ATL: LISA - Ex-Hurricane - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#121 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 20, 2010 11:29 am

Image

Looks like any sheared storm we have had
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#122 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 20, 2010 11:42 am

Image

Latest ... strong vorticity
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#123 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 20, 2010 11:44 am

Image

microwave
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 37143
Age: 35
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#124 Postby Brent » Mon Sep 20, 2010 12:54 pm

No Change. :?:

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 20 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE
IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 350 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA...AND HAS
ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON JULIA...WHICH LOST TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS ABOUT 1100 MILES WEST OF THE AZORES.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND
CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY FAVORABLE FOR SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#125 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 20, 2010 12:55 pm

looks like a copy and paste from the previous outlook
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#126 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 20, 2010 1:15 pm

Link - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-rgb.html

I guess they're expecting the LLC to become even more organized
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 33398
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#127 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Sep 20, 2010 1:24 pm

Pretty weakly worded for 80%...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

Re:

#128 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 20, 2010 1:26 pm

CrazyC83 wrote:Pretty weakly worded for 80%...


I agree. "Some additional development." With 80% you would think it would say that development is likely later today or tomorrow.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10787
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re:

#129 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 20, 2010 1:28 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Link - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-rgb.html

I guess they're expecting the LLC to become even more organized


Looks like overshooting tops really picked up quickly in the last few frames of that loop.

Also see it on the image here:

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10787
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re:

#130 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 20, 2010 1:30 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Link - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-rgb.html

I guess they're expecting the LLC to become even more organized


Looks like overshooting tops really picked up quickly in the last few frames of that loop.

Also see it on the image here:

Image
0 likes   
Top
Weatherfreak000

#131 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Mon Sep 20, 2010 1:43 pm

MIMIC suggests this area has done nothing but to continue to organize for the past 6 hours at least.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139593
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#132 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 20, 2010 1:45 pm

Looks like no upgrade at 5 PM but you never know what will happen in a couple of hours.

AL, 94, 2010092018, , BEST, 0, 163N, 320W, 25, 1008, DB
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#133 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 20, 2010 1:52 pm

Image

Latest
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#134 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 20, 2010 2:04 pm

Image

appears to be becoming better organized ... I think the NHC may wait until the next ASCAT
0 likes   
Top
rog
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 50
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Mar 09, 2006 8:30 am
Location: So. Maine

Re:

#135 Postby rog » Mon Sep 20, 2010 2:14 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Link - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-rgb.html

I guess they're expecting the LLC to become even more organized

To my untrained eye, this looks close to being a minimal TS. upgraded later this evening maybe.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10787
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: Re:

#136 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 20, 2010 2:27 pm

rog wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:Link - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-rgb.html

I guess they're expecting the LLC to become even more organized

To my untrained eye, this looks close to being a minimal TS. upgraded later this evening maybe.


The 20-knt wind-field north of the LLC is a typical feature of a TD.

Image
0 likes   
Top
superfly
Category 4
Category 4
Posts: 938
Joined: Wed Aug 03, 2005 2:13 pm
Location: New Orleans, LA

#137 Postby superfly » Mon Sep 20, 2010 2:39 pm

Not upgraded because the LLC is still poorly defined and looks to have multiple vortices on visible sat.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 37
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

Re:

#138 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 20, 2010 2:44 pm

superfly wrote:Not upgraded because the LLC is still poorly defined and looks to have multiple vortices on visible sat.


That didn't hold them back from upgrading Igor. Funny how things work.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10787
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Discussion

#139 Postby GCANE » Mon Sep 20, 2010 2:45 pm

UL winds appear to have improved since this morning.

Looks like there is more radial outflow in all directions as opposed to this morning when there was about a 10-knot UL wind blowing SW to NE exposing the LLC.
0 likes   
Top
Vortmax1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 360
Joined: Wed Jul 07, 2010 11:35 pm
Location: Port Salerno, FL
Contact:
Contact Vortmax1

#140 Postby Vortmax1 » Mon Sep 20, 2010 2:57 pm

Funny how things work.



Yep Hurakan...depends on who is on duty also.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2010”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 13 guests