South Indian Ocean: ex. FAMÉ (TC 13S)

[HURAKAN]

Not bad!!!

[Coredesat]

This has been here for a while, it seems something's finally coming together here.

(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 10.5S 48.7E,
APPROXIMATELY 510 NM NORTH OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS A BROAD, DEVELOPING LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION ON
THE SOUTHWEST PERIPHERY. A 230324Z QUIKSCAT IMAGE SHOWS BROAD
TROUGHING. A 231504Z SSMI IMAGE ALSO SHOWS EVIDENCE OF THIS
TROUGHING AND SOME CONVECTIVE BANDING FROM THE EAST. DEVELOPMENT
IS CURRENTLY BEING HAMPERED BY LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR, BUT THE DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO A MORE
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. SINCE THE
LLCC IS BROAD, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.

[HURAKAN]

Looking good. Still has a long way to go.

[Coredesat]

Zone of Disturbed Weather 08R is here:

WTIO30 FMEE 240638

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 1/8/20072008
1.A ZONE OF DISTURBED WEATHER 8

2.A POSITION 2008/01/24 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.5S / 45.6E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL FIVE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FIVE DECIMAL SIX DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1004 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1006 HPA / 300 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2008/01/24 18 UTC: 14.3S/45.0E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H: 2008/01/25 06 UTC: 14.9S/44.2E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
36H: 2008/01/25 18 UTC: 15.2S/43.8E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
48H: 2008/01/26 06 UTC: 15.4S/43.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
60H: 2008/01/26 18 UTC: 15.6S/43.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.
72H: 2008/01/27 06 UTC: 15.9S/42.9E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.0-

LAST SATELLITE IMAGERIES SHOW A VERY RECENT AND RAPID ORGANIZATION OF
DEEP CONVECTION (SINCE THE END OF LAST NIGHT), WITH A WELL DEFINED
BUILDING CURVED BAND (SEE MICRO-WAVE IMAGERY SSMI AT 0133Z AND AMSUB AT
0208Z). THIS SYSTEM HAS A GOOD POTENTIEL FOR INTENSIFICATION.
NEVERTHELESS, DATA PRESSURE (1008HPA AT 0600Z AT MAYOTTE, WHERE 177 MM OF
RAINFALL DURING THE LAST 12 HOURS HAVE BEEN MESURED AT THE DZAOUDZI
AIRPORT) AND SCATTEROMETRIC WIND DATA DOESN'T YET ALLOW TO ESTIMATED THE
INTENSITY OF THE SYSTEM AT THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION STAGE.

AT THIS STAGE, THIS SYSTEM DOESN'T JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF REGULAR WARNINGS.

[Chacor]

WTIO30 FMEE 241232

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 2/8/20072008
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 8

2.A POSITION 2008/01/24 AT 1200 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 13.8S / 45.1E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL EIGHT DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FIVE DECIMAL ONE DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 400 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2008/01/25 00 UTC: 14.4S/43.9E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
24H: 2008/01/25 12 UTC: 14.7S/43.1E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
36H: 2008/01/26 00 UTC: 15.0S/42.4E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
48H: 2008/01/26 12 UTC: 15.5S/41.6E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
60H: 2008/01/27 00 UTC: 16.2S/41.5E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.
72H: 2008/01/27 12 UTC: 17.0S/41.7E, MAX WIND=060KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.0

CONVECTION HAS RAPIDLY ORGANIZED WITH A WELL DEFINED CURVED BAND PATTERN
AT THE END OF LAST NIGHT. MICRO-WAVE (SEE AMSUB AT 09630Z) AND VISIBLE
IMAGERIES COULD LEAD TO DT2.5 OR 3.0), BUT ACCORDING TO AVALAIBLE
PRESSURE DATA AND WIND DATA (AND MET), THE INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED TO BE
AT FT 2.0.

LOW LEVEL INFLOW IS GOOD EQUATORWARDS BUT POOR ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE.
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS GOOD AND VERTICAL WINDSHEAR MORE AND MORE WEAK.
SST IS AT 29 DEGRES CELSIUS.
MAIN NWP MODELS BADLY ANALYSE THIS RAPID CYCLOGENESIS. THE FORECAST OF
THE RSMC IS CLOSE TO THE ECMWF'S ONE.

[Squarethecircle]

Really? It does not seem to be doing well to me.

On the last visible pictures of the day, it did seem to be just fine, though.

[Coredesat]

Thread needs to be changed to Tropical Disturbance 08R (97S).

WTIO30 FMEE 241822

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 3/8/20072008
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 8

2.A POSITION 2008/01/24 AT 1800 UTC :
13.9S / 44.9E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL NINE DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 1.0/24 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1008 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2008/01/25 06 UTC: 14.2S/44.3E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H: 2008/01/25 18 UTC: 14.6S/43.5E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
36H: 2008/01/26 06 UTC: 15.0S/42.7E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
48H: 2008/01/26 18 UTC: 15.6S/42.2E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
60H: 2008/01/27 06 UTC: 16.3S/42.0E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
72H: 2008/01/27 18 UTC: 17.0S/42.1E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.0

CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED TO THE SYSTEM HAS DISORGANISED OVER THE
NINE LAST HOURS ET DOES NOT SHOW ANY CURVED BAND PATTERN ANYMORE (TRMM
0939Z, AMSRE 1102Z, SSMI 1408Z).
LOW LEVEL INFLOW IS WELL ESTABLISHED EQUATORWARDS BUT POOR POLEWARDS.
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS GOOD AS SHOWN BY CIRRUS. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED
UNDER THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS AND THE ENVIRONMENT IS WEAKLY SHEARED.
SSTS ARE OF THE ORDER OF 29 DEGREES CELSIUS.
THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO HAVE TRACKED ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDING ON MADAGASCAR. THIS RIDGE WEAKENS DURING THE
UPCOMING RANGES, AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN WITHIN A WEAK STEERING
ENVRONMENT.
MOST OF THE NWP MODELS BADLY ANALYSE THIS RAPID CYCLOGENESIS. THE RSMC
FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE ECMWF; A SLOW TRACK, WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS FOR THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS THEN SOUTHWARDS, WITH A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION.

[Coredesat]

WTIO30 FMEE 250016
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 4/8/20072008
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 8

2.A POSITION 2008/01/25 AT 0000 UTC :
13.9S / 44.3E
(THIRTEEN DECIMAL NINE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL THREE DEGREES
EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /D 0.5/18 H
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):


7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA / 800 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2008/01/25 12 UTC: 14.0S/43.6E, MAX WIND=025KT, TROP. DISTURBANCE.
24H: 2008/01/26 00 UTC: 14.1S/43.0E, MAX WIND=030KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
36H: 2008/01/26 12 UTC: 14.5S/42.4E, MAX WIND=035KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
48H: 2008/01/27 00 UTC: 15.1S/41.9E, MAX WIND=040KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
60H: 2008/01/27 12 UTC: 15.9S/41.6E, MAX WIND=045KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM
.
72H: 2008/01/28 00 UTC: 16.8S/41.4E, MAX WIND=050KT, SEVERE TROP. STORM.

2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.0

CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED TO THE SYSTEM BARELY CONSOLIDATES.
LOW LEVEL INFLOW IS WELL ESTABLISHED EQUATORWARDS BUT POOR POLEWARDS.
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS GOOD AS SHOWN BY CIRRUS. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED
WITHIN A WEAKLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. SSTS ARE OF THE ORDER OF 29 DEGREES
CELSIUS.
THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO HAVE TRACKED ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE EXTENDING ON MADAGASCAR. THIS RIDGE WEAKENS DURING THE
UPCOMING RANGES, AND THE SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN WITHIN A WEAK STEERING
ENVRONMENT.
MOST OF THE NWP MODELS BADLY ANALYSE THIS RAPID CYCLOGENESIS. THE RSMC
FORECAST IS CLOSE TO THE ECMWF; A SLOW TRACK, WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS FOR THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS THEN SOUTHWARDS, WITH A GRADUAL INTENSIFICATION.

[Coredesat]

Doesn't look great.

[Crostorm]

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.2S
45.4E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.9S 45.0E, APPROXIMATELY 325 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR. PREVIOUS ANIMATED MULTI-
SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 241408Z SSMI IMAGE DEPICT FLARING
DEEP CONVECTION ALONG THE PERIPHERY OF A CONSOLIDATING LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) AND CONVECTIVE BANDS WRAPPING INTO THE
LLCC. THE CONVECTION IS BEING ENHANCED BY FAVORABLE UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE AND LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR VALUES. THE
DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OVER
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE EST-
IMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. DUE TO THE CONSOLIDATING LLCC AND FAVORABLE
UPPER LEVEL SYNOPTIC ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS
FAIR.

[Crostorm]

Looks better

[Crostorm]

ZCZC 876
WTIO30 FMEE 250636
RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)
0.A WARNING NUMBER : 5/8/20072008
1.A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE 8
2.A POSITION 2008/01/25 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.1S / 44.8E
(FOURTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL EIGHT
DEGREES
EAST)
3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 2.0/2.0 /S
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 1002 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 25 KT
6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1010 HPA
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM
1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2008/01/25 18 UTC: 14.2S/44.3E, MAX WIND=025KT , TROP.
DISTURBANCE.
24H: 2008/01/26 06 UTC: 14.4S/43.8E, MAX WIND=030KT , TROP.
DEPRESSION.
36H: 2008/01/26 18 UTC: 14.7S/43.1E, MAX WIND=035KT , MODERATE TROP.
STORM.
48H: 2008/01/27 06 UTC: 15.5S/42.4E, MAX WIND=040KT , MODERATE TROP.
STORM.
60H: 2008/01/27 18 UTC: 16.5S/42.1E, MAX WIND=045KT , MODERATE TROP.
STORM.
72H: 2008/01/28 06 UTC: 18.0S/42.0E, MAX WIND=050KT , SEVERE TROP.
STORM.
2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=CI=2.0
THUNDERY ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED TO THE SYSTEM BARELY ORGANIZES ALTHOUGH
A
CURVED BAND HAS FORMED IN THE LATEST HOURS IN THE NORTHERN SEMI
CIRCLE .
LOW LEVEL INFLOW IS WELL ESTABLISHED EQUATORWARDS BUT POOR POLEWARDS.
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE IS GOOD OVER THE NORTHERN SEMI CIRCLE BUT
SEEMS TO
BE MORE LIMITED IN THE SOUTHERN PART. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED WITHIN A
WEAKLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. SSTS ARE OF THE ORDER OF 29 DEGREES
CELSIUS.
THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE IN A WEAK STEERING ENVIRONMENT FOR THE THE NEXT
24-36 HOURS ON THE EDGE OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. BY SATURDAY NIGHT,
A
MID-LEVEL TROPOSPHERIC RIDGE (500-700 HPA) SHOULD DEVELOPP NORTHEAST
OF
MADAGASCAR AND SHOULD BE THE MAIN CONTRIBUTOR TO THE STEERING FLOW.
THIS
SHOULD ALLOW TH
E SYSTEM TO TAKE A MORE POLEWARDS TRACK. THIS IS IN CLOSE AGREEMENT
WITH
THE ECWF, ECMWF ENSEMBLE AND UKMO ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS.=
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

WTXS21 PGTW 251030
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
A 220 NM RADIUS OF 13.9S 44.7E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CY-
CLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO
BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 251000Z INDICATES THAT A
CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 13.9S 44.7E. THE SYSTEM IS
MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD AT 01 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 13.9S
45.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.9S 44.7E, APPROXIMATELY 340 NM NORTH-
NORTHWEST OF ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 250409Z SSMI IMAGE INDICATE IMPROVED
CONVECTION OVER A CONSOLIDATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC),
WITH A BAND OF CONVECTION WRAPPING IN FROM THE NORTH. RECENT ASCAT
IMAGERY DEPICTS UNFLAGGED WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM
OF 25 TO 30 KNOTS. THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SYSTEM IS BEING AIDED BY
LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND AN ANTICYCLONE ALOFT, WHICH IS PROVIDING
EXCELLENT EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. DUE TO THE CONSOLIDATION OF THE LLCC AND THE
EXCELLENT UPPER LEVEL ENVIRONMENT, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
261030Z.

[HURAKAN]

25/0830 UTC 14.1S 44.6E T2.0/2.0 97S -- South Indian Ocean

[P.K.]

Just upgraded.

WTIO22 FMEE 251224
SECURITE
NEAR GALE WARNING FOR METAREA VII AND METAREA VIII (S)
ISSUED BY METEO-FRANCE/TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE/LA REUNION 25/01/2008 AT
1200 UTC.
WARNING NUMBER: 006/08 (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

10 MINUTES AVERAGE WIND SPEED IN KNOTS (KT)
(WIND GUSTS AT SEA MAY BE ABOUT 40% STRONGER THAN THE AVERAGED WIND).
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IN HECTOPASCALS (HPA)
(INDICATIVE FIGURE).

NEAR GALE WARNING
BEGINNING OF VALIDITY: FRIDAY 25/01/2008 AT 1200 UTC.

PHENOMENON: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 8 999 HPA
POSITION: WITHIN 30 NM RADIUS OF POINT 14.1S / 44.7E
(FOURTEEN DECIMAL ONE DEGREES SOUTH AND FORTY FOUR DECIMAL SEVEN DEGREES
EAST) AT 1200 UTC
MOVEMENT: QUASI-STATIONARY

THREAT AREAS:
SQUALLY WEATHER EXISTS WITHIN 250NM RADIUS FROM THE CENTER.

CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION 15/25KT AND MODERATE TO ROUGH SEAS WITHIN 120 NM
RADIUS OF THE CENTRE. NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS 30 KT AND ROUGH SEAS WITHIN
40 TO 60 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN SEMI CIRCLE.
STRONG GUSTS UNDER SQUALLS.

FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY:
12H, VALID 2008/01/26 AT 00 UTC:
14.2S / 44.1E, MAX WIND = 30 KT, TROP. DEPRESSION.
24H, VALID 2008/01/26 AT 12 UTC:
14.5S / 43.5E, MAX WIND = 35 KT, MODERATE TROP. STORM.

OTHER INFORMATIONS:
OVERALL CONFIGURATION HAS IMPROVED TODAY AND TROPICAL DEPRESSION STATUS
IS REACHED.
AS THE SYSTEM IS NOW QUASI-STATIONNARY, IT SHOULD RETAKE A SLOW
WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS BEFORE RECURVING
SOUTHWARDS SOME SLOW INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST.

[HURAKAN]

[Crostorm]

[Squarethecircle]

Wow . That's a surprising turn of events.

What are the most recent T-numbers?