ATL: Ex-DANIELLE - Models

[Nimbus]

These hurricanes are hard to steer even with the new HAARP high altitude electrostatic cloud seeder. First they have to steer around Bermuda, then once the ridge pulls the track toward the east coast of the US they have to steer back to the right again.

Looking at the ensemble spread I just know this is going to be one of those 1 in 20 storms that just can't be forecast...

[Ivanhater]

I mean with water temps....in the 60's off new england......and this thing moving slowly it would probably be equal to the 1992 nor'easter...the waves pounding would be quite impressive

if the trend westward continues, i would bet it will be further south and west... doubt the new england hit....





Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

Interesting scenario Jesse, really going to depend on how far north Danielle gets if she misses the trough.

[Windtalker1]

I mean with water temps....in the 60's off new england......and this thing moving slowly it would probably be equal to the 1992 nor'easter...the waves pounding would be quite impressive

if the trend westward continues, i would bet it will be further south and west... doubt the new england hit....


I agree with you, especially with that high building in. I would have to say Northern NC to Delaware.




Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[Phoenix78]

Sheez... At this rate, just keep it away from Florida!!!

[AdamFirst]

Is the trough in the neighborhood? Is that the feature in the Gulf of Mexico?

[jaxfladude]

This shows to all, what can happen during a system's lifetime, so many possibilities!

[Dean4Storms]

I've been harping that I wasn't sold yet on a complete Fish with this storm. It only takes a slight deviation to change things dramatically that far out.

[superfly]

The second trough should lift it out before it hits CONUS even if it does go west.

[vacanechaser]

I mean with water temps....in the 60's off new england......and this thing moving slowly it would probably be equal to the 1992 nor'easter...the waves pounding would be quite impressive

if the trend westward continues, i would bet it will be further south and west... doubt the new england hit....





Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

Interesting scenario Jesse, really going to depend on how far north Danielle gets if she misses the trough.

you are right... i am thinking though that maybe she stays weaker and may catch the bus so to speak... just a thought... its something to watch... a little interesting right now.... if it continues, i think we may have something to deal with...



Jesse V. Bass III
http://ww.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[Ivanhater]

[Dean4Storms]

The second trough should lift it out before it hits CONUS even if it does go west.

But keep in mind the timing has to be perfect and that far out you just cannot say with any certainty!!!

[Cyclenall]

I'm awed at the 18z GFS model run. I can't IMAGINE that happening but if it does it would be pure bedlam! The trend from the GFS shows an increasingly (slight) west motion at the late stages for Danielle where it targets new England with two more following from behind!

[vacanechaser]

i am not seeing this on one of the sources i use and it shows 0z... where did this image come from ivan????





Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[AdamFirst]

Alot of those include 18z models. I believe that image self-updates over time though....in a couple hours we should see all of the new ones on there.

[Ivanhater]

Hey Jesse..got that one over from Eastern...

[Windtalker1]

michael, I see no image....

[Ivanhater]

michael, I see no image....

http://img843.imageshack.us/img843/3815 ... 201282.png

Copy the URL and see if it works for you...

[ConvergenceZone]

michael, I see no image....

Hmm, I don't see the image either, even when I copy it...

[terrapintransit]

How about now..

michael, I see no image....

Hmm, I don't see the image either, even when I copy it...

[Ivanhater]

Well, NVM then...if someone who is a computer genius figure it out.

I'm off to downtown for a drink or 2.