Tropical Disturbance 95B

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
Grifforzer
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 386
Joined: Thu Feb 26, 2009 11:27 pm

Tropical Disturbance 95B

#1 Postby Grifforzer » Mon Nov 23, 2009 6:02 pm

ABIO10 PGTW 231200
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/231200Z-241200ZNOV2009//

An area of convection (95B) located at 4.9N 91.6E or 215 NM west of the northern tip of Sumatra. Animated infrared satellite imagery indicates cyclonic turning of deep convection over a developing low level circulation center. A 0336z ASCAT pass reveals 20-25 knot winds wrapping into the sytsem center from the southeast quadrant. Environmental analysis indicates the system is located equatorward of the subtropical ridge axis in an area of low to moderate vertical wind shear and has limited outflow aloft

Maximum sustained winds near the center is 20-25 knots with a minimum sea level pressure of 1009 MB. Due to increased convective consolidation, the potential for this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is POOR.
0 likes   

Grifforzer
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 386
Joined: Thu Feb 26, 2009 11:27 pm

#2 Postby Grifforzer » Tue Nov 24, 2009 1:09 pm

ABIO10 PGTW 241800
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/241800Z-251800ZNOV2009//
REF/A/MSG/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/240754ZNOV2009//
AMPN/REF A IS A TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF
AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.0N
91.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.4N 92.4E, APPROXIMATELY 170 NM WEST OF
NORTHERN TIP OF SUMATRA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES DEEP CONVECTION FLARING TO THE WEST OF A PARTIALLY
EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 24/1354Z TRMM 37V
MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOWS WEAK BANDING WITH SLIGHT CURVATURE TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE
LLCC IS LOCATED IN AN UNFAVORABLE REGION FOR DEVELOPMENT SOUTH OF
THE RIDGE AXIS WITH DIFLUENT EASTERLY FLOW. CIMSS LOW LEVEL
VORTICITY INDICATES A WEAK ELONGATED VORTICITY PATTERN. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM
SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.
0 likes   

Grifforzer
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 386
Joined: Thu Feb 26, 2009 11:27 pm

#3 Postby Grifforzer » Tue Nov 24, 2009 1:11 pm

1:31:08:01:00
BT
SECURITE
---------------------------------------------------------
SHIPPING BULLETIN FOR MET. AREA VIII (N),NORTH OF EQUATOR
VALID FOR 24 /48 HOURS.FROM 24/11/2009 1800 UTC 24 NOV.2009
========================================================
PART I :- NO STORM WARNING FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN

PARTII:- A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SE-BAY OF BENGAL
AND ADJ. SOUTH-ANDMAN SEA PERSISTS (.)

--
Low Pressure mentioned by India Meteorological Department
0 likes   


Return to “2009”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 4 guests