WTPQ20 RJTD 041800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0901 KUJIRA (0901)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 041800UTC 17.1N 131.0E GOOD
MOVE E 13KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 051800UTC 19.9N 135.7E 85NM 70%
MOVE ENE 13KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 061800UTC 24.7N 140.8E 180NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
72HF 071800UTC 32.8N 145.9E 250NM 70%
MOVE NNE 23KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =
WPAC: Ex-KUJIRA (01W)
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139046
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: WPAC: Typhoon KUJIRA (TY 01W)
WTPN31 PGTW 042100
SUBJ: TYPHOON 01W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 011
1. TYPHOON 01W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 17.1N 131.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N 131.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 18.4N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 20.3N 136.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 23.7N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 27.8N 144.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 36.1N 152.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 17.4N 131.8E.
TYPHOON (TY) 01W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 730 NM SOUTHWEST OF
IWO TO, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONTINUED
INTENSIFICATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS WITH A SMALL ROUND 10-NM EYE
AND A 150-NM DIAMETER CDO. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW AHEAD OF A MIDLATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH
DIGGING EAST OF TAIWAN. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT
POSITION AND TRACK BASED ON THE SMALL EYE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS FROM PGTW, KNES AND RJTD.
THIS FORECAST IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND IS BASED
ON THE MODEL CONSENSUS, ALTHOUGH SLIGHTLY FASTER AFTER TAU 36. THE
AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THIS TRACK.
BASED ON AN ANALYSIS OF MODEL FIELDS, THE CYCLONE PHASE PRODUCTS
AND SATELLITE IMAGERY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EXTRA-
TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) NEAR TAU 36 AND WILL COMPLETE ETT PRIOR
TO TAU 72. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 18 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z, 050900Z, 051500Z AND 052100Z. REFER
TO TROPICAL STORM 02W (CHAN-HOM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
SUBJ: TYPHOON 01W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 011
1. TYPHOON 01W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
041800Z --- NEAR 17.1N 131.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 075 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N 131.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
050600Z --- 18.4N 133.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
051800Z --- 20.3N 136.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
060600Z --- 23.7N 140.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
061800Z --- 27.8N 144.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 27 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
071800Z --- 36.1N 152.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
042100Z POSITION NEAR 17.4N 131.8E.
TYPHOON (TY) 01W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 730 NM SOUTHWEST OF
IWO TO, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CONTINUED
INTENSIFICATION OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS WITH A SMALL ROUND 10-NM EYE
AND A 150-NM DIAMETER CDO. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS
EXCELLENT POLEWARD OUTFLOW AHEAD OF A MIDLATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH
DIGGING EAST OF TAIWAN. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT
POSITION AND TRACK BASED ON THE SMALL EYE. THE CURRENT INTENSITY
IS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES OF 115 KNOTS FROM PGTW, KNES AND RJTD.
THIS FORECAST IS CONSISTENT WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND IS BASED
ON THE MODEL CONSENSUS, ALTHOUGH SLIGHTLY FASTER AFTER TAU 36. THE
AVAILABLE DYNAMIC MODELS ARE IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THIS TRACK.
BASED ON AN ANALYSIS OF MODEL FIELDS, THE CYCLONE PHASE PRODUCTS
AND SATELLITE IMAGERY, THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN EXTRA-
TROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) NEAR TAU 36 AND WILL COMPLETE ETT PRIOR
TO TAU 72. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 041800Z IS 18 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 050300Z, 050900Z, 051500Z AND 052100Z. REFER
TO TROPICAL STORM 02W (CHAN-HOM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
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Just Joshing You
- Category 2
- Posts: 512
- Joined: Sat Nov 03, 2007 10:29 am
- Location: Nova Scotia
Re: WPAC: Typhoon KUJIRA (TY 01W)
Just Joshing You wrote:Dare I say the A word?
No eye visible, can't be annular.
WTPQ20 RJTD 050000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0901 KUJIRA (0901)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050000UTC 17.6N 132.7E GOOD
MOVE ENE 16KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 180NM
FORECAST
24HF 060000UTC 20.1N 137.8E 85NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
48HF 070000UTC 25.5N 142.2E 180NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 080000UTC 34.1N 147.8E 250NM 70%
MOVE NNE 25KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =
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HurricaneRobert
- Category 3
- Posts: 812
- Joined: Fri May 18, 2007 9:31 pm
WTPQ20 RJTD 050600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0901 KUJIRA (0901)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050600UTC 18.3N 134.0E FAIR
MOVE ENE 14KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 160NM
FORECAST
24HF 060600UTC 22.0N 139.9E 85NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 070600UTC 28.2N 144.9E 180NM 70%
MOVE NE 19KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 080600UTC 34.6N 150.0E 250NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0901 KUJIRA (0901)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050600UTC 18.3N 134.0E FAIR
MOVE ENE 14KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 70NM
30KT 160NM
FORECAST
24HF 060600UTC 22.0N 139.9E 85NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
48HF 070600UTC 28.2N 144.9E 180NM 70%
MOVE NE 19KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 080600UTC 34.6N 150.0E 250NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 139046
- Age: 67
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: WPAC: Typhoon KUJIRA (TY 01W)
WTPN31 PGTW 051500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 01W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z --- NEAR 19.2N 135.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N 135.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 21.8N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 25.6N 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 29.3N 146.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 32.0N 149.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 35.6N 153.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
051500Z POSITION NEAR 19.8N 136.3E.
TYPHOON (TY) 01W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM SOUTHWEST OF
IWO-TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 20
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z, 060300Z, 060900Z AND 061500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02W (CHAN-HOM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 01W (KUJIRA) WARNING NR 014
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
051200Z --- NEAR 19.2N 135.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 060 DEGREES AT 16 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N 135.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
060000Z --- 21.8N 138.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 26 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
061200Z --- 25.6N 142.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
070000Z --- 29.3N 146.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
071200Z --- 32.0N 149.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
081200Z --- 35.6N 153.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
051500Z POSITION NEAR 19.8N 136.3E.
TYPHOON (TY) 01W (KUJIRA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 460 NM SOUTHWEST OF
IWO-TO, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 16 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 051200Z IS 20
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 052100Z, 060300Z, 060900Z AND 061500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 02W (CHAN-HOM) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN
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WTPQ20 RJTD 061200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0901 KUJIRA (0901)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061200UTC 22.6N 141.3E FAIR
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 100NM
FORECAST
24HF 071200UTC 30.3N 146.2E 85NM 70%
MOVE NNE 26KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 081200UTC 40.3N 155.1E 210NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0901 KUJIRA (0901)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 061200UTC 22.6N 141.3E FAIR
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 965HPA
MXWD 070KT
GUST 100KT
50KT 40NM
30KT 100NM
FORECAST
24HF 071200UTC 30.3N 146.2E 85NM 70%
MOVE NNE 26KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 081200UTC 40.3N 155.1E 210NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =
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