South Indian Ocean: TROPICAL CYCLONE GULA (TC 14S)

[Coredesat]

Convection diminishing more rapidly. Shear appears to be increasing based on the CIMSS shear map.

[Squarethecircle]

[Coredesat]

If the convection to the SW of the blob is what's left of Fame, then it looks like Gula is indeed absorbing Fame.

[Squarethecircle]

It is. That was a pretty cool interaction to watch, though. Interesting how little of a Fujiwhara there was.

[Coredesat]

Becoming extratropical.

WTIO30 FMEE 010626

RSMC / TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTRE / LA REUNION
TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST WARNING (SOUTH-WEST INDIAN OCEAN)

0.A WARNING NUMBER : 24/9/20072008
1.A SEVERE TROPICAL STORM 9 (GULA)

2.A POSITION 2008/02/01 AT 0600 UTC :
WITHIN 20 NM RADIUS OF POINT 26.0S / 54.0E
(TWENTY SIX DECIMAL ZERO DEGREES SOUTH AND FIFTY FOUR DECIMAL ZERO
DEGREES EAST)

3.A DVORAK ANALYSIS : 3.0/3.5 /W
4.A CENTRAL PRESSURE : 986 HPA
5.A MAX AVERAGE WIND SPEED (10 MN) : 50 KT

6.A EXTENSION OF WINDS BY QUADRANTS (KM):
30 KT NE: 100 SE: 600 SO: 300 NO: 100
50 KT NE: 020 SE: 030 SO: NO:

7.A FIRST CLOSED ISOBARE (PRESSURE / AVERAGE DIAM): 1000 HPA / 500 KM
8.A VERTICAL EXTENSION OF CYCLONE CIRCULATION: MEDIUM

1.B FORECASTS:
12H: 2008/02/01 18 UTC: 29.2S/53.0E, MAX WIND=045KT , BECOMING
EXTRATROPICAL.
24H: 2008/02/02 06 UTC: 33.8S/54.9E, MAX WIND=045KT , EXTRATROPICAL.
36H: 2008/02/02 18 UTC: 38.8S/59.3E, MAX WIND=045KT , EXTRATROPICAL.
48H: 2008/02/03 06 UTC: 43.1S/65.4E, MAX WIND=040KT , EXTRATROPICAL.
60H: 2008/02/03 18 UTC: 46.0S/75.0E, MAX WIND=040KT , EXTRATROPICAL.


2.B OTHER INFORMATIONS:
T=3.0; CI=3.5-

ASYMMETRICAL CLOCKWISE CIRCULATION DUE TO THE FAST MOTION OF THE
SYSTEM.

GULA RUSHES TOWARDS THE WEST SOUTHWEST BUT SHOULD SOON RECURVE
GRADUALLY
SOUTHWARDS THEN SOUTHEASTWARD WHILE INITIATING ITS VERY SOON
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION PHASE BEFORE BEING EXPELLED INTO THE
MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES.=

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