SW PAC: Tropical Depression 02F (92P INVEST)

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

SW PAC: Tropical Depression 02F (92P INVEST)

#1 Postby Chacor » Wed Dec 03, 2008 9:57 am

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 03/0924 UTC 2008 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 02F CENTRE [1004HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 19S 162W AT
030600 UTC AND REMAINS SLOW MOVING. POSITION FAIR BASED ON MTSAT
IR/EIR WITH ANIMATION. SST IS AROUND 27 DEGREE CELCIUS.

CONVECTION HAS BEEN PERSISTENT IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION IS WELL DEFINED FROM LOW-HIGH LEVEL [850-200HPA] WITH
DEEP CONVECTION TO THE EAST. 02F LIES IN A MODERATELY SHEARED
ENVIRONMET. MOST GLOBAL MODELS [ AVN/UKGC/US/EC] ARE SHOWING LITTLE
DEEEPENING OF O2F IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND MOVING IT SOUTHWEST.
POTENTIAL FOR O2F TO DEVELOP IN THE 24 TO 48 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN
THE AREA.
Last edited by Chacor on Fri Dec 05, 2008 3:43 am, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

#2 Postby Chacor » Wed Dec 03, 2008 6:32 pm

WWPS21 NFFN 032100
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 03/2244 UTC 2008 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 02F CENTRE [1008HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 20S 163W AT
031800 UTC AND REMAINS SLOW MOVING. POSITION GOOD BASED ON MTSAT
IR/VIS WITH ANIMATION AND QUICKSCAT PASS. SST IS AROUND 29 DEGREE
CELCIUS.

CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS WELL DEFINED FROM LOW-MID LEVEL WITH DEEP
CONVECTION, PERSISTING TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM. 02F
REMAINS IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMET. GLOBAL MODELS [
UKGC/US/EC] ARE SHOWING LITTLE DEEEPENING OF 02F IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS
WITH VERY LITTLE MOVEMENT. POTENTIAL FOR 02F TO DEVELOP IN THE 24 TO
48 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN
THE AREA.
0 likes   

HurricaneBill
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3421
Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA

Re: SW PAC: Tropical Disturbance 02F

#3 Postby HurricaneBill » Thu Dec 04, 2008 12:09 am

SPAC's beginning to wake up.
0 likes   

User avatar
P.K.
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 5149
Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
Location: Watford, England
Contact:

Re: SW PAC: Tropical Disturbance 02F

#4 Postby P.K. » Thu Dec 04, 2008 5:03 pm

GALE WARNING 001 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 04/2149 UTC 2008 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD02F [1007HPA] NEAR 21S 166W MOVING SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
EXPECT CLOCKWISE WINDS 25 TO 30 KNOTS, INCREASING TO 35 KNOTS IN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS WITHIN 180 MILES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN AND SOUTHERN QUADRANT OF TD02F
AWAY FROM THE CENTRE.

AREA OF GALES MOVING WITH TD02F.

THIS IS THE FIRST WARNING FOR THIS SYSTEM.
0 likes   

User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

#5 Postby Chacor » Fri Dec 05, 2008 3:43 am

International Marine Warning A
GALE WARNING 003 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 05/0717 UTC 2008 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD02F [1006HPA] NEAR 21.6S 167W AT 050600 UTC MOVING
SOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. EXPECT CLOCKWISE WINDS 25 TO 30 KNOTS, INCREASING TO 35
KNOTS IN THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS WITHIN 150 MILES ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN AND
SOUTHERN QUADRANT OF TD02F AWAY FROM THE CENTRE.

AREA OF GALES MOVING WITH TD02F.

THIS WARNING CANCELS AND REPLACES WARNING 002.
0 likes   

User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

#6 Postby Chacor » Sat Dec 06, 2008 11:08 am

Did I miss something? Just because it's disappeared off NRL doesn't mean the RSMC isn't warning on it. It's still an active storm.

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 06/0933 UTC 2008 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD 02F CENTRE [1004HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 22.6S
167.5W AT 060900 UTC AND MOVING SOUTH AT 05 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD
BASED ON MTSAT IR/EIR WITH ANIMATION AND 060920 UTC QUICKSCAT PASS.
SST IS AROUND 28 DEGREE CELCIUS.

MID-UPPER LEVEL CONVECTION REMAINS SHEARED TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF
TD 02F. 02F LIES UNDER A 250 HPA RIDGE AXIS. ENVIRONMENTAL SHEAR OVER
02F REMAINS MODERATE WITH HIGH SHEAR MOSTLY SOUTH OF THE SYSTEM.
GLOBAL MODELS [ UKGC/US/EC] ARE SHOWING LITTLE DEEEPENING OF TD 02F
IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND ARE MOVING IT SOUTHWARDS INTO COOL
TEMPERATURES. 02F IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MID-LATITUTED DEPRESSION
[LOW] IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. POTENTIAL FOR TD 02F TO DEVELOP INTO A
TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN
THE AREA.
0 likes   

User avatar
Chacor
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 10229
Joined: Mon Oct 02, 2006 10:43 pm
Location: Singapore

#7 Postby Chacor » Sat Dec 06, 2008 9:48 pm

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 06/2239 UTC 2008 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD 02F CENTRE [1004HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 25S 169W
AT 062100 UTC AND MOVING SOUTH AT 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD BASED ON
MTSAT IR/VIS WITH ANIMATION. SST IS AROUND 29 DEGREE CELCIUS.

MID-UPPER LEVEL CONVECTION REMAINS SHEARED TO THE EAST AND SOUTH OF
TD 02F. SYSTEM LIES UNDER A 250 HPA SUB-TROPICAL JET STREAM AXIS
[RIGHTHAND EXIT] IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH HIGH SHEAR
SOUTH OF 02F. GLOBAL MODELS [ UKGC/US/EC] ARE SHOWING A SOUTHERLY
MOVEMENT INTO COOL TEMPERATURES WITH LITTLE DEEEPENING OF 02F IN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. 02F IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A MID-LATITUTED LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS. POTENTIAL FOR TD 02F TO DEVELOP
INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY FOR TD02F.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN
THE AREA.
0 likes   


Return to “2008”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests