WPAC: MAYSAK - Tropical Depression - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

Re: WPAC: MAYSAK - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#41 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Nov 11, 2008 12:28 pm

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

#42 Postby Chacor » Tue Nov 11, 2008 8:07 pm

18z:
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 10N 115E SOUTH 10 KT.
0 likes   

User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

#43 Postby Chacor » Wed Nov 12, 2008 6:05 am

TCFA issued on remnants.

WTPN21 PGTW 121100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
090 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.8N 116.4E TO 9.9N 113.1E
WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS
IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 18 TO 23 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY
AT 120530Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR
11.4N 116.1E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS
OF 24W, PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 12.0N 116.8E, IS NOW LOCATED
NEAR 11.4N 116.1E, APPROXIMATELY 345 NM SOUTHWEST OF MANILA,
PHILIPPINES. DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER THE
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND CONVECTIVE BANDING
IS EVIDENT IN SATELLITE IMAGERY. A PREVIOUS 112155Z QUIKSCAT
IMAGE AND A 120135Z WINDSAT IMAGE BOTH INDICATED AN IMPROVED
LLCC. BOTH THE QUIKSCAT AND THE WINDSAT IMAGES DEPICTED 15
TO 20 KT WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES AN IMPROVED UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT WITH LIGHT TO
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT.
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR VALUES HAVE DECREASED AND ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO DECREASE AS THE MID-LATITUDE TROUGH TO THE NORTH
MOVES EASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 18 TO 23 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. DUE TO THE INCREASE IN DEEP CONVECTION OVER
THE LLCC AND LOWER VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT
24 HOURS IS GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED
BY 131100Z.//
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#44 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Nov 12, 2008 8:32 am

Image

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#45 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Nov 12, 2008 2:32 pm

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

Re: WPAC: MAYSAK - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#46 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Nov 12, 2008 8:05 pm

Image

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#47 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Nov 13, 2008 6:05 am

Image
0 likes   


Return to “2008”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 17 guests