CPAC INVEST 95C - Discussion (SSW of Hawaii)

[HURAKAN]

Looking pretty nice.

[HURAKAN]

491
WHXX01 KMIA 011859
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1859 UTC MON SEP 1 2008

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO CPHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

CENTRAL PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (CP952008) 20080901 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
080901 1800 080902 0600 080902 1800 080903 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 11.0N 157.7W 11.0N 159.0W 11.1N 160.3W 11.3N 161.8W
BAMD 11.0N 157.7W 11.7N 158.8W 12.9N 160.1W 14.6N 161.6W
BAMM 11.0N 157.7W 11.4N 159.0W 12.1N 160.1W 13.1N 161.4W
LBAR 11.0N 157.7W 11.5N 158.2W 12.7N 158.7W 14.3N 158.8W
SHIP 25KTS 27KTS 30KTS 31KTS
DSHP 25KTS 27KTS 30KTS 31KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
080903 1800 080904 1800 080905 1800 080906 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 11.4N 163.6W 11.3N 167.5W 10.8N 171.6W 10.5N 176.0W
BAMD 16.3N 163.1W 19.6N 165.6W 21.5N 167.7W 22.9N 170.4W
BAMM 14.0N 162.6W 15.4N 165.0W 15.9N 167.6W 16.2N 170.6W
LBAR 16.2N 159.2W 17.1N 159.2W 16.6N 160.8W 15.6N 168.2W
SHIP 31KTS 30KTS 36KTS 41KTS
DSHP 31KTS 30KTS 36KTS 41KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 11.0N LONCUR = 157.7W DIRCUR = 265DEG SPDCUR = 5KT
LATM12 = 11.5N LONM12 = 156.8W DIRM12 = 231DEG SPDM12 = 6KT
LATM24 = 12.0N LONM24 = 155.9W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1011MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 60NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
NNNN

[bob rulz]

Wondering when this would finally get a thread. It's been so busy in the Atlantic I think pretty much everyone is overlooking this.

1000 AM HST MON SEP 1 2008

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A weak tropical disturbance centered about 715 miles south of Honolulu, Hawaii is moving to the west near 5 mph. Strong upper level winds continue to displace most of the thunderstorms associated with this system to the north and east of the exposed low level circulation this morning. These strong upper level winds are forecast to maintain conditions that are unfavorable for significant development of this disturbance as it moves slowly toward the west through early Wednesday.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through early Wednesday morning.