South China Sea: Invest 97W

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.8N 113.7E,
APPROXIMATELY 390 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION DEVELOPING
OVER A REGION OF MID TO UPPER LEVEL TURNING WITH TIGHT SURFACE
TROUGHING. A 090221Z TRMM IMAGE INDICATED THAT THE CONVECTION HAS
STARTED TO WRAP TOWARD THE CENTER OF THE MID-LEVEL TURNING. UPPER
LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A POINT SOURCE PROVIDING GOOD OUTFLOW WITH
MODERATE TO HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAMPERING DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS POOR.

[theavocado]

Looks like it has been removed from the bulletin. Quikscat shows that it never made it down to the surface, and with the monsoon trough shifting north, it just ran out of time.

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.8N
113.7E, APPROXIMATELY 390 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANILA, HAS
DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER CONSIDERED SUSPECT FOR DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.