ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

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gatorcane
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#21 Postby gatorcane » Tue Nov 25, 2008 11:33 am

12Z NAM 84 hours:

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#22 Postby gatorcane » Tue Nov 25, 2008 4:34 pm

The ECMWF 12Z is slightly more bullish on developing 96L. It keeps it stationary for a few days then starts moving it NW with landfall in NE Nicaragua. It then emerges in the NW Caribbean and then into the SE GOM but as a weak low. What's interesting to note about the ECMWF is that it thinks the steering currents may let it move more northward.

With a ridge expected to set up over the Western Atlantic, Florida, and the Caribbean for the weekend, it doesn't surpise me why it wants to move 96L more north and northwest, instead of into Central America or NE through the Greater Antilles (like Paloma)

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 8112512!!/

GFDL also develops the system and moves it NNW into the Western Caribbean.

But note that this system is going to take several days to develop it it does so patience with this one.

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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#23 Postby Blown Away » Tue Nov 25, 2008 10:19 pm

The GFDL keeping 96L close to hurricane status in 5 days and definitely moving 96L NW into the the NW Caribbean. Still something to watch.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfdltc2. ... =Animation
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Re: ATL: INVEST 96L - Models

#24 Postby gatorcane » Wed Nov 26, 2008 11:25 am

NAM 84 hours:

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