Ex Invest 96L - Bay of Campeche

[Portastorm]

*cough* Humberto

Shut yer mouth!

[HURAKAN]

Maybe tomorrow?

They don't mention anything in today's update for tomorrow.

[cpdaman]

well with hanna being a little tiny swirl now devoid of much convection and not looking to change in at least 24 hours, and gustav being the main show, this 96L appears to have taken over second place now, and well deserved because it is so close to land and we really have no idea it's strength.

a north motion would certainly concern me.....boy and confuse everyone along the gulf coast

[HouTXmetro]

Yes, I'm wondering if the same High is steering 96L and Gustav and what happens if 96L somehow slides North?

[Just Joshing You]

28/1515 UTC 19.4N 95.1W T1.5/1.5 96L

[FireBird]

I'm still gawking at this! I think if it's a slow mover like the other storms this season, we may have a TD by landfall (if it maintains current course)...
Just reinforces the need to be prepared at a moment's notice.
BTW, I picked up a site showing models developing 96L as if it were an area off N. Carolina rather than BOC. Anything happening there that could be causing confusion?

[HURAKAN]

IBTW, I picked up a site showing models developing 96L as if it were an area off N. Carolina rather than BOC. Anything happening there that could be causing confusion?

There hasn't been a model run for 96L yet. The old 96L was likely Cristóbal!

[KWT]

Very good T numbers, not far off being a TD if thats the case, think this probably has caught a few by surprise though I do recall some people mentioning it before. Looks like we've got one of those near Mexico rapid developers.

[Buck]

I'm interested to hear what they'll have to say at 2pm.

[CrazyC83]

I'd send an emergency Recon flight out there...IMO this is TD9...

[HURAKAN]

Breaking News: Veracruz, México, reporting West 5 mph and 1011 mb.

Latest Noon (16) Aug 28 77 (25) 75 (24) 29.87 (1011) W 5 light rain

Link: http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MMVR.html

[CrazyC83]

Breaking News: Veracruz, México, reporting West 5 mph and 1011 mb.

Latest Noon (16) Aug 28 77 (25) 75 (24) 29.87 (1011) W 5 light rain

Link: http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MMVR.html

I wonder if the NHC will find out about that?

I'd be initiating advisories right now with a Tropical Storm Warning for the coastal areas personally...

[KWT]

I think given the Dvorak estimates of 1.5 plus suggestions of a westerly wind may well be enough for it to get upgraded however I think the NHC would like to see the westerly wind hold for a little while.

[Buck]

I think recon is a great idea right about now.

[HURAKAN]

Loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-vis.html

Do you see what I see?

[Weatherfreak000]

Organizing quite quickly! May make a run for TS before landfall. Been a while since we got a quick BOC TS.

[Buck]

Loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-vis.html

Do you see what I see?

Whoa!

[Dean4Storms]

West bound into MX. and will have little time to develop into anything much more than a weak to mid range TS IMO.

[HouTXmetro]

Loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-vis.html

Do you see what I see?

If its thats far out, plenty of time to blow up into a named storm.

[KWT]

Looks like its heading NW, no doubt thats a TD right here and now and probably close to a TS based on that presentation, wonder if this will strengthen as rapidly as Lorenzo did last year?