Australia: Invest 98P

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Australia: Invest 98P

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Dec 19, 2008 8:11 pm

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#2 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Dec 20, 2008 12:00 am

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#3 Postby Chacor » Sat Dec 20, 2008 12:49 am

Also known as 98P. It's straggling the invisible line between NRL's South Indian and South Pacific regions.
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#4 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Dec 20, 2008 9:01 am

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Re: Gulf of Carpentaria: Invest 98P

#5 Postby Sanibel » Sat Dec 20, 2008 12:16 pm

Australia is going off.
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#6 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Dec 20, 2008 2:22 pm

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Re: Gulf of Carpentaria: Invest 98P

#7 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Dec 20, 2008 6:31 pm

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#8 Postby Chacor » Sun Dec 21, 2008 3:43 am

TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK
FOR THE AREA BETWEEN LONGITUDES 125 EAST - 142 EAST
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:15 pm CST Sunday 21 December 2008

A tropical low, 1004 hPa, is situated in the western Gulf of Carpentaria. The
low is expected to move west over the next two to three days, moving over land
later tomorrow.

The potential for this low to develop into a Tropical Cyclone over the next few
days is estimated to be:
Monday: low,
Tuesday: low,
Wednesday: low.

Tropical Cyclone Advices are being issued for ex-Tropical Cyclone Billy over the
Kimberley region of Western Australia by the Bureau of Meteorology, Perth. Full
details are available on 1300 659 210 and on the web at http://www.bom.gov.au.

NOTE: Development Potential is an estimate of the probability of tropical
cyclone development for each day... Low = 10% or less, Moderate = 20% - 40%,
High = 50% or more.

DARWIN Regional Forecasting Centre.
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#9 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Dec 21, 2008 6:54 pm

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#10 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Dec 21, 2008 6:56 pm

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.6S
138.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.5S 137.3E, APPROXIMATELY 400 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF DARWIN, AUSTRALIA. RECENT ANIMATED WATER VAPOR AND
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION PERSISTING OVER A
BROAD AREA OF LOW LEVEL TROUGHING EVIDENT IN RADAR DATA FROM GOVE
AND MORNINGTON ISLAND, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
CONVECTIVE BANDING FORMING ON THE SOUTHERLY SEMI-CIRCLE OF THE
CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. THIS DISTURBANCE LIES
UNDER AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE CENTER, IN A REGION OF LOW TO
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND FAVORABLE EQUATORWARD DIFFLUENCE
ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 22 TO 27
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB.
BECAUSE THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS BROAD AND UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT IS IMPROVING, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO
FAIR.
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#11 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Dec 21, 2008 11:14 pm

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#12 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Dec 21, 2008 11:16 pm

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#13 Postby Chacor » Mon Dec 22, 2008 1:34 am

IDD20040
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

PRIORITY

SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
for Damaging Winds, Heavy Rainfall, Abnormally High Tides and Large Waves.
for people in the Arnhem and Roper-McArthur districts

Issued at 11:38 am CST Monday 22 December 2008

Synoptic Situation: A TROPICAL LOW 1002 hPa is located in the southwestern Gulf
of Carpentaria. At 9:30 am CST it was near latitude 14.6S, longitude 137.3E,
about 100 kilometres southeast of Groote Eylandt, moving west southwest at 5
kilometres per hour. The monsoon low is expected to continue to track towards
the west or southwest, and move over land tonight.

Damaging wind gusts up to 100 km/h with thunderstorms are expected in the Arnhem
and Roper-McArthur districts later today.
Large waves and abnormally high tides are expected along the coast between Port
Roper and the Queensland border from this evening.
Heavy monsoonal rain currently falling over coastal areas of the Arnhem and
Roper-McArthur districts is expected to cause flooding over low-lying areas
today, and will begin to extend inland tonight.

The Northern Territory Emergency Service advises that people should secure loose
outside objects and seek shelter when the conditions deteriorate. Driving
conditions may be hazardous - avoid flooded roads and watercourses. Abnormally
high tides could cause minor flooding at the coast.

The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm CST Monday 22 December.

This warning is also available on telephone 1300 659 214 or on the internet at
http://www.bom.gov.au.
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#14 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Dec 22, 2008 9:29 am

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#15 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Dec 22, 2008 9:32 am

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory

WARNING

SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
for Damaging Winds, Heavy Rainfall, Abnormally High Tides and Large Waves.
for people in the Arnhem and Roper-McArthur districts
Issued at 11:00 pm CST Monday 22 December 2008

Synoptic Situation: A TROPICAL LOW 1002 hPa is located on the southwestern Gulf
of Carpentaria coast. At 9:30 pm CST it was near latitude 14.7S, longitude
135.5E, about 135 kilometres west southwest of Groote Eylandt, moving west at 16
kilometres per hour. The monsoon low is expected to continue to track towards
the west or southwest, and move further inland early Tuesday.

Damaging wind gusts up to 100 km/h with thunderstorms are expected in the Arnhem
and Roper-McArthur districts overnight and Tuesday.
Large waves and abnormally high tides are expected along the coast between Port
Roper and the Queensland border overnight and Tuesday.
Heavy monsoonal rain currently falling over coastal areas of the Arnhem and
Roper-McArthur districts is expected to cause flooding over low-lying areas
overnight. Heavy rain is expected to continue and extend inland during Tuesday,
leading to localised flooding and significant stream rises.

The Northern Territory Emergency Service advises that people should secure loose
outside objects and seek shelter when the conditions deteriorate. Driving
conditions may be hazardous - avoid flooded roads and watercourses. Abnormally
high tides could cause minor flooding at the coast.

The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am CST Tuesday 23 December.

This warning is also available on telephone 1300 659 214 or on the internet at
http://www.bom.gov.au.
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Re: Gulf of Carpentaria: Invest 98P

#16 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Dec 22, 2008 12:55 pm

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22/1430 UTC 14.0S 136.0E T1.5/2.0 98P -- Southwest Pacific
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#17 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Dec 22, 2008 4:41 pm

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Northern Territory
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#18 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Dec 22, 2008 8:20 pm

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Classic land cyclone.
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Re: Australia: Invest 98P

#19 Postby Sanibel » Tue Dec 23, 2008 12:56 am

That thing was on its way right after Billy but ran out of water.
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#20 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Dec 24, 2008 7:16 am

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Impressive after so many days over land.
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