WPAC : TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRINAE (23W)

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
ManilaTC
WesternPacificWeather.com
WesternPacificWeather.com
Posts: 592
Age: 45
Joined: Mon Oct 26, 2009 5:13 am
Location: Mandaluyong City, Philippines
Contact:

#1641 Postby ManilaTC » Sat Oct 31, 2009 7:20 pm

Some news regarding Mirinae's passage

'Santi' moves further away from RP; at least 13 killed
ANDREO C. CALONZO, GMANews.TV
10/31/2009 | 03:14 PM
Email the Editor Print | | More
Ten people were confirmed dead while three more were reportedly killed after tropical cyclone Santi (Mirinae) unleashed its wrath Friday evening causing power outages, floods, and landslides in some areas in Luzon.

The state weather bureau had lifted the remaining storm warning earlier hoisted over Lubang Island northwest of Mindoro.

The National Disaster Coordinating Council (NDCC) listed 10 fatalities in its 6 p.m. bulletin.

NDCC identified the fatalities as:

* Sarah Mae Vargas and Rodrigo Rodriguez from Camarines Norte who both died due to hypothermia;

* Louie Alano of Catanduanes who also died of hypothermia;

* Flora Estacion of Camarines Norte who drowned;

* Tirso Ramos of Cavite who fell from a roof;

* Edsel Laviña and Roderico Cabardo of Laguna who both drowned;

* Marge Taiño and Julieta Zagure of Laguna who were pinned under collapsed wall and

* Edwin Capayas of Quezon who drowned.

The NDCC said Santi affected some 2,251 families or 10,667 people in 54 villages in seven provinces. Of these, 1,130 families or 5,173 families are staying in 23 evacuation centers.

The list does not yet include three other reported fatalities in Camarines Norte earlier reported by Region 5 Disaster Coordinating Council Director Bernardo Alejandro.

Several areas in Metro Manila and Southern Luzon also remain flooded, while areas in Laguna, Quezon and Rizal provinces remained without electric power, NDCC said.

At least two areas in Camarines Norte province were cut off, experiencing both power and cell communications outages.

In its 11 p.m. weather bulletin, the Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (Pagasa) said Santi’s maximum sustained winds was at 95 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center, with gustiness of up to 120 kph.

Pagasa last spotted Santi over the South China Sea, 360 kilometers west southwest of Metro Manila, moving westward at 22 kph.

The storm is forecast to move farther away from the country and is expected to be 830 km west southwest of the National Capital Region by Sunday evening.

Foreign weather agencies such as the US Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center and the Japan Meteorological Agency forecast Santi to hit Vietnam by Monday morning. - GMANews.TV
0 likes   
The above post is NOT official and should not be used as such. It is my opinion and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is not endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. Please refer to your official national weather agency.

WEB http://goo.gl/JDiKXB | FB https://goo.gl/N5sIle | @ManilaTC

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W)

#1642 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 31, 2009 7:58 pm

JMA 00 UTC Warning:

TS 0921 (Mirinae)
Issued at 00:45 UTC, 1 November 2009
<Analyses at 01/00 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N13°55'(13.9°)
E115°20'(115.3°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 990hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 23m/s(45kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(65kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more Wide 300km(160NM)

<Forecast for 02/00 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N12°25'(12.4°)
E109°50'(109.8°)
Direction and speed of movement WSW 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 996hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)

<Forecast for 03/00 UTC>
Intensity -
TD
Center position of probability circle N10°10'(10.2°)
E104°30'(104.5°)
Direction and speed of movement WSW 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 1008hPa
Radius of probability circle 330km(180NM)

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

ozonepete
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4743
Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 3:23 pm
Location: From Ozone Park, NYC / Now in Brooklyn, NY

Re: WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W)

#1643 Postby ozonepete » Sat Oct 31, 2009 8:08 pm

Has good SSTs, good mid level moisture, low shear. And here comes the convection over the LLC. Looks like Mirinae is not done...

Image
0 likes   

dexterlabio
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3405
Joined: Sat Oct 24, 2009 11:50 pm

Re: WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W)

#1644 Postby dexterlabio » Sat Oct 31, 2009 8:28 pm

after mirinae passed over southern luzon, we have just started feeling very cold air the whole day. i believe that the temperature today is a lot cooler compared to the christmas season last year. correct me if i'm wrong, but i think the northeast monsoon is coming early this year.
Last edited by dexterlabio on Sat Oct 31, 2009 9:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W)

#1645 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 31, 2009 8:43 pm

00:00Z JTWC Warning=40kts

WTPN32 PGTW 010300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 23W (MIRINAE) WARNING NR 025
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 13.9N 115.4E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 260 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.9N 115.4E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 13.5N 112.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 12.9N 110.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 12.3N 107.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
010300Z POSITION NEAR 13.8N 114.7E.
TROPICAL STORM 23W (MIRINAE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 545 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 010000Z
IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z, 011500Z, 012100Z AND 020300Z.//
NNNN

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

ozonepete
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4743
Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 3:23 pm
Location: From Ozone Park, NYC / Now in Brooklyn, NY

Re: WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W)

#1646 Postby ozonepete » Sat Oct 31, 2009 9:26 pm

dexterlabio wrote:after mirinae passed over southern luzon, we have just started feeling very cold air the whole day. it believe that the temperature today is a lot cooler compared to the christmas season last year. correct me if i'm wrong, but i think the northeast monsoon is coming early this year.


Yes, there is a very strong very cool high pressure area moving in over China and it's starting to push unusually cool and dry air pretty far south. Hong Kong is now reporting a dewpoint of 64F with NE to ENE winds. This is very dry for the region.

So I'd have to say that although Mirinae just had a nice burst of convection and has some good factors going for it, it's probably all over. It looks like Mirinae is starting to ingest this unseasonably cool dry air, so I'd have to say it will definitely weaken a lot now. In addition, it doesn't seem to be making the southwest turn, so it very well may now go due west into Viet Nam, but as a very weak system.
0 likes   

oaba09
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1496
Age: 37
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 10:02 am
Location: Valenzuela, Philippines
Contact:

#1647 Postby oaba09 » Sun Nov 01, 2009 12:02 am

it continues to weaken....good news to the people of vietnam :D
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#1648 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Nov 01, 2009 8:00 am

looks like it is steadily intensifying
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W)

#1649 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 01, 2009 8:03 am

JMA 12:00Z Warning=45kts.

TS 0921 (Mirinae)
Issued at 12:45 UTC, 1 November 2009
<Analyses at 01/12 UTC>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N13°35'(13.6°)
E113°35'(113.6°)
Direction and speed of movement W 15km/h(8kt)
Central pressure 990hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 23m/s(45kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35m/s(65kt)
Area of 30kt winds or more Wide 300km(160NM)

<Forecast for 02/12 UTC>
Intensity -
Center position of probability circle N12°00'(12.0°)
E108°50'(108.8°)
Direction and speed of movement WSW 20km/h(12kt)
Central pressure 996hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 18m/s(35kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 25m/s(50kt)
Radius of probability circle 160km(85NM)

<Forecast for 03/12 UTC>
Intensity -
TD
Center position of probability circle N10°55'(10.9°)
E104°25'(104.4°)
Direction and speed of movement W 20km/h(11kt)
Central pressure 1008hPa
Radius of probability circle 260km(140NM)

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W)

#1650 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 01, 2009 8:07 am

12:00Z JTWC Warning=50kts.

WTPN32 PGTW 011500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 23W (MIRINAE) WARNING NR 027
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011200Z --- NEAR 13.8N 113.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 265 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N 113.6E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 13.2N 111.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 12.6N 108.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 12.1N 106.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 015 KT, GUSTS 025 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
011500Z POSITION NEAR 13.6N 113.0E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 23W (MIRINAE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 450 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 09 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011200Z
IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 012100Z, 020300Z, 020900Z AND 021500Z.//
NNNN

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
JTE50
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 336
Age: 65
Joined: Mon Jul 21, 2008 10:48 am
Location: Pensacola
Contact:

Re: WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W)

#1651 Postby JTE50 » Sun Nov 01, 2009 8:46 am

A shot from Typhoon Mirinae
Image
0 likes   

User avatar
metenthusiast
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 271
Age: 46
Joined: Sun Oct 18, 2009 1:09 am
Location: Manila, Phllippines
Contact:

Re: WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W)

#1652 Postby metenthusiast » Sun Nov 01, 2009 8:58 am

JTE50 wrote:A shot from Typhoon Mirinae
Image


Magnificent photo Jim! :D I really like how you captured those howling winds...
0 likes   

beaufort12
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 70
Joined: Thu Sep 02, 2004 9:18 am
Location: Lorton VA

Re: WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W)

#1653 Postby beaufort12 » Sun Nov 01, 2009 9:32 am

along with today's intensification there seems to have been some noticeable northward movement.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W)

#1654 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 01, 2009 2:44 pm

18:00 UTC JTWC Warning=50kts.

WTPN32 PGTW 012100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 23W (MIRINAE) WARNING NR 028
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
011800Z --- NEAR 13.8N 112.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N 112.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
020600Z --- 13.4N 109.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 13 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
021800Z --- 12.8N 107.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
012100Z POSITION NEAR 13.7N 111.6E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 23W (MIRINAE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 370 NM EAST-
NORTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS
OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE TRACK IS NORTH OF THE PREVIOUSLY
FORECASTED TRACK SLIGHTLY, BUT IS EXPECTED TO TURN WEST-SOUTHWEST IN
THE NEXT 12 HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS WITH THE
DEEPEST CONVECTION LOCATED ALONG THE EASTERN HALF OF MIRINAE.
INTENSITY WILL BRIEFLY INCREASE OVER THE NEXT SIX HOURS BUT BY TAU
12 THE INTENSITY IS EXPECTED TO BE BACK TO APPROXIMATELY 50 KNOTS AS
MIRINAE STARTS TO MOVE OVER THE COAST OF VIETNAM. UPPER LEVEL
ANALYSIS SHOWS TS 23W REMAINS IN A DIVERGENT REGION OF THE UPPER
LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, HOWEVER THE NORTHEASTERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO
INCREASE ALONG THE NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN PORTIONS OF MIRINAE.
DRY AIR IS STARTING TO BUFFER MIRINAE FROM WARMER SOURCES OF INFLOW
FROM THE SOUTH AS IT HAS WRAPPED AROUND THE WESTERN HALF AND INTO
THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT OF TS 23W. TS 23W STILL REMAINS ISOLATED
FROM DRY AIR PENETRATING THE CENTER OF THE CIRCULATION ALLOWING FOR
THE CURRENT SUSTAINED INTENSITY VALUES TO PERSIST. MAXIMUM
SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 011800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
020300Z, 020900Z AND 021500Z.//
NNNN

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
JTE50
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 336
Age: 65
Joined: Mon Jul 21, 2008 10:48 am
Location: Pensacola
Contact:

Re: WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W)

#1655 Postby JTE50 » Sun Nov 01, 2009 3:22 pm

[/quote]Magnificent photo Jim! :D I really like how you captured those howling winds...[/quote]

Thanks! We found a good place to film near the water - my favorite place cause that's where the action usually is. You had to hike a little ways but it was high drama on the point. Those guys would jump out onto the water lillies and try to get those big bamboo poles that were part of their huts. They weren't going to let the ocean carry them out to sea!

Here's another pic from the same area Image

I'm back on Guam now. James and I had a great time in Manila. We could shoot anything we wanted - even the staging areas and police the day before Santi hit. I don't have that kind of freedom in the US.
0 likes   

ozonepete
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4743
Joined: Mon Sep 07, 2009 3:23 pm
Location: From Ozone Park, NYC / Now in Brooklyn, NY

Re: WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W)

#1656 Postby ozonepete » Sun Nov 01, 2009 3:53 pm

JTE50 wrote:
Magnificent photo Jim! :D I really like how you captured those howling winds...[/quote]

Thanks! We found a good place to film near the water - my favorite place cause that's where the action usually is. You had to hike a little ways but it was high drama on the point. Those guys would jump out onto the water lillies and try to get those big bamboo poles that were part of their huts. They weren't going to let the ocean carry them out to sea!

Here's another pic from the same area Image

I'm back on Guam now. James and I had a great time in Manila. We could shoot anything we wanted - even the staging areas and police the day before Santi hit. I don't have that kind of freedom in the US.[/quote]

Great photos Jim. Thanks for all of the coverage.
0 likes   

oaba09
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1496
Age: 37
Joined: Thu Oct 01, 2009 10:02 am
Location: Valenzuela, Philippines
Contact:

Re: WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W)

#1657 Postby oaba09 » Sun Nov 01, 2009 7:32 pm

JTE50 wrote:
Thanks! We found a good place to film near the water - my favorite place cause that's where the action usually is. You had to hike a little ways but it was high drama on the point. Those guys would jump out onto the water lillies and try to get those big bamboo poles that were part of their huts. They weren't going to let the ocean carry them out to sea!

Here's another pic from the same area Image

I'm back on Guam now. James and I had a great time in Manila. We could shoot anything we wanted - even the staging areas and police the day before Santi hit. I don't have that kind of freedom in the US.


Great job as always! :D
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 138789
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W)

#1658 Postby cycloneye » Sun Nov 01, 2009 8:14 pm

JTWC 00:00Z Warning=45kts.

WTPN32 PGTW 020300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 23W (MIRINAE) WARNING NR 029
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
020000Z --- NEAR 13.4N 110.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 255 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 13.4N 110.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 12.9N 108.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 12.4N 106.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
020300Z POSITION NEAR 13.3N 110.2E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 23W (MIRINAE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 285 NM
NORTHEAST OF HO CHI MINH, VIETNAM, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT
14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
020000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 020900Z, 021500Z AND 022100Z.//
NNNN

Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#1659 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Nov 01, 2009 8:30 pm

Image

The intensity from the JTWC makes no sense.
0 likes   

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 28967
Age: 72
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Spring Branch area, Houston, TX
Contact:

Re: WPAC : TROPICAL STORM MIRINAE (23W)

#1660 Postby vbhoutex » Sun Nov 01, 2009 9:10 pm

:uarrow: Why does it make no sense? :uarrow:
0 likes   
Skywarn, C.E.R.T.
Please click below to donate to STORM2K to help with the expenses of keeping the site going:
Image


Return to “2009”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 8 guests