EPAC: TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA (15E)

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#81 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Sep 10, 2009 6:01 am

HURRICANE LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152009
200 AM PDT THU SEP 10 2009

...LINDA CONTINUES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...

AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LINDA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 129.6 WEST OR ABOUT 1325 MILES
...2130 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

LINDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL DIRECTION OF MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...17.8N 129.6W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152009
200 AM PDT THU SEP 10 2009

THE EYE DISAPPEARED FROM GEOSTATIONARY IMAGES AROUND 0300 UTC.
SUBSEQUENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY DEPICTED A PARTIAL EYEWALL THAT WAS
OPEN OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE. DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE
77 KT AND 65 KT FROM TAFB AND SAB...RESPECTIVELY...SO THE ADVISORY
INTENSITY IS HELD AT 70 KT. THE OVERALL CLOUD PATTERN HAS BECOME
SLIGHTLY LESS ORGANIZED IN APPEARANCE AND ELONGATED FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH...INDICATIVE OF SOUTHERLY OR SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVEL CYCLONIC SHEAR AXIS OR
TROUGH JUST TO THE WEST OF LINDA AND AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE TO THE
EAST...AND THESE FEATURES ARE LIKELY PRODUCING THE SHEAR. GLOBAL
MODELS PREDICT THE TROUGH TO SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST IN A COUPLE OF
DAYS WITH STRONG WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE TROPICAL CYCLONE.
THE SHIPS MODEL INDICATES SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY SHEAR IN
THE 20 TO 25 KT RANGE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THIS UNFAVORABLE
DYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT...ALONG WITH SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES COOLING
BELOW 24 DEG C IN ABOUT 48 HOURS...SHOULD RESULT IN WEAKENING. THE
OFFICIAL WIND SPEED FORECAST GOES WITH THE CONSENSUS OF THE
OBJECTIVE INTENSITY GUIDANCE.

THE MICROWAVE IMAGE DATA INDICATES THAT THE CENTER IS A LITTLE SOUTH
AND WEST OF WHERE IT APPEARS TO BE ON GEOSTATIONARY IMAGES.
INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE BETWEEN NORTHWEST AND
NORTH-NORTHWEST...325/7. LINDA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH A
WEAKNESS IN THE MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO. IN THE LATTER HALF OF THE FORECAST PERIOD...DYNAMICAL MODELS
DEPICT A MID-TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH AMPLIFYING TO THE NORTH OF LINDA.
ALTHOUGH THIS COULD CAUSE THE CYCLONE TO TURN NORTHEASTWARD BY DAYS
4-5...LINDA OR ITS REMNANTS WILL PROBABLY BE STEERED BY THE
LOWER-TROPOSPHERIC FLOW BY THAT TIME. THESE LOW LEVEL WINDS ARE
PREDICTED TO BE VERY WEAK...SO THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST SHOWS A
VERY SLOW MOTION FROM 72-120 HOURS. THIS IS ONLY SLIGHTLY WEST OF
AND A TAD SLOWER THAN THE PREVIOUS OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 10/0900Z 17.8N 129.6W 70 KT
12HR VT 10/1800Z 18.8N 130.3W 70 KT
24HR VT 11/0600Z 20.1N 131.1W 65 KT
36HR VT 11/1800Z 21.0N 131.9W 55 KT
48HR VT 12/0600Z 21.6N 132.6W 40 KT
72HR VT 13/0600Z 22.4N 133.5W 25 KT
96HR VT 14/0600Z 23.0N 134.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT 15/0600Z 23.5N 134.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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Re: EPAC: HURRICANE LINDA (15E)

#82 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 10, 2009 9:39 am

000
WTPZ45 KNHC 101438
TCDEP5
HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152009
800 AM PDT THU SEP 10 2009

ENHANCED BD-CURVE INFRARED IMAGERY AND AN AQUA-1 AMSR-E COLOR
COMPOSITE MICROWAVE OVERPASS SUGGEST THAT LINDA HAS STRENGTHENED
SOME THIS MORNING. DESPITE 15-20 KT OF SOUTHERLY SHEAR...THE
CYCLONE STRUCTURE IS COMPRISED OF IMPROVED BANDING OVER THE WESTERN
SEMI-CIRCLE AND A 90 PERCENT CLOSED EYEWALL. THE INITIAL INTENSITY
IS SET AT 75 KT...AND IS BASED ON A BLEND OF DVORAK AND AMSU TC
INTENSITY ESTIMATES. THE DYNAMICAL MODELS ALL AGREE WITH A
WEAKENING THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO INCREASING
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY TO WESTERLY SHEAR AND DECREASING SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ALONG THE TRACK. THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FORECAST IS
BASICALLY A REPEAT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND SIDES WITH THE ICON
MODEL CONSENSUS.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 330/8 KT...WITHIN THE
SOUTHERLY FLOW PRODUCED BY A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO THE EAST OF
LINDA AND A STATIONARY MID TO UPPER TROUGH TO THE NORTH. THE
CYCLONE SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE IN THIS DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. BEYOND DAY 3...THE LARGE-SCALE MODELS AND THE GFDN/GFDL
SUGGEST THAT THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY TO THE NORTH OF
LINDA. AT THE SAME TIME...THE RIDGE TO THE EAST IS EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN THROUGH THE LATTER PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST. AS A
RESULT...LINDA SHOULD SLOW SIGNIFICANTLY IN FORWARD SPEED WITH A
GENERAL NORTHWARD COMPONENT AFTER THE 48 HOUR PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST IS BASED ON THIS SCENARIO AND FOLLOWS CLOSELY TO THE
PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND THE DYNAMICAL MODEL BLEND.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 10/1500Z 18.4N 130.1W 75 KT
12HR VT 11/0000Z 19.4N 130.6W 65 KT
24HR VT 11/1200Z 20.6N 131.4W 55 KT
36HR VT 12/0000Z 21.3N 132.1W 50 KT
48HR VT 12/1200Z 21.7N 132.8W 35 KT
72HR VT 13/1200Z 22.4N 133.7W 25 KT
96HR VT 14/1200Z 23.0N 134.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT 15/1200Z 23.5N 134.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA

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Re: EPAC: HURRICANE LINDA (15E)

#83 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 10, 2009 3:41 pm

000
WTPZ45 KNHC 102038
TCDEP5
HURRICANE LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152009
200 PM PDT THU SEP 10 2009

A 1623 UTC SSMIS MICROWAVE OVERPASS RETRIEVED FROM THE NRL MONTEREY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WEBSITE INDICATES A WELL DEFINED MID-LEVEL EYE
FEATURE DISPLACED TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OF A PARTIALLY ENCLOSED
SURFACE EYEWALL. SUBSEQUENTLY...MOST OF THE EYEWALL AT THE SURFACE
HAS ERODED...PARTICULARLY OVER THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE...DUE TO
PERSISTENT SOUTHERLY SHEAR. DVORAK SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES
HAVE DECREASED TO 65 KT...AND AN EARLIER SATCON ANALYSIS FROM
UW-CIMSS ALSO SUGGESTED THAT THE CYCLONE HAD REACHED ITS PEAK
INTENSITY. BASED ON THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION TRENDS AND ALL OF
THE AVAILABLE INTENSITY ESTIMATES...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS
LOWERED TO 65 KT. LINDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AND BECOME A
REMNANT LOW BY DAY 4 IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY
TO WESTERLY SHEAR AND COOLER OCEAN WATERS. THE SHIPS MODEL ALSO
SUGGESTS THAT THE CYCLONE WILL MOVE INTO A MORE STABLE ATMOSPHERE
AROUND MID PERIOD...FURTHER ACCENTUATING THE WEAKENING TREND.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 340/08...WITHIN THE SOUTHERLY
FLOW PRODUCED BY A MID-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE TO THE EAST OF LINDA AND A
DEEPENING MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH TO THE NORTH. THE CYCLONE IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD HEADING
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. BEYOND THAT TIME...LINDA SHOULD COMMENCE A
NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT WITHIN THE PERSISTENT WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
IS SHIFTED A BIT TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK AND AGREES WITH
THE TVCN DYNAMICAL MODEL CONSENSUS.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 10/2100Z 19.4N 130.1W 65 KT
12HR VT 11/0600Z 20.5N 130.6W 60 KT
24HR VT 11/1800Z 21.6N 131.4W 50 KT
36HR VT 12/0600Z 22.3N 132.0W 40 KT
48HR VT 12/1800Z 22.6N 132.5W 30 KT
72HR VT 13/1800Z 23.0N 133.0W 25 KT
96HR VT 14/1800Z 23.5N 133.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT 15/1800Z 24.0N 133.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/AVILA
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Re: EPAC: HURRICANE LINDA (15E)

#84 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 10, 2009 8:12 pm

00 UTC best Track.

Linda will be downgraded at the next advisory.

EP, 15, 2009091100, , BEST, 0, 196N, 1303W, 60, 991, TS

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 009.invest
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Re: EPAC: TROPICAL STORM LINDA (15E)

#85 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 10, 2009 9:34 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152009
800 PM PDT THU SEP 10 2009

...LINDA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...FURTHER WEAKENING EXPECTED...

AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LINDA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.5 WEST OR ABOUT
1340 MILES...2155 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

LINDA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ARE
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES...195 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...19.9N 130.5W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

000
WTPZ45 KNHC 110238
TCDEP5
TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152009
800 PM PDT THU SEP 10 2009

LINDA APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING QUICKLY AS IT MOVES OVER SUB 26C
WATERS AND ENCOUNTERS AROUND 20 KNOTS OF SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND SHEAR AS ANALYZED BY UW-CIMSS AND THE SHIPS MODEL. SATELLITE
IMAGERY SHOWS A THINNING OF THE CONVECTIVE OVERCAST AND WARMING
CLOUD TOPS OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. A 2010 UTC TRMM PASS AND A 2140
UTC AMSR-E PASS SHOW CONTINUED VERTICAL DECOUPLING OF THE
CYCLONE...WITH THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER LOCATED ABOUT A HALF A DEGREE
SOUTHEAST OF THE MID-LEVEL CENTER. THE CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE
IS 55 KT...A LITTLE LOWER THAN A BLEND OF DVORAK INTENSITY
ESTIMATES FROM TAFB AND SAB AND 3-HOUR AVERAGE ADT T-NUMBERS DUE TO
THE DEGRADED SATELLITE PRESENTATION OF THE SYSTEM. LINDA WILL BE
MOVING OVER SSTS LESS THAN 24C AFTER 24 HOURS...WHICH IN
COMBINATION WITH CONTINUED STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR SHOULD RESULT
IN STEADY WEAKENING TO A REMNANT LOW IN ABOUT 48 HOURS AND
DISSIPATION IN 4 OR 5 DAYS. THIS REASONING IS REFLECTED IN THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST...WHICH IS CLOSE TO THE ICON INTENSITY CONSENSUS.

THE AFOREMENTIONED MICROWAVE IMAGERY SHOWED THAT THE LOW-LEVEL
CENTER WAS LOCATED A LITTLE BEHIND PREVIOUS ESTIMATES. THE
INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 330/07...AS LINDA IS BEING STEERED
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST BY A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL LOW
CENTERED NEAR 23N142W AND A MID- TO UPPER-LEVEL HIGH CENTERED
NEAR 22N117W. AS LINDA BECOMES AN INCREASINGLY SHALLOW SYSTEM...IT
WILL DECOUPLE FROM THE DEEP-LAYER FLOW AND BEGIN TO MOVE
NORTHWESTWARD INTO A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW- TO MID-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE BETWEEN 130W AND 135W. IF LINDA IS STILL AROUND NEAR THE END
OF THE PERIOD...IT COULD BE PULLED NORTHWARD BY A DEEP-LAYER TROUGH
APPROACHING THE CALIFORNIA COAST. ALTERNATIVELY...IT COULD TURN
WESTWARD IF THAT TROUGH PASSES BY TO THE NORTH. THE NEW TRACK
FORECAST IS SHIFTED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...
TOWARD THE TVCN MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS...BEFORE SHOWING A VERY SLOW
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION PRIOR TO DISSIPATION.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 11/0300Z 19.9N 130.5W 55 KT
12HR VT 11/1200Z 20.8N 131.0W 50 KT
24HR VT 12/0000Z 21.7N 131.8W 40 KT
36HR VT 12/1200Z 22.1N 132.3W 30 KT
48HR VT 13/0000Z 22.3N 132.7W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 14/0000Z 22.5N 133.3W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 15/0000Z 23.0N 133.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
120HR VT 16/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

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#86 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Sep 11, 2009 3:38 am

Image

Byee!
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#87 Postby brunota2003 » Fri Sep 11, 2009 8:09 am

Boy did she fall apart rapidly! poor girl :(
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#88 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 11, 2009 1:45 pm

11/1800 UTC 20.6N 131.1W TOO WEAK LINDA -- East Pacific

The end is very near
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Re: EPAC: TROPICAL STORM LINDA (15E)

#89 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 11, 2009 1:46 pm

Really?

345
WHXX01 KMIA 111819
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1819 UTC FRI SEP 11 2009

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL CYCLONE LINDA (EP152009) 20090911 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
090911 1800 090912 0600 090912 1800 090913 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 20.6N 131.1W 21.8N 132.2W 22.7N 133.0W 23.3N 133.6W
BAMD 20.6N 131.1W 23.1N 131.2W 25.2N 129.9W 26.8N 126.3W
BAMM 20.6N 131.1W 22.3N 131.9W 23.6N 132.1W 24.5N 131.1W
LBAR 20.6N 131.1W 22.2N 131.3W 23.3N 130.9W 24.6N 130.6W
SHIP 35KTS 25KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 35KTS 25KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
090913 1800 090914 1800 090915 1800 090916 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 24.1N 133.5W 25.5N 133.1W 29.2N 132.1W 31.2N 128.3W
BAMD 28.1N 120.9W 32.4N 111.4W 34.4N 105.1W 32.7N 102.9W
BAMM 25.1N 128.7W 25.5N 123.2W 25.4N 121.1W 24.2N 121.4W
LBAR 25.6N 129.3W 28.4N 125.7W 32.3N 120.9W 32.6N 114.4W
SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS
DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 20.6N LONCUR = 131.1W DIRCUR = 320DEG SPDCUR = 5KT
LATM12 = 19.9N LONM12 = 130.5W DIRM12 = 339DEG SPDM12 = 5KT
LATM24 = 18.9N LONM24 = 130.0W
WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 50KT
CENPRS = 1002MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 45NM RD34SE = 45NM RD34SW = 45NM RD34NW = 45NM

$$
NNNN

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Re: EPAC: TROPICAL STORM LINDA (15E)

#90 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 11, 2009 3:46 pm

TROPICAL STORM LINDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152009
200 PM PDT FRI SEP 11 2009

LINDA CONTINUES AS A VIGOROUS BUT CONVECTION-FREE CIRCULATION...AND
A FEW MORE HOURS OF THIS WILL RESULT IN THE TERMINATION OF
ADVISORIES. A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 15Z CAUGHT JUST ENOUGH OF THE
CIRCULATION FOR ME TO PRESUME THAT SOME TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS
REMAIN...BUT WITHOUT ANY ACTIVE CONVECTION THEY ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
LAST LONG.

IT DOES APPEAR THAT THE MOTION HAS SWUNG OVER A LITTLE TO THE
LEFT...OR ABOUT 310/5...AS LINDA RESPONDS TO THE LOWER-TROPOSPHERIC
FLOW. IN ADDITION...THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS LESS EMPHATIC ON THE
NORTHWARD TURN DISCUSSED EARLIER. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST HAS BEEN
ADJUSTED TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE AND IS CLOSEST TO THE GFS
AND GFDL SOLUTIONS. HOWEVER...THERE IS A LARGE BODY OF GUIDANCE
THAT IS EVEN FARTHER TO THE LEFT.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 11/2100Z 20.7N 131.3W 35 KT
12HR VT 12/0600Z 21.1N 131.9W 30 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 12/1800Z 21.4N 132.8W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 13/0600Z 21.6N 133.6W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 13/1800Z 21.7N 134.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 14/1800Z 22.0N 134.5W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 15/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

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Re: EPAC: TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA (15E)

#91 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 11, 2009 9:32 pm

Last Advisory

000
WTPZ35 KNHC 120230
TCPEP5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LINDA ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152009
800 PM PDT FRI SEP 11 2009

...LINDA NO LONGER A TROPICAL CYCLONE...

AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF LINDA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 131.7 WEST OR ABOUT 1405 MILES
...2260 KM...WEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.

THE REMNANT LOW IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...8
KM/HR...AND A SLOW MOTION TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN FURTHER DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

...SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...20.9N 131.7W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 5 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON LINDA. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW
PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BRENNAN
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