Cyclonic Storm Rashmi (TS 04B) - Discussion

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P.K.
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Re: Deep Depression BOB05 (TS 04B) - Discussion

#41 Postby P.K. » Sun Oct 26, 2008 11:34 am

Upgraded to Cyclonic Storm Rashmi.

BOB 05/2008/08 Dated : 26 October, 2008
Time of issue: 2000 hours IST

Sub: Cyclone Warning for West Bengal Coast

The deep depression over west-central and adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal moved rapidly in a north-northeasterly direction, intensified into a cyclonic storm, ‘RASHMI’ and lay centred at 1730 hours IST of today, the 26th October 2008 near lat. 19.50 N and Long. 88.00 E, about 200 km southeast of Paradip and 350 km south of Kolkata. The system is likely to intensify further and move in a north-northeasterly direction and cross West Bengal-Bangladesh coast around 890E by tomorrow, the 27th October morning.

Under its influence, rainfall at most places with isolated heavy to very heavy falls is likely over Gangetic West Bengal during next 48 hours. Rainfall at many places with isolated heavy falls is also likely over north coastal Orissa during next 24 hours and northeastern states during next 48 hours.

Gale winds speed reaching 60-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph are likely along and off West Bengal coast during next 24 hours. Squally winds speed reaching 55-65 kmph gusting to to 75 kmph are also likely along and off Orissa coast during the same period. Sea condition is high to very high along and off West Bengal coast and very rough to high along and off Orissa coast. Fishermen are advised not to venture into the sea.

Storm surge of about 2 metres above astronomical tide is likely over south 24 Pargana and adjoining areas of east Midnapur districts of West Bengal and adjoining Bangladesh coast at the time of landfall.
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#42 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Oct 26, 2008 11:39 am

Thank goodness it is about to make landfall...it would have potential to deepen into something huge if it remained over water...
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Re: Cyclonic Storm Rashmi (TS 04B) - Discussion

#43 Postby HurricaneRobert » Sun Oct 26, 2008 1:53 pm

I thought the next name was Abe.
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Re: Cyclonic Storm Rashmi (TS 04B) - Discussion

#44 Postby jit2006 » Sun Oct 26, 2008 2:32 pm

Image
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Re: Cyclonic Storm Rashmi (TS 04B) - Discussion

#45 Postby jit2006 » Sun Oct 26, 2008 2:33 pm

UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 7.2.3
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 26 OCT 2008 Time : 183000 UTC
Lat : 21:22:44 N Lon : 88:55:00 E


CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.6 / 982.4mb/ 57.0kt


Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
(3hr avg)
3.6 3.6 3.6

Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +0.0mb

Center Temp : -80.2C Cloud Region Temp : -81.1C

Scene Type : UNIFORM CDO CLOUD REGION

Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION

Ocean Basin : INDIAN
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC

Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
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Re: Cyclonic Storm Rashmi (TS 04B) - Discussion

#46 Postby P.K. » Sun Oct 26, 2008 2:51 pm

FKIN20 VIDP 261850

DTG : 20081026/1200Z
TCAC: NEW DELHI
TC : RASHMI
NR : 01

PSN : N1930 E08800
MOV : NNE10KT
C : 996HPA
MAX WIND : 40KT GUSTING TO 50KT

FCST PSN + 12HRS : 270000 N 2130 E08900
MAX WIND + 12HRS : 45KT GUSTING TO 55KT
FCST PSN + 18HRS : 270600 N 2230 E 08930 (OVER LAND)
MAX WIND + 18HRS : 45KT GUSTING TO 55KT

NEXT MSG : 20081026/1800Z
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Re: Cyclonic Storm Rashmi (TS 04B) - Discussion

#47 Postby Iune » Sun Oct 26, 2008 2:51 pm

It was, until they changed the naming lists, Burma was changed to Myammar and Rashmi was their new name.
I've been waiting for a long time for a named storm (now don't kill anyone)
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Re: Cyclonic Storm Rashmi (TS 04B) - Discussion

#48 Postby P.K. » Sun Oct 26, 2008 2:53 pm

HurricaneRobert wrote:I thought the next name was Abe.


Abe isn't on the naming list at this time.

http://severe.worldweather.org/tc/in/tcname.html
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#49 Postby CrazyC83 » Sun Oct 26, 2008 7:06 pm

26/2030 UTC 22.2N 89.3E OVERLAND RASHMI -- Bay of Bengal

Made landfall around 2000Z.
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#50 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Oct 26, 2008 8:34 pm

Image

Very intense rainfall over a very populated area.
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#51 Postby Chacor » Sun Oct 26, 2008 8:52 pm

Still amazingly organised for being overland.
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Re: Cyclonic Storm Rashmi (TS 04B) - Discussion

#52 Postby badkhan » Mon Oct 27, 2008 12:23 am

HurricaneRobert wrote:I thought the next name was Abe.


The list was updated this year, none of the countries changed there previously contributed names except Srilanka and Maldives. Maldives changed 2 and Srilanka changed 3 of there previous names. Rashmi is one of those 3 new names given by Srilanka.
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Re: Cyclonic Storm Rashmi (TS 04B) - Discussion

#53 Postby Sanibel » Mon Oct 27, 2008 10:06 am

Lucky it didn't have more overwater time.
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#54 Postby wyq614 » Mon Oct 27, 2008 8:38 pm

The CMA issued BLIZZARD WARNING for Tibet, Qinghai and Part of Sichuan.

The pictures below are adopted from the weather forecast program of China Central Television (CCTV)

-Satellite

Image

-Current Precipitation (0600 UTC Oct. 26 - 0600 UTC Oct. 27)

Image

-Blizzard Forecast Chart

Image
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#55 Postby wyq614 » Mon Oct 27, 2008 8:39 pm

:uarrow: Note: The precipitation numbers are in millimetres.
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