WPAC HAGUPIT (PAGASA: Nina): Typhoon - Discussion

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

[HurricaneBill]

With the eye moving parallel to the coast, a lot of coastal areas will get the eyewall.

[HURAKAN]

Landfall.

[Dave C]

The way the coastline is shaped near landfall that would seem to be devastating for surge. Just west of landfall the coastline turns south towards Hainan island. All that water must have been pushed into that area silmilar to Texas when Ike pushed west with flooding many hrs before landfall.

[CrazyC83]

Looks to have weakened a bit as the eye was half ashore.

[wyq614]

CMA: Hagupit has made landfall in Dianbai County, Guangdong Province at 2245 UTC, 23 Sept. 2008 with the maximum sustained winds of 48 m/s gusting to more than 60 m/s

An island off the coast of Zhanjiang City, Guangdong Province has experienced a rainfall of 205 millimetres within 1 hour.

[wyq614]

[CrazyC83]

CMA: Hagupit has made landfall in Dianbai County, Guangdong Province at 2245 UTC, 23 Sept. 2008 with the maximum sustained winds of 48 m/s gusting to more than 60 m/s

An island off the coast of Zhanjiang City, Guangdong Province has experienced a rainfall of 205 millimetres within 1 hour.

That is insane! Going to be massive flooding for sure!

It probably weakened to a Cat 3 before the eye was fully ashore.

[Chacor]

For what it's worth, 48 m/s = 93 kt. CMA gives winds in two-minute averages so it's not too far off a one-minute average. This is distinctly lower than JTWC's 120 kts. Even JMA's 90 kt and HKO's 95 kt in 10-min convert to 105-110 kt 10-min.

[Typhoon Hunter]

Hi everyone! Geoff Mackley and I hired a car yesterday and drove to the south of Hong Kong island to Stanley and Shek O to try and document the worst of Hagupit. Conditions were much more fierce than I was expecting. We also shot video at the Star Ferry pier in Central. It was a wild night.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m2JPuFyxKpI

[Chacor]

WTPQ21 RJTD 240300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0814 HAGUPIT (0814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 240300UTC 21.7N 109.9E GOOD
MOVE W 17KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
50KT 80NM SOUTHEAST 50NM NORTHWEST
30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 250300UTC 22.1N 105.5E 70NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

[zaqxsw75050]

Hi everyone! Geoff Mackley and I hired a car yesterday and drove to the south of Hong Kong island to Stanley and Shek O to try and document the worst of Hagupit. Conditions were much more fierce than I was expecting. We also shot video at the Star Ferry pier in Central. It was a wild night.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m2JPuFyxKpI

Very nice video!

[HURAKAN]

At least one dead, 145,000 evacuated as typhoon hits south China
Submitted by Sahil Nagpal on Wed, 09/24/2008 - 10:23.

Beijing - At least one person died and tens of thousands were evacuated Wednesday as Typhoon Hagupit brought gales and torrential rain to much of southern China.

The island province of Hainan evacuated about 107,000 people from vulnerable areas while two cities in nearby Guangdong province moved more than 38,000 as the typhoon approached, news reports said.

Hagupit made landfall in Guangdong's Dianbai county near the city of Maoming, packing winds of more than 200 kilometres per hour at its centre, the government's Xinhua news agency quoted meteorologists as saying.

One man died in Dianbai after he was blown down while trying to repair the roof of his house, the local Yangcheng Evening News said.

Gales uprooted many trees and tore down billboards while officials in Maoming said a fishing boat sank off Dianbai but no casualties were reported, Xinhua said.

All schools were closed in the worst-hit areas of Guangdong, and streets were deserted during the morning rush hour, it said.

Some reports said the typhoon was the worst to buffet Guangdong in a decade.

It weakened into a tropical storm later Wednesday, but heavy rain was forecast to continue on Thursday, bringing the risk of floods and landslides.

A team of 130 police officers battled for four hours early Wednesday to rescue about 50 people stranded when their village was flooded, the agency said.

Guangdong on Tuesday had called back to port more than 50,000 fishing vessels with nearly 200,000 crew.

Most flights in Guangdong's busy Shenzhen airport were cancelled Tuesday night and Wednesday morning, and all flights were cancelled at the main airport in Haikou, Hainan's capital.

Hagupit also grounded flights, closed schools and injured at least 58 people as it skirted Hong Kong early Wednesday.

Typhoon Hagupit, whose name means "lashing" in Filipino, caused eight deaths Monday when it raged across the northern Philippines before crossing the South China Sea. (dpa)

[Chacor]

WTPQ21 RJTD 241200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0814 HAGUPIT (0814) DOWNGRADED FROM STS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 241200UTC 21.9N 107.9E FAIR
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 180NM SOUTHEAST 70NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 251200UTC 21.7N 104.5E 70NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

Still deep convection.

[HenkL]

GUANGZHOU, Sept. 24 (Xinhua) -- Three people died and two were missing as Typhoon Hagupit made landfall in south China's Guangdong Province early on Wednesday, local authorities said.

More than 4.94 million people in Maoming, Yangjiang, Zhuhai and Jiangmen cities were affected and 7,915 houses collapsed.

A Guangdong Provincial Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters official said 180,260 hectares of crops were affected and 38,980 ha were ruined.

He said 870 factories stopped production and 34 roads were cut off. In addition, 32 reservoirs and 287.8 km of dams were damaged. The direct economic loss was 5.45 billion yuan (800 million U.S. dollars), he said.

Also, 99 hydro stations recorded more than 100 millimeters of rain and 258 stations recorded more than 50 mm of rain on Wednesday, he said.

Er Jingping, general secretary of the State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters and deputy head of the Water Resources Ministry, went to Guangdong to guide the rescue work on Wednesday morning.

The 14th strong typhoon of the year landed in Dianbai County in the city of Maoming at 6:45 a.m. with winds of more than 200 km per hour at its eye, the Guangdong Provincial Meteorological Bureau said.

source: Xinhua

[CrazyC83]

Those numbers are sure to rise as well.

[Chacor]

WTPQ21 RJTD 250000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 0814 HAGUPIT (0814)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 250000UTC 23N 106E
MOVE W SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA =