ATL LAURA: Tropical Storm - Discussion

[cycloneye]

BEGIN
NHC
invest_al952008.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
200809281228
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 95, 2008, DB, O, 2008092812, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL952008
AL, 95, 2008092812, , BEST, 0, 368N, 424W, 45, 0, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,

Thread at Talking Tropics Forum:

viewtopic.php?f=31&t=103394&st=0&sk=t&sd=a

[HURAKAN]

188
ABNT20 KNHC 281200
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
KYLE...LOCATED ABOUT 165 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET
MASSACHUSETTS.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE A LARGE DISORGANIZED AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND
SHOWERS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO
OCCUR UNTIL THE LOW DRIFTS SLOWLY NORTHWARD AWAY FROM YUCATAN.
HEAVY RAINS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ...BELIZE AND GUATEMALA.

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A LARGE NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED
OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 650 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE WESTERNMOST AZORES ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BLAKE

[cycloneye]

28/1145 UTC 36.9N 42.3W ST2.5 95L -- Atlantic Ocean

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html

[HURAKAN]

45 knots.

[Chacor]

Not shabby at all right now.

[Ed Mahmoud]

Looks more like a TC from satellite than Kyle with what looks like banding developing.

[Cyclone1]

Interesting area... I could see a Laura from this.

[HURAKAN]

A lot of popping but still broad.

[HURAKAN]

[CrazyC83]

It just needs some deep convection.

[RL3AO]

Every season recently seems to have a few of these storms. 2008 still looking for its first.

[cycloneye]

This Panoramic view shows how big the overall circulation of this system is.Its so big the extension in area that the tail goes down to Trinidad and Tobago.

[Just Joshing You]

Holy **** that's a big circulation.

Kyle looks bad in that picture.

[CrazyC83]

This thing is gargantuan.

[sunnyday]

Isn't it unusual for a potential storm to form in this area?

[RL3AO]

Isn't it unusual for a potential storm to form in this area?

Not really. There seems to be one or two of these storms every season.

[CrazyC83]

Isn't it unusual for a potential storm to form in this area?

Yes it is somewhat unusual. The rare thing is that it is moving southwest...shades of Epsilon?

[Cyclone1]

Is it just me or does it feel like late-October tropics? Nor'easter style hurricane and a subtropical invest in the mid Atlantic. Not very September-ish.

Maybe signs of an early end to the season?

[cycloneye]

KNHC 281756
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN SEP 28 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
KYLE...LOCATED ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PORTLAND MAINE.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA IS
PRODUCING DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM.
HEAVY RAINS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MEXICO...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...BELIZE AND GUATEMALA.

THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE NON-TROPICAL LOW LOCATED OVER
THE CENTRAL NORTH ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 700 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
THE WESTERNMOST AZORES ISLANDS ARE SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF
ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM IS SLOWLY ACQUIRING TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A SUBTROPICAL OR
TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BLAKE

[El Nino]

Laura not far away ...