CPAC: Invest 94C

[HURAKAN]

BEGIN
CPHC_ATCF
invest_cp942009.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
200908230121
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, CP, C, , , , , 94, 2009, DB, O, 2009082306, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , CP942009
CP, 94, 2009082218, , BEST, 0, 109N, 1507W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
CP, 94, 2009082300, , BEST, 0, 109N, 1516W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
CP, 94, 2009082306, , BEST, 0, 108N, 1521W, 25, 1009, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 100, 45, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,

[HURAKAN]

243
WHXX01 KMIA 231123
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1123 UTC SUN AUG 23 2009

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO CPHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

CENTRAL PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (CP942009) 20090823 0600 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
090823 0600 090823 1800 090824 0600 090824 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 10.8N 152.1W 11.5N 153.6W 12.1N 155.0W 12.7N 156.6W
BAMD 10.8N 152.1W 10.9N 154.5W 11.1N 156.8W 11.6N 159.2W
BAMM 10.8N 152.1W 11.2N 153.8W 11.4N 155.6W 11.9N 157.6W
LBAR 10.8N 152.1W 11.0N 153.8W 11.5N 155.8W 12.1N 157.9W
SHIP 25KTS 30KTS 39KTS 48KTS
DSHP 25KTS 30KTS 39KTS 48KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
090825 0600 090826 0600 090827 0600 090828 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 13.2N 158.2W 14.2N 161.0W 14.4N 163.2W 14.1N 165.6W
BAMD 12.3N 161.2W 13.5N 164.4W 14.0N 166.5W 13.8N 168.5W
BAMM 12.6N 159.5W 14.0N 162.5W 14.6N 164.3W 14.4N 166.4W
LBAR 13.2N 160.0W 12.7N 165.4W 13.2N 167.6W .0N .0W
SHIP 56KTS 67KTS 74KTS 74KTS
DSHP 56KTS 67KTS 74KTS 74KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 10.8N LONCUR = 152.1W DIRCUR = 265DEG SPDCUR = 7KT
LATM12 = 10.9N LONM12 = 150.7W DIRM12 = 267DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 11.0N LONM24 = 149.3W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 45NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 100NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
NNNN

[HURAKAN]

* EAST PACIFIC SHIPS INTENSITY FORECAST *
* GOES DATA AVAILABLE *
* OHC DATA AVAILABLE *
* INVEST CP942009 08/23/09 06 UTC *

SHEAR (KT) 12 14 16 10 5 5 4 3 5 1 4 6 9
SHEAR DIR 71 52 72 90 86 139 126 65 119 344 57 27 354
SST (C) 28.7 28.7 28.6 28.6 28.5 28.2 27.9 27.7 27.5 27.5 27.5 27.6 27.7


Shear expected to relax

[cycloneye]

WHXX01 KMIA 231241
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
1241 UTC SUN AUG 23 2009

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO CPHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

CENTRAL PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (CP942009) 20090823 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
090823 1200 090824 0000 090824 1200 090825 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 10.8N 152.6W 11.6N 153.8W 12.0N 155.0W 12.6N 156.5W
BAMD 10.8N 152.6W 10.9N 154.9W 11.2N 157.0W 11.6N 159.2W
BAMM 10.8N 152.6W 11.0N 154.3W 11.1N 156.1W 11.5N 157.9W
LBAR 10.8N 152.6W 11.0N 154.2W 11.5N 156.1W 12.4N 158.1W
SHIP 25KTS 32KTS 43KTS 53KTS
DSHP 25KTS 32KTS 43KTS 53KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
090825 1200 090826 1200 090827 1200 090828 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 13.2N 157.9W 13.7N 160.0W 13.6N 161.9W 13.5N 163.9W
BAMD 12.2N 161.3W 13.6N 164.7W 14.1N 167.6W 14.4N 170.8W
BAMM 12.1N 159.6W 13.4N 162.3W 13.6N 164.5W 13.6N 167.5W
LBAR 13.7N 160.2W 12.9N 166.0W 13.2N 168.1W .0N .0W
SHIP 64KTS 77KTS 81KTS 83KTS
DSHP 64KTS 77KTS 81KTS 83KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 10.8N LONCUR = 152.6W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 6KT
LATM12 = 10.9N LONM12 = 151.6W DIRM12 = 266DEG SPDM12 = 7KT
LATM24 = 11.0N LONM24 = 149.7W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 65NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 175NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

[Chacor]

ACPN50 PHFO 231347
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
400 AM HST SUN AUG 23 2009

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IN MIAMI...FLORIDA IS ISSUING
ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM HILDA...LOCATED ABOUT 1070 MILES EAST
SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. HILDA...WHICH IS MOVING WESTWARD AT
ABOUT 9 MPH...WILL CROSS LONGITUDE 140W INTO THE CENTRAL PACIFIC
HURRICANE CENTER AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY LATER THIS MORNING. PUBLIC
ADVISORIES ON HILDA ARE BEING ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTPZ31 KNHC
AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPEP1.

2. AN AREA OF DISORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN EAST TO
WEST ORIENTED SURFACE TROUGH IS LOCATED ABOUT 635 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF HILO...HAWAII. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM MAY
OCCUR AS IT DRIFTS SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING.

$$

HOUSTON

[HURAKAN]

Not bad

[HURAKAN]

It will be interesting to see how Hilda interacts with this system