SPAC: Tropical depression 06F

[Crostorm]

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 21/0000 UTC 2009 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD06F [1006HPA] NEAR 13.8S 158.2W AT 202100 UTC
SLOW MOVING. POSITION GOOD BASED ON IR/VIS IMAGERY WITH ANIMATION,
PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS AND LATEST QUIKSCAT PASS. SST AROUND 29
DEGREES CELCIUS.

TD06F LIES EMBEDDED IN A MONSOONAL TROUGH, UNDER A 250HPA DIFFLUENT
REGION IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. LLCC EXPOSED AND LIES TO
THE WEST OF THE DEEP CONVECTION. TD06F IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THIS
AREA UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS BEFORE
MOVING INTO AN AREA OF INCREASING SHEAR AND COOLER SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES.

GLOBAL MODELS [ US/UK/GFS] HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND MOVES IT
SOUTHWEST THEN SOUTH WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR TD06F TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24
TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN
THE AREA.

GALE WARNING 016 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 21/0106 UTC 2009 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD06F [1006HPA] NEAR 14.3S 159.7W AT 210000 UTC MOVING
WESTSOUTHWEST 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD.

CLOCKWISE WINDS 30 TO 35 KNOTS, INCREASING TO 40 KNOTS AT TIMES WITHIN 180 MILES
AWAY FROM THE CENTRE IN THE NORTHEAST TO SOUTHEAST SECTOR.

AREA OF GALES MOVING WITH TD06F.

THIS IS THE FIRST WARNING ON THE SYSTEM.

[Chacor]

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Jan 23/0854 UTC 2009 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD06F [1005HPA] NEAR 20S 163W AT 230600 UTC
MOVING SOUTH 10 KNOTS. POSITION GOOD BASED ON IR IMAGERY WITH
ANIMATION, PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS LATEST QSCAT PASS. SST AROUND 29
DEGREES CELCIUS.
TD06F LIES ALONG A MONSOONAL TROUGH, UNDER A 250HPA DIFFLUENT REGION
IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. LLCC SLIGHTLY OBSCURED WITH
PULSATING CONVECTION TO THE EAST. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE IN A GENERAL SOUTHWARD DIRECTION TOWARDS COOLER SST. ANOTHER
LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION REMAINS EMBEDDED IN THE TROUGH, NORTHWEST OF
TD06F.


GLOBAL MODELS [ US/UK/EC] HAVE PICKED TD06F AND CONTINUES MOVE THE
SYSTEM SOUTH WITH LITTLE INTENSIFICATION.

POTENTIAL FOR TD06F TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24
TO 48 HOURS IS LOW.

NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN
THE AREA.