ATL : EX TOMAS - Discussion

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Gustywind
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#1701 Postby Gustywind » Fri Nov 05, 2010 5:35 am

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Re: ATL : TOMAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#1702 Postby Crackbone » Fri Nov 05, 2010 5:48 am

Unfortunately it appears as if Haiti is experiencing a rapidly strengthened Tomas and will for the next 24 hours or so. I doubt it's going to be pretty.
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Re: ATL : TOMAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#1703 Postby GCANE » Fri Nov 05, 2010 6:21 am

A massive Hot-Tower fired from 0315 to 0745Z.

A good chance for RI.



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Re: ATL : TOMAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#1704 Postby GCANE » Fri Nov 05, 2010 6:24 am

Core at 0647Z

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#1705 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Nov 05, 2010 6:24 am

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#1706 Postby cyclonic chronic » Fri Nov 05, 2010 6:26 am

wow tomas sure took off overnite. any chance he reaches major status? i know the R.I. index was rather high yesterday.
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Re: ATL : TOMAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#1707 Postby GCANE » Fri Nov 05, 2010 6:29 am

Microwave is off-scale; looks like strong eyewall forming on north quad.


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Re: ATL : TOMAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#1708 Postby cycloneye » Fri Nov 05, 2010 6:42 am

Jim Cantore who is in the capital of Haiti said that the mountains have protected that city where the majority of the tents are and that is a piece of good news.Gusts between 35-40 mph have been blowing there and rain has been heavy at times but light to none on other moments.He said though,the northern part of Haiti will get the most rains and winds.
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Re: ATL : TOMAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#1709 Postby GCANE » Fri Nov 05, 2010 6:47 am

Latest drop in eye; splashed 11:10Z; 18.6N 74.8W
At surface:
988mb
T = 27.8C
Td = 25.8C
Theta-e = 366K
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Re: ATL : TOMAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#1710 Postby GCANE » Fri Nov 05, 2010 6:55 am

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Re: ATL : TOMAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#1711 Postby GCANE » Fri Nov 05, 2010 7:00 am

ADT does not show RI currently.

After a hot-tower fires, the general rule-of thumb is about 18 hrs for RI to kick in.

Land interaction with Cuba and Haiti may in fact hinder RI later today.




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Re: ATL : TOMAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#1712 Postby GCANE » Fri Nov 05, 2010 7:05 am

CDO at about 55K-ft

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#1713 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Nov 05, 2010 7:09 am

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#1714 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Nov 05, 2010 7:11 am

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#1715 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Nov 05, 2010 7:18 am

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very impressive ... holding my breath for Haiti
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#1716 Postby SouthDadeFish » Fri Nov 05, 2010 7:34 am

Wow he's a big guy. Very thankful he's not 100 miles farther east, but still could be horrible.
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#1717 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Nov 05, 2010 7:36 am

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#1718 Postby KWT » Fri Nov 05, 2010 7:38 am

Thw worst convection is just to the west of the most heavily damaged part of Haiti but still its certainly strengthened into a healthy system. I suspect it may struggle to keep this up in the next 24hrs as the system moves close to land and the mountions to its east.

Still stronger then a few people expected...

Slightly odd presentation on the microwave imagery as well fwiw...still a decent hurricane heading towards the T&C...
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#1719 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Nov 05, 2010 7:51 am

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convection most intense over center
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Re: ATL : TOMAS - Hurricane - Discussion

#1720 Postby GCANE » Fri Nov 05, 2010 7:55 am

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