SW PAC: Tropical Disturbance 01F - discussion

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Chacor
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SW PAC: Tropical Disturbance 01F - discussion

#1 Postby Chacor » Mon Dec 01, 2008 7:10 pm

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 01/2319 UTC 2008 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 01F CENTRE [1006HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 12S 164W AT
012100 UTC AND REMAINS SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT
IR/VIS WITH ANIMATION. SST IS AROUND 27 DEGREE CELCIUS.

CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT FOR THE LAST 24 HOURS AND HAS SLIGTLY
INCREASED IN THE LAST 6 HOURS DUE TO DIURNAL VARIATION BUT NOT
DEEPENED MUCH.SYSTEM IS SLIGHTLY ORGANISED WITH CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
WELL DEFINED FROM LOW-MID LEVEL [850-500HPA].
O1F LIES UNDER A 250 HPA UPPER TROUGH IN A MODERATELY SHEARED
ENVIRONMENT. MOST GLOBAL MODELS [ AVN/UKGC/US/EC] ARE SHOWING
DEVELOPMENT OF O1F AND MOVING IT WESTSOUTHWEST. POTENTIAL FOR O1F TO
DEVELOP IN THE 24 TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN
THE AREA.
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HURAKAN
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#2 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Dec 01, 2008 7:51 pm

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