WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MELOR (20W)

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WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MELOR (20W)

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 27, 2009 8:14 am

Another disturbance in the Western Pacific that is very busy at this time.Down the road,GUAM has to watch this.
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Re: WPAC : INVEST 90W

#2 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 27, 2009 9:13 am

Invest 90W is the one most south disturbance in this panoramic view of the WPAC,where you can see invest 99W and Tropical Depression 18W.

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Re: WPAC : INVEST 90W

#3 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 27, 2009 7:26 pm

From JWTC

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 4.1N 168.5E,
APPROXIMATELY 270 NM SOUTH OF KWAJALEIN ATOLL. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR
IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION STARTING TO CONSOLIDATE ABOUT A POORLY
DEFINED, ALBEIT, DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC).
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS UPGRADED TO POOR.
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Re: WPAC : INVEST 90W

#4 Postby TheEuropean » Mon Sep 28, 2009 9:57 am

cycloneye wrote:From JWTC

UPGRADED TO POOR.


Upgraded to poor? What was it before poor?
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Re: WPAC : INVEST 90W

#5 Postby apocalypt-flyer » Mon Sep 28, 2009 11:30 am

Shambolic.



Or something.
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Re: WPAC : INVEST 90W

#6 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 28, 2009 3:52 pm

Upgraded to Fair

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.0N
168.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.9N 165.1E, APPROXIMATELY 230 NM
SOUTHWEST OF KWAJALEIN. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP
CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING ABOUT A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC). A 281434Z TRMM IMAGE SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION FORMING
ALONG FRAGMENTED BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE LLCC.
A 280651Z QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS 20KT UNFLAGGED WINDS ON THE SOUTHERN
SIDE OF AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN THE MONSOON TROUGH.
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THE SYSTEM NEAR AN UPPER-LEVEL
ANTICYCLONE THAT IS PROVIDING GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND LOW VERTICAL
WINDSHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.
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Re: WPAC : INVEST 90W

#7 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 28, 2009 4:47 pm

It looks very good.Not far from being a Tropical Cyclone.

Image

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Re: WPAC : INVEST 90W

#8 Postby Cookie » Mon Sep 28, 2009 6:00 pm

apocalypt-flyer wrote:Shambolic.



Or something.


that should be used for some Atlantic systems this year :lol:
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Re: WPAC : INVEST 90W

#9 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 28, 2009 6:03 pm

Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert

WTPN24 PGTW 282330
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 7.7N 163.7E TO 11.5N 157.3E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 17 TO 22 KNOTS. METSAT IM-
AGERY AT 282030Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 8.5N 162.9E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 15
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.9N 165.1E, IS NOW
LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 162.9E, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM WEST OF KWAJALEIN.
ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION CONSOLIDATING ABOUT
A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 281830Z SSMIS
IMAGE SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION FORMING ALONG FRAGMENTED BANDING
WRAPPING INTO THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE LLCC. A 280651Z QUIKSCAT PASS
SHOWS 20 TO 25 KNOT UNFLAGGED WINDS ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN
ELONGATED CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN THE FAVORABLE EASTERN END OF THE
MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THE SYSTEM NEAR AN UPPER-
LEVEL ANTICYCLONE THAT IS PROVIDING GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW AND LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED
AT 17 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE
NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
292330Z.//
NNNN

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#10 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 28, 2009 7:46 pm

Image

Looking good
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Re: WPAC : INVEST 90W=TCFA issued

#11 Postby Macrocane » Mon Sep 28, 2009 7:50 pm

Now the WPAC looks more like a normal season after the slow start although the storms have not been as strong as they normally are.
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Re: WPAC : INVEST 90W

#12 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 28, 2009 10:09 pm

Upgraded to Good

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.9N
165.1E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 8.5N 162.9E, APPROXIMATELY 530 NM WEST
OF KWAJALEIN. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION
CONSOLIDATING ABOUT A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). A 281830Z SSMIS IMAGE SHOWS DEEP CONVECTION FORMING ALONG
FRAGMENTED BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE LLCC. A
280651Z QUIKSCAT PASS SHOWS 20 TO 25 KNOT UNFLAGGED WINDS ON THE
SOUTHERN SIDE OF AN ELONGATED CIRCULATION EMBEDDED IN THE FAVORABLE
EASTERN END OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THE
SYSTEM NEAR AN UPPER-LEVEL ANTICYCLONE THAT IS PROVIDING GOOD RADIAL
OUTFLOW AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 17 TO 22 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. SEE REF D (WTPN24 PGTW 282330) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
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Re: WPAC : INVEST 90W

#13 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 29, 2009 5:23 am

WTPN34 PGTW 290900
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (TWENTY) WARNING NR 001
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
290600Z --- NEAR 10.3N 159.5E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 20 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.3N 159.5E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
291800Z --- 11.6N 157.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 12.7N 155.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 13.1N 153.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010600Z --- 13.2N 151.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 13.7N 149.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
030600Z --- 14.7N 147.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
040600Z --- 16.2N 144.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
290900Z POSITION NEAR 10.6N 158.9E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 20W (TWENTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 860 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 20 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS IS THE FIRST FORECAST FOR 20W. THE
SYSTEM MEETS WARNING CRITERIA WITH A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) ESTIMATED AT 25 KNOTS BASED ON A 282310Z ASCAT PASS AND A
DVORAK FIX (2.0/2.0) FROM PGTW. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS
A SMALL, FLARING CDO, WHICH THE LLCC IS APPROXIMATED TO BE UNDER.
BECAUSE OF THE MASKING OF THE LLCC BY CLOUD COVER THERE IS ONLY FAIR
CONFIDENCE REGARDING THE LOCATION (AND STRUCTURE) OF THE LLCC. IN
FACT, THE ABOVE ASCAT IMAGE DEPICTS A POORLY-DEFINED LLCC. OVER THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AND FURTHER
CONSOLIDATE UNDER FAVORABLE CONDITIONS ALOFT AND WARM SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES. IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WILL ERODE THE RIDGING TO THE NORTH AND WILL FACILITATE A MORE
POLEWARD TRACK NEAR THE MARIANAS ISLANDS. MODEL GUIDANCE IS LIMITED
AT THIS TIME, WITH THE FORECAST TRACK BEING PRIMARILY A BLEND
BETWEEN WBAR AND GFS. NOGAPS AND UKMO ARE NOT INTIALIZING THE SYSTEM
WELL. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVMARFCSTCEN
282321Z SEP 09 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN24 PGTW 282330 )
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 8 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS
AT 291500Z, 292100Z, 300300Z AND 300900Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 17W
(KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO
TROPICAL STORM 18W (EIGHTEEN) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 19W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

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#14 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 29, 2009 5:25 am

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#15 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 29, 2009 5:26 am

Image

Looking good
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#16 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 29, 2009 5:29 am

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1002 HPA
AT 09.6N 160.4E MARSHALLS MOVING NORTHWEST 10 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 300600UTC AT 12.8N 156.5E WITH 120 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
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#17 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 29, 2009 6:51 am

29/0830 UTC 10.3N 158.9E T2.0/2.0 20W

30 knots
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#18 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 29, 2009 9:38 am

Image

WTPN34 PGTW 291500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 20W (TWENTY) WARNING NR 002
04 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 10.5N 158.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 11 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 10.5N 158.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 11.7N 156.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 12.4N 154.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 09 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 12.7N 153.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 12.9N 151.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 13.5N 149.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
031200Z --- 14.6N 147.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
041200Z --- 16.2N 144.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
REMARKS:
291500Z POSITION NEAR 10.8N 158.4E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 20W (TWENTY), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 820 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z
IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 17W (KETSANA) WARNINGS (WTPN31 PGTW)
FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 18W (EIGHTEEN)
WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL
STORM 19W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN
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#19 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 29, 2009 10:19 am

ZCZC 442
WTPQ22 RJTD 291200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0918 MELOR (0918) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291200UTC 10.6N 157.4E POOR
MOVE WNW 15KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 100NM
FORECAST
24HF 301200UTC 12.0N 156.0E 70NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 011200UTC 13.0N 153.6E 110NM 70%
MOVE WNW 06KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 021200UTC 14.7N 150.9E 160NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT =
NNNN
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#20 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Sep 29, 2009 1:15 pm

Image


000
WTPQ34 PGUM 291500
TCPPQ4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELOR (20W) ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP202009
200 AM CHST WED SEP 30 2009

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELOR INTENSIFYING NORTH OF POHNPEI...

NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT.

THE EXTENDED 4-5 DAY FORECAST HAS MELOR PASSING THROUGH THE MARIANA
ISLANDS AS A TYPHOON. RESIDENTS OF GUAM AND THE NORTHERN MARIANAS
ARE ADVISED TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE DEVELOPMENT AND MOVEMENT OF THIS
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS TROPICAL CYCLONE.

AT 100 AM CHST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELOR WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 158.4 DEGREES
EAST.

THIS IS ABOUT 270 MILES NORTH OF POHNPEI
500 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHUUK AND
940 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELOR IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH. A
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 35 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION MELOR IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY...BECOMING A TROPICAL STORM WITHIN 12 HOURS.

REPEATING THE 100 AM CHST POSITION...10.8 DEGREES NORTH LATITUDE AND
158.4 DEGREES EAST LONGITUDE...MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH WITH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 MPH.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 8 AM CHST THIS MORNING.

$$

MUNDELL

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