EPAC: TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE (07E)

[HURAKAN]

It looks like a hurricane. Not sure what to make of it.

[HURAKAN]

661
WHXX01 KMIA 060626
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0626 UTC THU AUG 6 2009

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL CYCLONE ENRIQUE (EP072009) 20090806 0600 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
090806 0600 090806 1800 090807 0600 090807 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 20.2N 125.3W 22.2N 127.7W 23.6N 129.8W 24.8N 131.7W
BAMD 20.2N 125.3W 21.9N 127.6W 23.3N 129.3W 24.3N 130.3W
BAMM 20.2N 125.3W 21.9N 127.7W 23.3N 129.7W 24.3N 131.5W
LBAR 20.2N 125.3W 22.2N 127.1W 23.9N 128.7W 25.1N 129.9W
SHIP 40KTS 38KTS 34KTS 29KTS
DSHP 40KTS 38KTS 34KTS 29KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
090808 0600 090809 0600 090810 0600 090811 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 25.4N 133.3W 26.0N 136.6W 25.2N 139.8W 24.1N 143.1W
BAMD 24.9N 130.9W 24.0N 131.1W 21.7N 132.1W 20.7N 132.9W
BAMM 25.0N 133.1W 25.3N 135.5W 24.4N 137.8W 23.7N 139.8W
LBAR 26.4N 130.5W 29.0N 130.9W 31.8N 132.0W 34.8N 130.1W
SHIP 22KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 22KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 20.2N LONCUR = 125.3W DIRCUR = 310DEG SPDCUR = 15KT
LATM12 = 18.0N LONM12 = 122.8W DIRM12 = 312DEG SPDM12 = 17KT
LATM24 = 16.4N LONM24 = 120.2W
WNDCUR = 40KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 1002MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 70NM RD34SW = 20NM RD34NW = 30NM

$$
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

EP, 07, 2009080606, , BEST, 0, 202N, 1253W, 45, 1000, TS

The models start at 40 knots but this says 45 knots.

[HURAKAN]

136
WHXX01 KMIA 060630
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0630 UTC THU AUG 6 2009

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL CYCLONE ENRIQUE (EP072009) 20090806 0600 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
090806 0600 090806 1800 090807 0600 090807 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 20.2N 125.3W 22.2N 127.7W 23.6N 129.8W 24.8N 131.7W
BAMD 20.2N 125.3W 21.9N 127.6W 23.3N 129.3W 24.3N 130.3W
BAMM 20.2N 125.3W 21.9N 127.7W 23.3N 129.7W 24.3N 131.5W
LBAR 20.2N 125.3W 22.2N 127.1W 23.9N 128.7W 25.1N 129.9W
SHIP 45KTS 44KTS 40KTS 34KTS
DSHP 45KTS 44KTS 40KTS 34KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
090808 0600 090809 0600 090810 0600 090811 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 25.4N 133.3W 26.0N 136.6W 25.2N 139.8W 24.1N 143.1W
BAMD 24.9N 130.9W 24.0N 131.1W 21.7N 132.1W 20.7N 132.9W
BAMM 25.0N 133.1W 25.3N 135.5W 24.4N 137.8W 23.7N 139.8W
LBAR 26.4N 130.5W 29.0N 130.9W 31.8N 132.0W 34.8N 130.1W
SHIP 27KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 27KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 20.2N LONCUR = 125.3W DIRCUR = 310DEG SPDCUR = 15KT
LATM12 = 18.0N LONM12 = 122.8W DIRM12 = 312DEG SPDM12 = 17KT
LATM24 = 16.4N LONM24 = 120.2W
WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 70NM RD34SW = 20NM RD34NW = 30NM

$$
NNNN

[cycloneye]

ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072009
200 AM PDT THU AUG 06 2009

CONTRARY TO WHAT THE MODELS WERE INDICATING...ENRIQUE HAS REMAINED
DETACHED FROM FELICIA. IN FACT...MICROWAVE DATA SHOW THAT ENRIQUE
HAS SURPRISINGLY MAINTAINED A WELL-DEFINED CONVECTIVE RING
ASSOCIATED WITH THE CENTER...WHICH IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A SMALL BUT
STRONG AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS. BASED ON THE RESILIENT CLOUD PATTERN
AND A 0300 UTC QUIKSCAT PASS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 45
KNOTS. NEITHER THE SHEAR NOR THE PROXIMITY TO FELICIA HAVE WEAKENED
ENRIQUE...BUT THE CYCLONE IS ALREADY OVER 24.4 DEGREES CELSIUS
WATERS AND IS HEADING TOWARD EVEN COLDER SSTS. THIS WILL LIKELY BE
THE KISS OF DEATH AND ENRIQUE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT
LOW IN ABOUT 36 HOURS OR LESS.

ENRIQUE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 KNOTS
WITHIN THE FLOW BETWEEN THE NORTHERN CIRCULATION OF FELICIA AND THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. THE CYCLONE SHOULD BEGIN TO BE
STEERED MORE THE WEST BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW AS IT WEAKENS AND
BECOMES A SHALLOW SYSTEM. MOST OF THE GLOBAL MODELS DO NOT EVEN
ACKNOWLEDGE THE PRESENCE OF ENRIQUE...AND THE ONES THAT DO...MOVE
THE CYCLONE NORTHWESTWARD AND THEN WESTWARD UNTIL DISSIPATION.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 06/0900Z 20.7N 125.9W 45 KT
12HR VT 06/1800Z 22.0N 127.8W 40 KT
24HR VT 07/0600Z 22.5N 130.5W 30 KT
36HR VT 07/1800Z 23.0N 133.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 08/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL STORM ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072009
800 AM PDT THU AUG 06 2009

THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN OF ENRIQUE HAS DEGRADED DURING THE PAST 6
HOURS. THE CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED AND BANDING FEATURES HAVE BECOME
ALMOST NON-EXISTENT. DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE DECREASED AND SUPPORT
LOWERING THE INITIAL INTENSITY TO 35 KT. A FORTUITOUS 1015 UTC
AMSR-E OVERPASS WAS EXTREMELY HELPFUL IN LOCATING THE CENTER OF THE
CYCLONE. ENRIQUE IS ALREADY OVER SSTS BELOW 24 DEGREES CELSIUS AND
HEADING TOWARD EVEN COOLER WATERS. THEREFORE... CONTINUED WEAKENING
IS PREDICTED AND ENRIQUE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME REMNANT LOW IN A DAY
OR SO.

THE INITIAL MOTION APPEARS TO HAVE TURNED MORE TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300/15 KT. AS THE CYCLONE WEAKENS AND
BECOMES A SHALLOWER SYSTEM...IT SHOULD TURN A LITTLE MORE WESTWARD
WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. THE OFFICIAL TRACK IS ALONG
THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE MODEL ENVELOPE AND IS CLOSE TO THE
PREVIOUS NHC TRACK.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 06/1500Z 21.3N 127.6W 35 KT
12HR VT 07/0000Z 22.2N 129.5W 30 KT
24HR VT 07/1200Z 23.0N 132.2W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 08/0000Z 23.2N 135.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

[HURAKAN]

The end is near for the once powerful disturbance

[HURAKAN]

023
WHXX01 KMIA 061822
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1822 UTC THU AUG 6 2009

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL CYCLONE ENRIQUE (EP072009) 20090806 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
090806 1800 090807 0600 090807 1800 090808 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 22.1N 127.7W 23.7N 129.7W 24.9N 131.6W 25.6N 133.3W
BAMD 22.1N 127.7W 23.6N 129.5W 24.7N 130.7W 25.3N 131.4W
BAMM 22.1N 127.7W 23.5N 129.6W 24.5N 131.3W 25.2N 132.9W
LBAR 22.1N 127.7W 23.8N 129.2W 25.2N 130.4W 26.4N 131.1W
SHIP 35KTS 27KTS 20KTS 0KTS
DSHP 35KTS 27KTS 20KTS 0KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
090808 1800 090809 1800 090810 1800 090811 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 25.9N 135.0W 25.4N 138.5W 24.1N 142.3W 22.8N 146.3W
BAMD 25.2N 131.7W 23.2N 132.9W 21.6N 134.6W 21.2N 135.9W
BAMM 25.4N 134.2W 24.4N 136.9W 23.1N 139.9W 22.9N 142.3W
LBAR 27.5N 131.5W 30.2N 133.4W 34.0N 134.5W 37.6N 130.1W
SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 22.1N LONCUR = 127.7W DIRCUR = 310DEG SPDCUR = 15KT
LATM12 = 20.3N LONM12 = 125.5W DIRM12 = 306DEG SPDM12 = 16KT
LATM24 = 18.0N LONM24 = 122.8W
WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD = 140NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 45NM RD34SE = 45NM RD34SW = 30NM RD34NW = 30NM

$$
NNNN

[cycloneye]

Downgraded to TD

226
WTPZ42 KNHC 062035
TCDEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072009
200 PM PDT THU AUG 06 2009

MICROWAVE AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT ENRIQUE IS
LOCATED A LITTLE NORTHEAST OF THE EARLIER ESTIMATES. DEEP
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE CYCLONE HAS CONTINUED TO WANE THIS
AFTERNOON. DVORAK T-NUMBERS HAVE SUBSEQUENTLY DECREASED AND
SUPPORT LOWERING THE INITIAL INTENSITY TO 30 KT.

ENRIQUE IS HEADED TOWARD EVEN COOLER WATER WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE
THE WEAKENING PROCESS. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
A REMNANT LOW WITHIN 24 HOURS AND DISSIPATE SHORTLY THEREAFTER.
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/15 KT. THE TRACK GUIDANCE
NOW PREDICTS LESS OF A BEND TOWARD THE WEST AS ENRIQUE APPARENTLY
BECOMES LESS INVOLVED WITH THE LARGE CIRCULATION OF HURRICANE
FELICIA. BECAUSE OF THAT...AND THE RELOCATION OF THE CENTER...THE
NHC TRACK FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED NORTHWARD.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 06/2100Z 22.5N 128.3W 30 KT
12HR VT 07/0600Z 23.5N 130.0W 25 KT
24HR VT 07/1800Z 24.8N 132.4W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 08/0600Z 25.7N 135.1W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 08/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

[cycloneye]

WTPZ42 KNHC 070238
TCDEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072009
800 PM PDT THU AUG 06 2009

CONVENTIONAL AND MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE THAT UNWAVERING ENRIQUE
IS SUSTAINING A SMALL BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION JUST TO THE SOUTH OF
THE CIRCULATION CENTER. ACCORDINGLY...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
HELD AT 30 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY
TRAVERSING 22 TO 23 DEGREE CELSIUS WATERS AND IS MOVING WITHIN
INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AHEAD OF A DEEP-LAYER TROUGH TO THE
NORTHWEST. AS A RESULT...IT IS ASSUMED THAT ENRIQUE WILL
DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS WITH
DISSIPATION IN 36 HOURS.

ENRIQUE HAS SLOWED A BIT THIS EVENING...315/12...IN RESPONSE TO A
BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED
TROUGH EXTENDING FROM CALIFORNIA TO THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. THE
LARGE SCALE MODELS SUGGEST THAT A LOW TO MID LEVEL RIDGE IS NOT
EXPECTED TO RE-ESTABLISH NORTHEAST OF THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII
UNTIL AFTER ENRIQUE DISSIPATES. THEREFORE...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
IS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE DYNAMICAL MODELS IMPLYING THAT THE
CYCLONE SHOULD CONTINUE ON A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD MOTION UNTIL
DISSIPATION.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 07/0300Z 23.2N 129.0W 30 KT
12HR VT 07/1200Z 24.3N 130.7W 25 KT
24HR VT 08/0000Z 25.5N 132.9W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 08/1200Z 26.6N 135.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 09/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN

[HURAKAN]

380
WHXX01 KMIA 071252
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1252 UTC FRI AUG 7 2009

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL CYCLONE ENRIQUE (EP072009) 20090807 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
090807 1200 090808 0000 090808 1200 090809 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 24.2N 129.6W 25.2N 130.9W 25.7N 132.0W 25.7N 132.9W
BAMD 24.2N 129.6W 24.9N 130.3W 24.9N 130.7W 24.4N 131.1W
BAMM 24.2N 129.6W 25.0N 130.8W 25.3N 131.7W 25.1N 132.5W
LBAR 24.2N 129.6W 25.1N 130.3W 26.1N 130.9W 27.0N 131.9W
SHIP 30KTS 24KTS 17KTS 0KTS
DSHP 30KTS 24KTS 17KTS 0KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
090809 1200 090810 1200 090811 1200 090812 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 25.2N 134.1W 24.0N 137.0W 23.4N 140.1W 23.6N 142.9W
BAMD 23.2N 131.9W 21.0N 134.2W 19.8N 136.1W 21.0N 137.8W
BAMM 24.5N 133.5W 23.0N 136.2W 22.3N 138.7W 23.5N 140.7W
LBAR 27.8N 133.3W 30.4N 136.4W 35.3N 135.9W 39.7N 125.9W
SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 24.2N LONCUR = 129.6W DIRCUR = 320DEG SPDCUR = 8KT
LATM12 = 22.9N LONM12 = 128.5W DIRM12 = 321DEG SPDM12 = 11KT
LATM24 = 21.0N LONM24 = 126.6W
WNDCUR = 30KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 140NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

141
WTPZ32 KNHC 071445
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072009
800 AM PDT FRI AUG 07 2009

...ENRIQUE BARELY HANGING ON AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...

AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.8 WEST OR
ABOUT 1265 MILES...2030 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND ENRIQUE IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...24.4N 129.8W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




457
WTPZ42 KNHC 071445
TCDEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072009
800 AM PDT FRI AUG 07 2009

ENRIQUE MAINTAINED A SMALL AREA OF CONVECTION NEAR ITS CENTER DURING
THE NIGHT. HOWEVER...THE CONVECTION HAS VERY RECENTLY DISSIPATED
AND THE CYCLONE IS CLOSE TO BEING DECLARED A REMNANT LOW. HOWEVER
WE WILL WAIT A LITTLE LONGER TO MAKE SURE THAT ORGANIZED DEEP
CONVECTION DOES NOT REDEVELOP.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 8 KT...A LITTLE
SLOWER THAN BEFORE. ENRIQUE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON THIS
HEADING UNTIL DISSIPATION.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 07/1500Z 24.4N 129.8W 30 KT
12HR VT 08/0000Z 25.0N 130.5W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 08/1200Z 25.6N 131.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 09/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

[cycloneye]

Last Advisory

WTPZ42 KNHC 072037
TCDEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ENRIQUE DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072009
200 PM PDT FRI AUG 07 2009

ENRIQUE HAS BEEN VOID OF DEEP CONVECTION SINCE A LITTLE AFTER 1200
UTC THIS MORNING. THE CYCLONE IS OVER SUB 22C WATER AND DEVELOPMENT
OF ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION IS NOT EXPECTED. THEREFORE...ENRIQUE
IS BEING DECLARED A REMNANT LOW. THE FORWARD MOTION OF THE CYCLONE
HAS SLOWED AS IT HAS WEAKENED AND BECOME A SHALLOW SYSTEM. THE
REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD BEFORE IT
LOSES ITS IDENTITY IN A DAY OR TWO.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON
ENRIQUE. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE
HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER
AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 07/2100Z 25.0N 129.8W 25 KT
12HR VT 08/0600Z 25.5N 130.1W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 08/1800Z 25.9N 130.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 09/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

[HURAKAN]

At the beginning a lot of people were thinking Enrique would kill future Felicia but fate said otherwise.