WPAC HIGOS: Tropical Storm - Discussion

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Chacor
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#21 Postby Chacor » Tue Sep 30, 2008 9:28 pm

Still a minimal TS.

WTPQ22 RJTD 010000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0817 HIGOS (0817)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 010000UTC 14.0N 123.4E POOR
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM NORTH 60NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 020000UTC 16.1N 118.9E 75NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 1000HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
48HF 030000UTC 18.1N 115.1E 110NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 040000UTC 19.8N 113.6E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =
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#22 Postby Chacor » Wed Oct 01, 2008 1:53 am

WTPQ22 RJTD 010600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0817 HIGOS (0817)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 010600UTC 14.4N 122.5E POOR
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM NORTHWEST 60NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 020600UTC 16.2N 117.9E 75NM 70%
MOVE WNW 12KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 030600UTC 18.0N 114.4E 110NM 70%
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 040600UTC 19.8N 113.0E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =

JMA now forecasting a typhoon.
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#23 Postby Chacor » Wed Oct 01, 2008 7:49 am

No longer doing so:

WTPQ22 RJTD 011200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0817 HIGOS (0817)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 011200UTC 13.9N 121.3E POOR
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM NORTHWEST 60NM SOUTHEAST
FORECAST
24HF 021200UTC 15.5N 117.2E 75NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 031200UTC 17.8N 114.2E 110NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 041200UTC 20.0N 113.4E 160NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =
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#24 Postby Chacor » Wed Oct 01, 2008 2:11 pm

WTPQ22 RJTD 011800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0817 HIGOS (0817)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 011800UTC 15.0N 119.0E POOR
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 021800UTC 17.0N 114.9E 75NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 031800UTC 18.9N 112.5E 110NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 041800UTC 20.8N 112.7E 220NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =
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#25 Postby Chacor » Wed Oct 01, 2008 11:45 pm

WTPQ22 RJTD 020300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0817 HIGOS (0817)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 020300UTC 15.4N 117.6E POOR
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 1002HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 90NM
FORECAST
24HF 030300UTC 18.1N 113.7E 75NM 70%
MOVE NW 12KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 040000UTC 19.3N 112.4E 110NM 70%
MOVE NNW 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 050000UTC 20.8N 112.5E 220NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT =

Higos still taking its time to consolidate.
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#26 Postby Chacor » Sun Oct 05, 2008 7:19 am

Never made it above 35 kt again and weakened before landfall. Has spent the last three days meandering near Hong Kong. Still a TD:


TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA AT 22N 113E EAST SLOWLY.
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