ATL : INVEST 94L

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cycloneye
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Re: ATL : INVEST 94L

#261 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 22, 2009 8:35 pm

For those who missed my post about this thread staying in this forum after the invest was deactivated,below is what I posted yesterday.

Invest has been deactivated.But the thread will remain as we do with every thread in this forum,as we let more replies to them for a couple of days but it can be extended if the thread remains fairly busy after 2 days.Also,just in case they reactivate it again,the thread is already here.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 94L

#262 Postby boca » Thu Oct 22, 2009 9:22 pm

I put the sat in rainbow and I saw what you guys were saying about the low off the coast of Nicuargua but unless theirs a new burst its going to dwindle.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 94L

#263 Postby Evil Jeremy » Thu Oct 22, 2009 10:17 pm

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Re: ATL : INVEST 94L

#264 Postby xironman » Fri Oct 23, 2009 4:39 am


If only it was that easy and it would stay dead

Image
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Re: ATL : INVEST 94L

#265 Postby wxman57 » Fri Oct 23, 2009 5:50 am

Chances of development continue to diminish. Perhaps some moisture will be drawn northward up the cold front early next week, as the GFS, Euro and Canadian suggest, but that's about it. No TC out of this.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 94L

#266 Postby Blown Away » Fri Oct 23, 2009 6:32 am

I still see a weak broad low that has moved a little north near 14N/83W and is drifting a little back towards the coast. Some convection building around the low with a big blow up to the SE which is well removed from the low.
Image

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-vis.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-avn.html
http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html
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Re: ATL : INVEST 94L

#267 Postby cycloneye » Fri Oct 23, 2009 6:52 am

The yellow circle has expanded bigtime,includes the Bahamas,Hispanola,Cuba and the Caribbean sea.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL CARIBBEAN
NORTHWARD ACROSS EASTERN CUBA AND PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS ARE
PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH. THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



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Re: ATL : INVEST 94L

#268 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Oct 23, 2009 7:02 am

This system looked like it had potential early this week. Now, its dead. No TC is coming out of this. I think at this point, the 2009 season is over. After seeing this, I doubt any system will be coming out of the Caribbean for the rest of this year.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 94L

#269 Postby wxman57 » Fri Oct 23, 2009 7:17 am

Evil Jeremy wrote:This system looked like it had potential early this week. Now, its dead. No TC is coming out of this. I think at this point, the 2009 season is over. After seeing this, I doubt any system will be coming out of the Caribbean for the rest of this year.


I agree with you on that. Looking more like 8/2/2 will be the 2009 storm count.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 94L

#270 Postby Blown Away » Fri Oct 23, 2009 9:04 am

The weak circulation along the coast is still holding the convection, not much to look at.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 94L

#271 Postby tolakram » Fri Oct 23, 2009 1:22 pm

Either this os still 94 or soon to be 97 :)

I see westward movement, not much, maybe an illusion, below the blob.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... mframes=10

Code: Select all

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/get-goes?satellite=GOES-E%20HURRICANE&lat=12&lon=-79&info=vis&zoom=1&width=3000&height=2000&type=Animation&numframes=10


It's in the process of going poof so maybe we'll be able to see before dark.
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Re: ATL : INVEST 94L

#272 Postby Blown Away » Fri Oct 23, 2009 1:42 pm

The TPC plots the low again through 72 hours.
Image
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#273 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 23, 2009 1:46 pm

23/1745 UTC 13.6N 82.3W T1.0/1.0 95L -- Atlantic

This is 94L, look at the latitude.
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#274 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Oct 23, 2009 1:50 pm

I am confused, is 94L now part of 95L or going to be 97L?
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Re: ATL : INVEST 94L

#275 Postby wxman57 » Fri Oct 23, 2009 1:53 pm

Blown_away wrote:The TPC plots the low again through 72 hours.
http://img229.imageshack.us/img229/6053 ... tbwsm3.gif


That low is pretty much there perpetually early and late season as the ITCC passes through.
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#276 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Oct 23, 2009 2:27 pm

NHC has put a GOES floater over this system under the name "AL 97":
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Re: ATL : INVEST 94L

#277 Postby Blown Away » Fri Oct 23, 2009 2:27 pm

wxman57 wrote:
Blown_away wrote:The TPC plots the low again through 72 hours.
http://img229.imageshack.us/img229/6053 ... tbwsm3.gif


That low is pretty much there perpetually early and late season as the ITCC passes through.


Are you sure, the low your referring to usually sits just off the Colombian Coast? I believe the current TPC's low placement is referring to ex 94L that is spinning rate now off Nicaraqua?
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Re: ATL : INVEST 94L

#278 Postby Sanibel » Fri Oct 23, 2009 2:41 pm

We're getting the atmospheric movement we need on this.


Only thing is I still think it is drifting west towards land:



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Re: ATL : INVEST 94L

#279 Postby floridasun78 » Fri Oct 23, 2009 3:43 pm

are we going open topic for 97l? i see floater on new invest it look like 94l move over land that why their rename it 97l
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Re: ATL : INVEST 94L

#280 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 23, 2009 3:45 pm

floridasun78 wrote:are we going open topic for 97l? i see floater on new invest it look like 94l move over land that why their rename it 97l


In Best Track there's no 97L. Officially, there's no 97L.

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/
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