11.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.5N 73.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
1100 PM EDT SAT SEP 06 2008

...HANNA PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS MOST OF NEW ENGLAND...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK NORTHWARD TO MERRIMACK RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING NEW YORK HARBOR...LONG ISLAND SOUND...
BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.4 WEST OR ABOUT 90
MILES...145 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE EASTERN TIP OF LONG ISLAND
AND ABOUT 135 MILES...220 KM...SOUTHWEST OF PROVIDENCE RHODE ISLAND.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH...48 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF HANNA WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT
AND SUNDAY MORNING... AND MOVE OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

INFORMATION FROM SHIPS...BUOYS...AND NOAA DOPPLER WEATHER RADARS
INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 55 MPH...93 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. HOWEVER...HANNA IS EXPECTED TO LOSE TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
...MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. DURING
THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS...REPORTS FROM SEVERAL SHIPS AND BUOYS
SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND INDICATE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH...72 KM/HR
TO 55 MPH...86 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS AND ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODS ACROSS
THE REGION.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...40.5 N...73.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

[Brent]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 41A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
200 AM EDT SUN SEP 07 2008

...HANNA BEGINNING TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...

AT 2 AM EDT...0600 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
FROM WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND SOUTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF WATCH HILL NORTHWARD TO MERRIMACK RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHA'S VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 41.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.9 WEST OR OVER
EXTREME EASTERN CONNECTICUT.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 33 MPH...54 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...OVER WATER WELL TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. HANNA IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
...TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS IN BAYS...IS EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODS ACROSS THE REGION.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE COASTAL AREAS OF
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...41.6 N...71.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 33 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[Brent]

TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
0900 UTC SUN SEP 07 2008

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE
DISCONTINUED.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.6N 70.0W AT 07/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 31 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 175SE 150SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 300SE 250SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 42.6N 70.0W AT 07/0900Z
AT 07/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 41.7N 71.7W

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 45.4N 64.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 175SE 175SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 48.4N 57.1W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 175SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 50.0N 50.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 200SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 51.0N 43.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...250NE 250SE 200SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 53.5N 27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 250SE 250SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0600Z 58.0N 16.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z...ABSORBED BY EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 42.6N 70.0W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HANNA ADVISORY NUMBER 42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 AM EDT SUN SEP 07 2008

...HANNA LOSES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AS IT MOVES THROUGH NEW
ENGLAND...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE
DISCONTINUED.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 42.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.0 WEST OR ABOUT 60
MILES...100 KM...NORTH OF CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS AND ABOUT 350 MILES
...560 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

HANNA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 36 MPH...57 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM
...MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.

HANNA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES ACROSS CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN MAINE EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...WITH THE RAINFALL ENDING ACROSS MAINE BY AROUND SUNRISE.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...42.6 N...70.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 36 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND
WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

TROPICAL STORM HANNA DISCUSSION NUMBER 42
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082008
500 AM EDT SUN SEP 07 2008

THE CLOUD PATTERN ASSOCIATED WITH HANNA IS SPREADING OUT WELL AHEAD
OF THE SURFACE CENTER...WITH THE CLOSEST DEEP CONVECTION NOW
DISPLACED ABOUT 125 NMI TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST. THE
CIRCULATION IS ALSO CLOSE TO...BUT NOT QUITE ENTANGLED WITH...A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY. BASED ON THE LOSS OF CONVECTION NEAR THE
CORE...HANNA IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED TO BE A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND
THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY.

MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 45 KT BASED ON SHIP REPORTS...AND
HANNA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A VIGOROUS EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
ITS PASSAGE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE GFS.

FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OCEAN PREDICTION
CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 07/0900Z 42.6N 70.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
12HR VT 07/1800Z 45.4N 64.5W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 08/0600Z 48.4N 57.1W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 08/1800Z 50.0N 50.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 09/0600Z 51.0N 43.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 10/0600Z 53.5N 27.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 11/0600Z 58.0N 16.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 12/0600Z...ABSORBED WITHIN EXTRATROPICAL LOW

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[Chacor]

From CHC at 1200:

WOCN31 CWHX 071200
POST-TROPICAL STORM HANNA INFORMATION STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE
CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE OF ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 9.00 AM ADT
SUNDAY 07 SEPTEMBER 2008.

THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 12.00 PM ADT

... POST-TROPICAL STORM HANNA TO CROSS THE MARITIMES
TODAY AND NEWFOUNDLAND TONIGHT...

1. CURRENT POSITION, STRENGTH, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MOTION

AT 9.00 AM ADT... POST-TROPICAL STORM HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 42.9 N AND LONGITUDE 68.7 W... ABOUT 80 NAUTICAL MILES
OR 155 KM EAST SOUTHEAST OF PORTLAND . MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 45 KNOTS... 83 KM/H... AND CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 995
MB. HANNA IS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 39 KNOTS... 72 KM/H.

2. FORECAST POSITION, CENTRAL PRESSURE AND STRENGTH

DATE TIME LAT LON MSLP MAX WIND
ADT MB KTS KMH
SEP 07 9.00 AM 42.9N 68.7W 995 45 83 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 07 3.00 PM 45.4N 64.5W 996 45 83 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 07 9.00 PM 46.8N 60.8W 996 45 83 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08 3.00 AM 47.9N 57.0W 996 45 83 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08 9.00 AM 48.9N 53.3W 994 45 83 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08 3.00 PM 49.5N 50.9W 991 45 83 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 08 9.00 PM 50.3N 48.8W 988 45 83 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 09 3.00 AM 51.3N 44.6W 985 50 93 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 09 9.00 AM 52.2N 40.2W 984 50 93 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 09 3.00 PM 53.2N 35.2W 984 50 93 POST-TROPICAL
SEP 09 9.00 PM 54.2N 30.2W 984 50 93 POST-TROPICAL

3. PUBLIC WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
POST-TROPICAL STORM HANNA IS BRINGING PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAIN TO THE CENTRAL MARITIMES. RAINFALL WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT
FOR SOUTHERN NEW BRUNSWICK..PEI AND NORTHERN AND WESTERN NOVA
SCOTIA. TOTAL RAINFALLS OF UP TO 130 MM ARE POSSIBLE LOCALLY
ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW BRUNSWICK. WINDS GUSTING UP TO 70 KM/H
CAN BE EXPECTED OVER NOVA SCOTIA. WINDS WILL NOT BE MUCH OF A
FACTOR OVER NEW BRUNSWICK.

RAIN AT TIMES HEAVY HAS BEGUN OVER SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND AND
WILL PERSIST OVER PORTIONS OF THE ISLAND TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER EASTERN PORTIONS
OF NEWFOUNDLAND AS POST-TROPICAL HANNA MOVES EAST OF THE
ISLAND ON MONDAY. RAINFALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED BY THE
NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR WEATHER OFFICE FOR PORTIONS OF
NEWFOUNDLAND AS A RESULT.

4. MARINE WEATHER IMPACTS AND WARNINGS SUMMARY
GALES ARE FORECAST OVER MARITIME WATERS SOUTH OF THE TRACK OF
POST-TROPICAL STORM HANNA TODAY. WAVE HEIGHTS ASSOCIATED WITH
THESE WINDS SHOULD REACH NEAR 5 METRES IN THE OFFSHORE REGIONS
BY LATE SUNDAY.

GALES WILL SPREAD INTO EASTERN AND SOUTHERN NEWFOUNDLAND WATERS
TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

5. TECHNICAL DISCUSSION FOR METEOROLOGISTS

A. ANALYSIS
THE CENTRE OF HANNA IS OVER THE GULF OF MAINE. THE LATEST
RADAR DATA SHOWS THE BULK OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LEFT
OF THE STORM'S TRACK WHICH IS TYPICAL FOR EXTRATROPICAL
TRANSITIONING SYSTEMS. A COUPLE OF AUTOMATIC REPORTING
STATIONS - POINT LEPREAU AND MECHANIC SETTLEMENT IN SOUTHERN
NEW BRUNSWICK - HAVE OBSERVED RAINFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF 30
MILLIMETERS PER HOUR IN THE PAST 3 HOURS. THE STRONGEST WINDS
OBSERVED ARE TO THE RIGHT OF HANNA'S TRACK..ALSO TYPICAL OF
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION.

B. PROGNOSTIC
THE GREATEST CONCERN WITH POST-TROPICAL HANNA IS RAINFALL.
COMPUTER MODELS ARE STILL CONSISTENT WITH REGARDS TO THE TRACK
AND INTENSITY OF HANNA..WITH THE CONSENSUS TAKING THE CENTRE
OF POST-TROPICAL HANNA ALONG A PATH IN THE VICINITY OF THE BAY
OF FUNDY AROUND NOON TODAY AND OVER CABOT STRAIT NEAR MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. POST-TROPICAL HANNA WILL THEN TRACK NORTHEASTWARD TO
LIE NEAR THE EAST COAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND MONDAY MORNING. A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH INTERACTING WITH POST-TROPICAL HANNA WILL CAUSE
THE SYSTEM TO SLOW DOWN AND INTENSIFY MONDAY. MONDAY NIGHT
POST-TROPICAL HANNA WILL EXIT CANADIAN WATERS AS AN INTENSIFYING
BAROCLINIC STORM OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC.

C. PUBLIC WEATHER
SEE ABOVE.

D. MARINE WEATHER
THESE WIND RADII REPRESENT BOTH HANNA AND THE LARGE SCALE CIRCULATION
AT THE OUTER EDGES OF THE STORM.

PREDICTED WIND RADII (NM)
TIME GALES STORMS HURRICANE
NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW NE SE SW NW
07/12Z 0 175 150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
07/18Z 0 175 175 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/00Z 0 175 175 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/06Z 175 175 175 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/12Z 200 225 175 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
08/18Z 250 250 200 60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
09/00Z 250 250 200 90 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
09/06Z 250 250 200 150 0 0 90 90 0 0 0 0
09/12Z 250 250 150 150 0 0 90 90 0 0 0 0
09/18Z 250 250 150 150 0 0 90 90 0 0 0 0
10/00Z 250 250 150 150 0 0 90 90 0 0 0 0


END HATT/LAFORTUNE/SAULNIER