ATL OMAR: Remnant Low - Discussion

[Blown Away]

The TAFB now shows 98L as a low and generally moves 98L towards SW Haiti in 72 hours. Below is the 24, 48, and 72 hour forecast positions:

[cycloneye]

Floater 2:

[cycloneye]

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
417 PM AST SAT OCT 11 2008

PRZ001>007-012-013-VIZ001-002-120300-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FF.A.0013.081011T2017Z-081013T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAN JUAN AND VICINITY-NORTHEAST-SOUTHEAST-EASTERN INTERIOR-
NORTH CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE AND VICINITY-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
ST. THOMAS/ST. JOHN/ADJACENT ISLANDS-ST CROIX-
INCLUDING THE MUNICIPALITIES AND/OR ISLANDS OF...SAN JUAN...
CAROLINA...FAJARDO...HUMACAO...GUAYAMA...ARROYO...YABUCOA...
SALINAS...COCO...CAGUAS...ARECIBO...VEGA BAJA...DORADO...COAMO...
COROZAL...AIBONITO...VILLALBA...JAYUYA...PONCE...CULEBRA...
ESPERANZA...ANNA`S RETREAT...CHARLOTTE AMALIE...
CHARLOTTE AMALIE EAST...CHARLOTTE AMALIE WEST...CRUZ BAY...
CHRISTIANSTED...FREDERIKSTED...FREDERIKSTED SOUTHEAST...GROVE PLACE
417 PM AST SAT OCT 11 2008

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN PUERTO
RICO...CENTRAL INTERIOR...CULEBRA...EASTERN INTERIOR...NORTH
CENTRAL...NORTHEAST...PONCE AND VICINITY...SAN JUAN AND
VICINITY...SOUTHEAST AND VIEQUES. IN THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...ST CROIX AND ST THOMAS...ST JOHN AND THE ADJACENT
ISLANDS.

* THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING

* AN ACTIVE TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE SLOWLY WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS
THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
AND PROBABLY CONTINUING INTO MONDAY. THIS FEATURE AND ITS
ASSOCIATED DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL INTERACT WITH A MID TO
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND LOCAL EFFECTS...TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS. THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS
WILL BECOME MORE FREQUENT ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...
CULEBRA...VIEQUES AND THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO LATE
TONIGHT...AND THEN ACROSS THE REST OF PUERTO RICO EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...WITH ACTIVE WEATHER THEN CONTINUING ACROSS ALL OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY EVENING. THE POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PARTS OF THE
LOCAL ISLANDS. THE LOCAL SOILS REMAIN NEAR SATURATION FROM
RECENT RAINS AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL WILL BE INCREASING.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA...WHICH MAY LEAD TO FLOODING. IF YOU
ARE IN THE WATCH AREA...CHECK YOUR PREPAREDNESS REQUIREMENTS...
ESPECIALLY IF YOU HAVE INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS. KEEP
INFORMED...AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED
OR IF A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED.

PEOPLE IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE AWARE OF THE
POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. AVOID LOW LYING AREAS...AND BE
CAREFUL WHEN APPROACHING HIGHWAY DIPS AND UNDERPASSES. THE
HEAVY RAIN COULD ALSO CAUSE MUDSLIDES IN AREAS OF STEEP TERRAIN.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TV...RADIO OR
YOUR CABLE TELEVISION PROVIDER FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND
CLIMATE INFORMATION...IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU OR AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV.

$$

FC/BCS

[expat2carib]

Here on Dominica it's constant -non-stop- moderate rain.

Not like yesterday where it was periods of torrential rains and heavy t-storms.

No wind.

[Blown Away]

Low clearly near 13N/65W.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html

[cycloneye]

839
ABNT20 KNHC 112348
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER CENTERED ABOUT 1600 MILES EAST OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS
SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT. A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION COULD FORM IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT A BROAD LOW
PRESSURE AREA HAS FORMED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEAS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. WHILE THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER
ACTIVITY IS CURRENTLY POORLY ORGANIZED...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER BEVEN

[captain east]

Two orange's out there now...
I don't think 97L deserves a medium chance, a low chance at the maximum for it is a sheared mess traveling into colder waters.

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 112356
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 PM EDT SAT OCT 11 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
2315 UTC.

THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY ALONG 63W S OF 19N AT
1200 UTC ON 11 OCT 2008 IS REPOSITIONED FURTHER TO THE W. AT
1800 UTC ON 11 OCT 2008...THIS WAVE IS ALONG 65W S OF 19N MOVING
W NEAR 10 KT. THIS WAVE HAS PUSHED TO THE W OF A 1008 MB SURFACE
LOW LOCATED IN THE E CARIBBEAN NEAR 13N63W. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
AND A RECENT ASCAT PASS DEPICT COUNTERCLOCKWISE CURVATURE IN THE
SURFACE FLOW ALONG WAVE AXIS. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 120 NM E OF THE WAVE AXIS AND IS BEING ENHANCED BY A
1008 MB SURFACE LOW NEAR 13N63W.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
A 1008 MB SURFACE LOW IS LOCATED IN THE SE CARIBBEAN NEAR
13N63W...AND IS SUPPORTING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM
10N-16N BETWEEN 56W-64W...AFFECTING THE LESSER ANTILLES. THIS
CONVECTION IS BEING ENHANCED BY DEEP MOISTURE IN SW FLOW ALOFT
SE OF AN UPPER LOW NEAR 20N66W. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY TO THE NW.

[cycloneye]

00:00 UTC Best Track:

AL, 98, 2008101200, , BEST, 0, 133N, 650W, 20, 1007, DB

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/

[cycloneye]

11/2345 UTC 13.6N 63.7W T1.0/1.0 98L -- Atlantic Ocean

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html

[Gustywind]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
Winds are abating a bit, maybe chances to see something decent....
http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... Tagant.jpg

[Chacor]

Northwest suggests another difficult period of rains for Haiti.

[Blown Away]

Convection is popping on the NE side of the circulation..
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html

[Gustywind]

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... Tagant.jpg
No more changes, moving very slowly, nothing here purely calm!
Convection trying to refire just a bit tonight between Barbados and Dominica, so we can take a breath before a newly round of showers and tstorms?
Wait and see as usual, we never know with this feature, stay safe and keep an eye on 98 L....

[gatorcane]

TAFB shows 98L headed WNW in the Caribbean to a position just E of Jamaica in 72 hours:

[Gustywind]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 120603
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE....IS LOCATED ABOUT 240 MILES WEST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THE
ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS DISORGANIZED.
SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE
SYSTEM DRIFTS NORTHWESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$

FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 120611
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 AM EDT SUN OCT 12 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
0515 UTC.

THE TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 66W S OF 19N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT.
THIS WAVE HAS PUSHED TO THE W OF A 1008 MB SURFACE LOW LOCATED
IN THE E CARIBBEAN NEAR 14N64W. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND A ASCAT
PASS DEPICTS COUNTERCLOCKWISE CURVATURE ALONG THE WAVE AXIS.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 11N-15N
BETWEEN 60W-64W.

[Gustywind]

000
FXCA62 TJSJ 120834
AFDSJU

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
434 AM AST SUN OCT 12 2008

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE SOUTH OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
CONTINUE MAINLY ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS OVERNIGHT. WITH AN
EASTERLY LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW...SOME OF THESE SHOWERS AFFECTED FROM
TIME TO TIME THE EASTERN AND SOUTHEASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AS
WELL AS VIEQUES...CULEBRA AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS. HOWEVER...THE
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ACTIVITY WERE GENERALLY
MINIMAL. A GENERAL INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE FA TODAY AS THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
TROPICAL WAVE CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS THE REGION. THIS MOISTURE IN
COMBINATION WITH DAYTIME HEATING...LOCAL ISLAND EFFECTS AND GOOD
UPPER LEVEL DYNAMIC...WILL PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
LOCAL ISLANDS TODAY AND TONIGHT.

AS INDICATED IN THE PREVIOUS AFD...THE LONG AWAITED WET WEATHER
PERIOD FOR OUR REGION IS JUST BEGINNING TO UNFOLD TODAY AND TONIGHT.
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW (TUTT) NORTH OF PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKENS TODAY. AS THIS HAPPEN...THE CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION ALOFT FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS WILL BE REPLACE BY AN
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION...PROVIDING MORE FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL
CONDITIONS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE TROPICAL WAVE TO OUR SOUTH
THIS MORNING. IN FACT...LATEST TWDAT ANALYSIS INDICATE THAT A BROAD
LOW PRESSURE AREA HAS FORMED OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN NEAR 14N64W
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS TROPICAL WAVE AND SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS
NORTHWESTWARD.

LATEST GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATED A VERY WET WEATHER
PATTERN ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...AND LASTING
POSSIBLE UNTIL THE END OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK...MAINTAINING THE
LOCAL ISLANDS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF VERY DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE.
LATEST GFS...NAM AND UKMET MODEL GUIDANCES DEVELOP A LOW PRESSURE
CENTER ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS SOUTHWEST OF PUERTO RICO EARLY
MONDAY. THEN THE SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE TO THE NORTH AND THEN TO THE
NORTHEAST ACROSS PUERTO RICO BY TUESDAY...EMERGING ACROSS THE
ATLANTIC WATERS BY THURSDAY. THIS SYNOPTIC SCENARIO WILL CHANGE THE
STEERING CURRENTS ACROSS THE FA FROM VERY UNUSUAL DIRECTIONS BY THE
MIDDLE OF THE NEXT WEEK. IF THIS SYNOPTIC SITUATION VERIFY...A LARGE
AREA OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION FOR
THE UPCOMING WEEK.

THE HYDROLOGICAL OUTLOOK ISSUED FRIDAY NIGHT STILL REFLECTS CURRENT
EXPECTATIONS FOR RAIN AMOUNTS AND TIMING ALTHOUGH LOCAL DETAILS MAY
CHANGE DEPENDING ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW. LOCAL RESIDENTS AND
VISITORS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS AND EVERYONE SHOULD REMAIN ABREAST OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF
THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATION EITHER BY NOAA WEATHER
RADIO OR LOCAL TV OR RADIO STATION.

&&

.AVIATION...TROPICAL WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN WILL
MAINTAIN LOW TO MID LEVEL CLOUD LAYERS BTWN 020-10 KFT...AND HIGH
LEVEL CONVECTIVE DEBRIS CLOUDS ABV 25 KFT AND ABV. A GENERAL
EASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL PREVAIL FM SFC-20K FT...THEN VEERING AND
BECMG SWLY BTWN 25-40 KFT. THE APPROACHING WAVE WILL SPREAD SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL FLYING AREA. OCCASIONAL BANDS OF
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ENTER FROM THE EAST AND
SOUTHEAST...AND AFFECT THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND SURROUNDING
WATERS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...THEN GRADUALLY SPREAD
TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST COAST OF PUERTO RICO BY 12Z. THE
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REMINDER
OF MAINLAND PUERTO RICO THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. THESE
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL PRODUCE INTERMITTENT MVFR TO IFR...AND
PERIODS OF BRIEF GUSTY WINDS MAINLY BTWN 17Z-23Z AT ALL TAF SITES
AND ENROUTE. MOUNTAIN TOP OBSCURATIONS CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED ALONG
THE CORDILLERA CENTRAL OF PUERTO RICO DURING BETWEEN 08Z-14Z THEN
WITH THE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE INTERIOR DURNG THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.

&&

.MARINE...MARINE...GENERALLY EXPECT WINDS OF 19 KNOTS OR LESS AND
SEAS OF 7 FEET OR LESS ACROSS THE REGIONAL WATERS THROUGH MONDAY.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM AST THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR THE OFFSHORE CARIBBEAN
COASTAL WATERS OF PUERTO RICO FROM 10NM TO 17N.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU 85 77 85 77 / 90 50 50 50
STT 84 78 84 78 / 100 90 90 80

[Gustywind]

000
AWCA82 TJSJ 120925
RWSVI

WEATHER SUMMARY FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
525 AM AST SUN OCT 12 2008

SKIES WERE VARIABLY CLOUDY ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. A MIXTURE OF LOW TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUED
TO MOVE ACROSS THE LOCAL REGION IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING
TROPICAL WAVE. DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR SHOWED SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS THE
ATLANTIC AND CARIBBEAN WATERS...WITH A FEW BRUSHING THE COASTAL
SECTIONS OF THE ISLANDS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS HOWEVER WERE MINIMAL SO
FAR. WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVER LAND.

THE TROPICAL WAVE...WITH THE LEADING EDGE NOW MOVING ACROSS THE
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS WILL CONTINUE WESTWARD AND SPREAD DEEP TROPICAL
MOISTURE ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION...WITH INCREASED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE LOCAL ISLANDS THROUGH TODAY. LATEST
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND MODEL FORECAST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT A LOW
PRESSURE IN THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO...WILL
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTH NORTHWEST TODAY THROUGH
MONDAY. IN ADDITION...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL LINGER ACROSS THE
LOCAL AREA INTO THE BEGINNING OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. THIS ALONG
WITH THE LOCAL AND DIURNAL EFFECTS WILL MAKE FOR VERY UNSTABLE
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE ISLANDS...WITH INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALIZED FLOODING AT LEAST THROUGH THIS EVENING. THEREFORE A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT AT LEAST UNTIL 8 PM AST.
LOCAL ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE
DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. THEREFORE...LOCAL RESIDENTS AND
VISITORS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

NORTHERLY SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE ACROSS THE
ATLANTIC WATERS AND CARIBBEAN PASSAGES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...
SMALL CRAFTS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION FOR TO SEAS UP TO 6
FEET. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE
CARIBBEAN WATERS FROM 2 PM AST TODAY...DUE TO THE INCREASING
WINDS AND SEAS ACCOMPANYING THE PASSING TROPICAL WAVE.

$$

[Gustywind]

Good news for us in Guadeloupe, we're back in green alert. Martinica is always under an yellow alert . for a very moderate risk of strong showers added to possible tstorms, whereas weak amounts of water are expected 30 millimeters.
For us numerous and scattered showers are still present but seems that the main convective activity has really diminished !!!! . But not sure that we could see the sun today, let's hope it because yesterday night i didn't find the sun of SUNS ( NBA basket-balll) against the Nuggets. Well well, have a good day all and keep us informed from the south, the north....
http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... Tagant.jpg
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-wv.html