WPAC: Tropical Depression LINFA (03W)

[HURAKAN]

18/0830 UTC 17.4N 116.7E T3.0/3.0 LINFA -- West Pacific

Apparently it has been upgraded to TS by Japan.

[HURAKAN]

ZCZC 633
WTPQ20 RJTD 180900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0903 LINFA (0903)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 180900UTC 17.6N 116.3E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 100NM
FORECAST
24HF 190900UTC 19.1N 118.4E 85NM 70%
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 200600UTC 20.1N 119.4E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 210600UTC 20.9N 120.8E 220NM 70%
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

Hong Kong is expecting landfall in Taiwan.

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL CYCLONE LINFA
(2009-06-18 11:32:22 UTC)
==========================
HKO:
180900Z 18.0N 116.3E 30KT
(+024H) 19.8N 118.0E 35KT
(+048H) 22.0N 120.5E 40KT
(+072H) 23.9N 122.1E 40KT
JTWC:
180600Z 17.8N 116.4E 40KT
(+024H) 18.4N 117.5E 45KT
(+048H) 20.2N 120.0E 50KT
(+072H) 22.1N 122.6E 40KT
(+096H) 24.7N 125.6E 35KT
(+120H) 27.8N 129.3E 30KT
JMA:
180600Z 17.6N 116.3E 35KT
(+024H) 19.0N 118.2E 45KT
(+048H) 20.1N 119.4E 45KT
(+072H) 20.9N 120.8E 40KT
KMA:
180600Z 17.6N 116.3E 35KT
(+024H) 19.2N 118.1E 45KT
(+048H) 20.1N 119.2E 45KT
(+072H) 21.2N 120.5E 37KT
CWB:
180600Z 18.1N 116.4E 35KT
(+024H) 19.0N 117.9E ---KT
(+048H) 20.9N 119.9E ---KT
(+072H) 22.9N 122.2E ---KT
(+096H) 26.1N 126.9E ---KT

[HURAKAN]

Interesting.

[CrazyC83]

Which spot is the center though?

[HURAKAN]

It doesn't look at good in this one.

[HURAKAN]

WTPN31 PGTW 181500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 03W (LINFA) WARNING NR 006
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
181200Z --- NEAR 17.5N 116.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 155 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 17.5N 116.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
190000Z --- 17.9N 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 18.6N 117.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 19.6N 118.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 20.7N 119.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 23.6N 121.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 25.9N 125.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
181500Z POSITION NEAR 17.6N 116.5E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 03W (LINFA) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 375 NM
SOUTHWEST OF KAOHSIUNG, TAIWAN, HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 181200Z IS 14
FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 182100Z, 190300Z, 190900Z AND 191500Z.
//
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

ZCZC 696
WTPQ20 RJTD 181200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0903 LINFA (0903)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 181200UTC 17.6N 116.3E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 100NM
FORECAST
24HF 191200UTC 19.3N 118.1E 85NM 70%
MOVE NE 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 201200UTC 20.5N 119.1E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 211200UTC 21.6N 120.1E 220NM 70%
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

SUBJ: TROPICAL STORM 03W (LINFA) WARNING NR 008
WTPN31 PGTW 190300
1. TROPICAL STORM 03W (LINFA) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
190000Z --- NEAR 18.1N 116.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 335 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 18.1N 116.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
191200Z --- 19.1N 117.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 20.1N 118.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 21.3N 119.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 22.4N 120.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
220000Z --- 25.3N 123.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
230000Z --- 29.3N 129.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 24 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
240000Z --- 31.8N 139.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
190300Z POSITION NEAR 18.4N 116.9E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 03W (LINFA) LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 785 NM
SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA, AND HAS REMAINED QUASISTATIONARY OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 190000Z
IS 15 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 190900Z, 191500Z, 192100Z AND
200300Z.
//
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

ZCZC 854
WTPQ20 RJTD 190000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0903 LINFA (0903)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 190000UTC 17.6N 116.9E FAIR
MOVE E SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 140NM SOUTH 100NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 200000UTC 19.0N 117.5E 85NM 70%
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 210000UTC 21.0N 118.0E 160NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 220000UTC 22.8N 118.4E 220NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

ZCZC 982
WTPQ20 RJTD 190900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0903 LINFA (0903)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 190900UTC 18.8N 117.4E FAIR
MOVE N 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
30KT 160NM SOUTH 120NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 200900UTC 21.4N 117.4E 85NM 70%
MOVE N 07KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 210600UTC 22.2N 117.7E 150NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 220600UTC 24.1N 117.5E 200NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT =
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

ZCZC 026
WTPQ20 RJTD 191200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0903 LINFA (0903) UPGRADED FROM TS
ANALYSIS
PSTN 191200UTC 19.3N 117.1E FAIR
MOVE N 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 200NM SOUTH 150NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 201200UTC 21.2N 117.2E 85NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 211200UTC 23.3N 117.4E 160NM 70%
MOVE N 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 221200UTC 25.4N 118.2E 220NM 70%
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

WTPN31 PGTW 191500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 03W (LINFA) WARNING NR 010
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
191200Z --- NEAR 19.2N 117.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 05 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 19.2N 117.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
200000Z --- 20.4N 117.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
201200Z --- 21.6N 118.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
210000Z --- 23.2N 119.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
211200Z --- 25.0N 120.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
221200Z --- 27.8N 124.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 16 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
231200Z --- 30.4N 131.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 22 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
241200Z --- 33.5N 141.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
191500Z POSITION NEAR 19.5N 117.4E. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 03W (LINFA)
LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 725 NM SOUTHWEST OF OKINAWA HAS TRACKED
NORTHWARD AT 05 KTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191200Z IS 17 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 192100Z, 200300Z, 200900Z AND 201500Z.
//
NNNN

[CrazyC83]

Eye trying to form - I'd say 60 kt (1-min).