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CORAL SEA : EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE NEVILLE
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HURAKAN
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Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone 3-day outlook for The Coral Sea
Issued at 2:36pm EST on Wednesday the 20th of January 2010 and valid until end
of Saturday
Existing cyclones:
Nil.
Potential Cyclones:
A monsoon low located near 14.5S 147.9E is expected to remain slow moving in
this area over the next couple of days and may deepen a little. Another low
northeast of the Solomon Islands is expected to move towards the southwest into
the Coral Sea over the next few days and most likely intensify into the weekend.
Likelihood of a new tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Thursday: Low
Friday: Moderate
Saturday: Moderate
NOTE: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day:
Very low: less than 5% Low: 5% - 20%,
Moderate: 20% - 50% High: Over 50%
The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and Northern Tasman Sea
west of 160E.
Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone
Brisbane
Tropical Cyclone 3-day outlook for The Coral Sea
Issued at 2:36pm EST on Wednesday the 20th of January 2010 and valid until end
of Saturday
Existing cyclones:
Nil.
Potential Cyclones:
A monsoon low located near 14.5S 147.9E is expected to remain slow moving in
this area over the next couple of days and may deepen a little. Another low
northeast of the Solomon Islands is expected to move towards the southwest into
the Coral Sea over the next few days and most likely intensify into the weekend.
Likelihood of a new tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on:
Thursday: Low
Friday: Moderate
Saturday: Moderate
NOTE: The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a
tropical cyclone in the Region for each day:
Very low: less than 5% Low: 5% - 20%,
Moderate: 20% - 50% High: Over 50%
The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and Northern Tasman Sea
west of 160E.
Further information on Tropical Cyclones is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/cyclone
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HURAKAN
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TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 1
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:40am EST on Thursday the 21st of January 2010
A Cyclone WARNING has been declared for coastal areas from Cape Melville to
Cooktown.
A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for coastal areas from Coen to Cape Melville,
and from Cooktown to Cape Tribulation.
At 4:00 am EST Tropical Cyclone Neville, Category 1 was estimated to be
210 kilometres east of Cape Flattery and 235 kilometres east northeast of
Cooktown and was near stationary.
TROPICAL CYCLONE Neville, CATEGORY 1, is expected to remain near stationary off
the far north Queensland coast over the next 24 hours as it slowly intensifies.
GALES extending 75 kilometres out from the centre may possibly develop on the
coast between Cape Melville and Cooktown during the next 24 hours.
People between Cape Melville and Cooktown should take precautions and listen to
the next advice at 8 am. If you are unsure about precaution to be taken,
information is available from your local government or local State Emergency
Service.
People between Coen and Cape Melville, and also those between Cooktown and Cape
Tribulation should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone
threat increases. If you are unsure about the actions to be taken, information
is available from your local government or local State Emergency Service.
Details of Tropical Cyclone Neville at 4:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 14.7 degrees South 147.3 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... near stationary
.Wind gusts near centre... 95 kilometres per hour and slowly INTENSIFYING
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 994 hectoPascals
The next advice will be issued by 8:00 am EST Thursday 21 January.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:40am EST on Thursday the 21st of January 2010
A Cyclone WARNING has been declared for coastal areas from Cape Melville to
Cooktown.
A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for coastal areas from Coen to Cape Melville,
and from Cooktown to Cape Tribulation.
At 4:00 am EST Tropical Cyclone Neville, Category 1 was estimated to be
210 kilometres east of Cape Flattery and 235 kilometres east northeast of
Cooktown and was near stationary.
TROPICAL CYCLONE Neville, CATEGORY 1, is expected to remain near stationary off
the far north Queensland coast over the next 24 hours as it slowly intensifies.
GALES extending 75 kilometres out from the centre may possibly develop on the
coast between Cape Melville and Cooktown during the next 24 hours.
People between Cape Melville and Cooktown should take precautions and listen to
the next advice at 8 am. If you are unsure about precaution to be taken,
information is available from your local government or local State Emergency
Service.
People between Coen and Cape Melville, and also those between Cooktown and Cape
Tribulation should consider what action they will need to take if the cyclone
threat increases. If you are unsure about the actions to be taken, information
is available from your local government or local State Emergency Service.
Details of Tropical Cyclone Neville at 4:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 14.7 degrees South 147.3 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... near stationary
.Wind gusts near centre... 95 kilometres per hour and slowly INTENSIFYING
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 994 hectoPascals
The next advice will be issued by 8:00 am EST Thursday 21 January.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
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HURAKAN
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TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 1839 UTC 20/01/2010
Name: Tropical Cyclone Neville
Identifier: 05U
Data At: 1800 UTC
Latitude: 14.7S
Longitude: 147.3E
Location Accuracy: within 30 nm [55 km]
Movement Towards: west northwest [297 deg]
Speed of Movement: 2 knots [4 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 35 knots [65 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 50 knots [95 km/h]
Central Pressure: 994 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 40 nm [75 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 40 nm [75 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 40 nm [75 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 40 nm [75 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: 20 nm [35 km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: 3.0/3.0/D1.5/24HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1006 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 120 nm [220 km]
Storm Depth: Deep
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 21/0600: 14.7S 146.8E: 040 [075]: 040 [080]: 989
+24: 21/1800: 14.4S 146.5E: 055 [100]: 045 [085]: 986
+36: 22/0600: 14.1S 146.4E: 075 [140]: 055 [100]: 981
+48: 22/1800: 14.2S 147.1E: 100 [185]: 060 [115]: 974
REMARKS:
Shear Pattern
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 21/0100 UTC by Brisbane
TCWC.
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 1839 UTC 20/01/2010
Name: Tropical Cyclone Neville
Identifier: 05U
Data At: 1800 UTC
Latitude: 14.7S
Longitude: 147.3E
Location Accuracy: within 30 nm [55 km]
Movement Towards: west northwest [297 deg]
Speed of Movement: 2 knots [4 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 35 knots [65 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 50 knots [95 km/h]
Central Pressure: 994 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 40 nm [75 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 40 nm [75 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 40 nm [75 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 40 nm [75 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: 20 nm [35 km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: 3.0/3.0/D1.5/24HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1006 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 120 nm [220 km]
Storm Depth: Deep
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 21/0600: 14.7S 146.8E: 040 [075]: 040 [080]: 989
+24: 21/1800: 14.4S 146.5E: 055 [100]: 045 [085]: 986
+36: 22/0600: 14.1S 146.4E: 075 [140]: 055 [100]: 981
+48: 22/1800: 14.2S 147.1E: 100 [185]: 060 [115]: 974
REMARKS:
Shear Pattern
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 21/0100 UTC by Brisbane
TCWC.
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HURAKAN
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WTPS21 PGTW 202030
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
A 140 NM RADIUS OF 13.9S 147.2E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL
CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO
BE 30 TO 35 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY, SYNOPTIC DATA AND RADAR DATA
AT 202000Z INDICATE THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR
13.9S 147.2E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 01 KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 14.5S
147.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 13.9S 147.2E, APPROXIMATELY 195 NM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CAIRNS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A
201527Z AMSR-E 89 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE SHOW INCREASED ORGANIZATION
AND CONSOLIDATION OF DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE SYSTEM CENTER WITH
CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT. RECENT
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM BOUGAINVILLE REEF, 95 NM SOUTH OF THE
SYSTEM CENTER, SHOW WINDS BETWEEN 28 TO 33 KNOTS AND SLP AS LOW
AS 1001.6 MB WITHIN THE LAST 6 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
THAT THE SYSTEM IS IN A REGION OF MODERATE EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR WITH STRONG DIFFLUENCE ALOFT. THE SYSTEM HAS GOOD POLEWARD
OUTFLOW, WHICH IS ENHANCED BY AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER CENTRAL
AUSTRALIA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO
35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
212030Z.//
NNNN
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HURAKAN
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PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 3
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 11:21am EST on Thursday the 21st of January 2010
[CORRECTION]
A Cyclone WATCH has been declared for coastal areas from Coen to Port Douglas.
The Cyclone WARNING between Cape Melville and Cooktown has been CANCELLED.
At 10:00 am EST Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville, was estimated to be 190 kilometres
east of Cape Flattery and 215 kilometres east northeast of Cooktown and was near
stationary.
EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE Neville is expected to remain near stationary off the far
north Queensland coast over the next 24 hours and may re-intensify.
GALES are not expected to affect the coast within the next 24 hours, but may
develop between Coen and Port Douglas during Friday.
People between Coen and Port Douglas should consider what action they will need
to take if the cyclone threat increases. If you are unsure about the actions to
be taken, information is available from your local government or local State
Emergency Service.
Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville at 10:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 14.7 degrees South 147.1 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... near stationary
.Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 997 hectoPascals
The next advice will be issued by 5:00 pm EST Thursday 21 January.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
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HURAKAN
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- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
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TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0124 UTC 21/01/2010
Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville
Identifier: 05U
Data At: 0000 UTC
Latitude: 14.7S
Longitude: 147.1E
Location Accuracy: within 30 nm [55 km]
Movement Towards: west [270 deg]
Speed of Movement: 2 knots [4 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots [55 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h]
Central Pressure: 997 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: N/A nm [N/A km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.5/2.5/W0.5/6HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1006 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 120 nm [220 km]
Storm Depth: Shallow
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 21/1200: 14.4S 146.5E: 060 [110]: 030 [055]: 997
+24: 22/0000: 14.4S 146.6E: 080 [150]: 035 [065]: 995
+36: 22/1200: 14.6S 146.9E: 100 [185]: 045 [085]: 991
+48: 23/0000: 14.9S 146.9E: 120 [220]: 050 [095]: 988
REMARKS:
System is highly sheared with little deep convection near the low level
circulation. Computer models suggest possible reintensification late on Friday
or over the weekend as the upper environment becomes more favourable. Slow
movement is expected for the next 48 hours.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 21/0700 UTC by Brisbane
TCWC.
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0124 UTC 21/01/2010
Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville
Identifier: 05U
Data At: 0000 UTC
Latitude: 14.7S
Longitude: 147.1E
Location Accuracy: within 30 nm [55 km]
Movement Towards: west [270 deg]
Speed of Movement: 2 knots [4 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots [55 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h]
Central Pressure: 997 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: N/A nm [N/A km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.5/2.5/W0.5/6HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1006 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 120 nm [220 km]
Storm Depth: Shallow
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 21/1200: 14.4S 146.5E: 060 [110]: 030 [055]: 997
+24: 22/0000: 14.4S 146.6E: 080 [150]: 035 [065]: 995
+36: 22/1200: 14.6S 146.9E: 100 [185]: 045 [085]: 991
+48: 23/0000: 14.9S 146.9E: 120 [220]: 050 [095]: 988
REMARKS:
System is highly sheared with little deep convection near the low level
circulation. Computer models suggest possible reintensification late on Friday
or over the weekend as the upper environment becomes more favourable. Slow
movement is expected for the next 48 hours.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 21/0700 UTC by Brisbane
TCWC.
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HURAKAN
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TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 4
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:57pm EST on Thursday the 21st of January 2010
A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal areas from Coen to Port Douglas.
At 4:00 pm EST Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville, was estimated to be 190 kilometres
east northeast of Cooktown and 265 kilometres east southeast of Cape Melville
and was slow moving.
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville is expected to remain slow moving off the far north
Queensland coast over the next 24 hours and may re-intensify on Friday night.
GALES are not expected to affect the coast within the next 24 hours, but may
develop between Coen and Port Douglas by Friday night.
People between Coen and Port Douglas should consider what action they will need
to take if the cyclone threat increases. If you are unsure about the actions to
be taken, information is available from your local government or local State
Emergency Service.
Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville at 4:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 14.8 degrees South 146.9 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... slow moving
.Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 997 hectoPascals
The next advice will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Thursday 21 January.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:57pm EST on Thursday the 21st of January 2010
A Cyclone WATCH is current for coastal areas from Coen to Port Douglas.
At 4:00 pm EST Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville, was estimated to be 190 kilometres
east northeast of Cooktown and 265 kilometres east southeast of Cape Melville
and was slow moving.
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville is expected to remain slow moving off the far north
Queensland coast over the next 24 hours and may re-intensify on Friday night.
GALES are not expected to affect the coast within the next 24 hours, but may
develop between Coen and Port Douglas by Friday night.
People between Coen and Port Douglas should consider what action they will need
to take if the cyclone threat increases. If you are unsure about the actions to
be taken, information is available from your local government or local State
Emergency Service.
Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville at 4:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 14.8 degrees South 146.9 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... slow moving
.Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 997 hectoPascals
The next advice will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Thursday 21 January.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
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HURAKAN
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- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
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TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0659 UTC 21/01/2010
Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville
Identifier: 05U
Data At: 0600 UTC
Latitude: 14.8S
Longitude: 146.9E
Location Accuracy: within 30 nm [55 km]
Movement Towards: west southwest [243 deg]
Speed of Movement: 2 knots [4 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots [55 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h]
Central Pressure: 997 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: N/A nm [N/A km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.0/2.5/W1.0/12HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1002 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 75 nm [140 km]
Storm Depth: Shallow
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 21/1800: 14.7S 146.7E: 045 [085]: 030 [055]: 993
+24: 22/0600: 15.0S 146.8E: 080 [150]: 035 [065]: 993
+36: 22/1800: 15.0S 146.4E: 080 [150]: 045 [085]: 987
+48: 23/0600: 14.9S 145.7E: 090 [165]: 040 [075]: 991
REMARKS:
System is highly sheared with little deep convection near the low level
circulation. Computer models suggest possible reintensification late on Friday
or over the weekend as the upper environment becomes more favourable. Slow
movement is expected for the next 24 to 36 hours, then westwards after 36 hours.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 21/1300 UTC by Brisbane
TCWC.
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0659 UTC 21/01/2010
Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville
Identifier: 05U
Data At: 0600 UTC
Latitude: 14.8S
Longitude: 146.9E
Location Accuracy: within 30 nm [55 km]
Movement Towards: west southwest [243 deg]
Speed of Movement: 2 knots [4 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots [55 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h]
Central Pressure: 997 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: N/A nm [N/A km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.0/2.5/W1.0/12HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1002 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 75 nm [140 km]
Storm Depth: Shallow
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 21/1800: 14.7S 146.7E: 045 [085]: 030 [055]: 993
+24: 22/0600: 15.0S 146.8E: 080 [150]: 035 [065]: 993
+36: 22/1800: 15.0S 146.4E: 080 [150]: 045 [085]: 987
+48: 23/0600: 14.9S 145.7E: 090 [165]: 040 [075]: 991
REMARKS:
System is highly sheared with little deep convection near the low level
circulation. Computer models suggest possible reintensification late on Friday
or over the weekend as the upper environment becomes more favourable. Slow
movement is expected for the next 24 to 36 hours, then westwards after 36 hours.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 21/1300 UTC by Brisbane
TCWC.
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HURAKAN
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TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 5
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 10:42pm EST on Thursday the 21st of January 2010
A Cyclone WATCH remains current for coastal areas from Coen to Port Douglas.
At 10:00 pm EST, Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville was estimated to be 205 kilometres
northeast of Cooktown and 235 kilometres east of Cape Melville and was slow
moving.
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville is expected to remain slow moving off the far north
Queensland coast during the next 24 hours, before beginning a westward track and
slowly intensifying.
GALES are not expected to affect the coast within the next 24 hours, but may
develop between Coen and Port Douglas on Saturday.
People between Coen and Port Douglas should consider what action they will need
to take if the cyclone threat increases. If you are unsure about the actions to
be taken, information is available from your local government or local State
Emergency Service.
Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville at 10:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 14.3 degrees South 146.7 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... slow moving
.Wind gusts near centre... 85 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 998 hectoPascals
The next advice will be issued by 5:00 am EST Friday 22 January.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 6
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:55am EST on Friday the 22nd of January 2010
A Cyclone WATCH remains current for coastal areas from Coen to Port Douglas.
At 4:00 am EST, Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville was estimated to be 255 kilometres
east northeast of Cooktown and 300 kilometres east of Cape Melville and was slow
moving.
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville is expected to remain slow moving off the far north
Queensland coast until the weekend and then begin a westward track and slowly
intensify.
GALES are not expected to affect the coast within the next 24 hours, but may
develop between Coen and Port Douglas late in the weekend.
People between Coen and Port Douglas should consider what action they will need
to take if the cyclone threat increases. If you are unsure about the actions to
be taken, information is available from your local government or local State
Emergency Service.
Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville at 4:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 14.3 degrees South 147.3 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... slow moving
.Wind gusts near centre... 75 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 999 hectoPascals
The next advice will be issued by 11:00 am EST Friday 22 January.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
Queensland
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
Media: The Standard Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this
warning.
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 6
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:55am EST on Friday the 22nd of January 2010
A Cyclone WATCH remains current for coastal areas from Coen to Port Douglas.
At 4:00 am EST, Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville was estimated to be 255 kilometres
east northeast of Cooktown and 300 kilometres east of Cape Melville and was slow
moving.
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville is expected to remain slow moving off the far north
Queensland coast until the weekend and then begin a westward track and slowly
intensify.
GALES are not expected to affect the coast within the next 24 hours, but may
develop between Coen and Port Douglas late in the weekend.
People between Coen and Port Douglas should consider what action they will need
to take if the cyclone threat increases. If you are unsure about the actions to
be taken, information is available from your local government or local State
Emergency Service.
Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville at 4:00 am EST:
.Centre located near...... 14.3 degrees South 147.3 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... slow moving
.Wind gusts near centre... 75 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 999 hectoPascals
The next advice will be issued by 11:00 am EST Friday 22 January.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 1215 UTC 21/01/2010
Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville
Identifier: 05U
Data At: 1200 UTC
Latitude: 14.3S
Longitude: 146.7E
Location Accuracy: within 30 nm [55 km]
Movement Towards: northwest [316 deg]
Speed of Movement: 3 knots [5 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots [55 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h]
Central Pressure: 998 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: N/A nm [N/A km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.0/2.5/W0.5/12HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1004 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 75 nm [140 km]
Storm Depth: Medium
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 22/0000: 14.7S 146.8E: 060 [110]: 030 [055]: 998
+24: 22/1200: 14.9S 146.4E: 070 [135]: 030 [055]: 998
+36: 23/0000: 15.0S 145.7E: 120 [220]: 035 [065]: 995
+48: 23/1200: 15.1S 144.9E: 180 [335]: 030 [055]: 999
REMARKS:
LLCC difficult to locate, 08Z WindSat pass used as guidance. System continues to
show strong duirnal convective cycle. Dvorak based on shear pattern. Moderate to
strong easterly shear should prevent much intensification before the weekend.
Slow movement is expected for the next 18 to 24 hours, then westwards after 24
hours as a mid-level ridge cradles the system to the south.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 21/1900 UTC by Brisbane
TCWC.
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 1215 UTC 21/01/2010
Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville
Identifier: 05U
Data At: 1200 UTC
Latitude: 14.3S
Longitude: 146.7E
Location Accuracy: within 30 nm [55 km]
Movement Towards: northwest [316 deg]
Speed of Movement: 3 knots [5 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots [55 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots [85 km/h]
Central Pressure: 998 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: N/A nm [N/A km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: T2.0/2.5/W0.5/12HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1004 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 75 nm [140 km]
Storm Depth: Medium
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 22/0000: 14.7S 146.8E: 060 [110]: 030 [055]: 998
+24: 22/1200: 14.9S 146.4E: 070 [135]: 030 [055]: 998
+36: 23/0000: 15.0S 145.7E: 120 [220]: 035 [065]: 995
+48: 23/1200: 15.1S 144.9E: 180 [335]: 030 [055]: 999
REMARKS:
LLCC difficult to locate, 08Z WindSat pass used as guidance. System continues to
show strong duirnal convective cycle. Dvorak based on shear pattern. Moderate to
strong easterly shear should prevent much intensification before the weekend.
Slow movement is expected for the next 18 to 24 hours, then westwards after 24
hours as a mid-level ridge cradles the system to the south.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 21/1900 UTC by Brisbane
TCWC.
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 8
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:31pm EST on Friday the 22nd of January 2010
The Cyclone WATCH between Cape Melville and Cape Tribulation has been CANCELLED.
At 4:00 pm EST, Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville was estimated to be 230 kilometres
east northeast of Cooktown and 280 kilometres east of Cape Melville and was slow
moving.
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville is not expected to intensify over the next 24 hours
and will continue to be monitored. Heavy rainfall is still likely on the North
Tropical Coast during the weekend. Refer to updates in forecasts and warnings.
Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville at 4:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 14.4 degrees South 147.1 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... slow moving
.Wind gusts near centre... 75 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 999 hectoPascals
No further advices will be issued for this system unless it reintensifies.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 4:31pm EST on Friday the 22nd of January 2010
The Cyclone WATCH between Cape Melville and Cape Tribulation has been CANCELLED.
At 4:00 pm EST, Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville was estimated to be 230 kilometres
east northeast of Cooktown and 280 kilometres east of Cape Melville and was slow
moving.
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville is not expected to intensify over the next 24 hours
and will continue to be monitored. Heavy rainfall is still likely on the North
Tropical Coast during the weekend. Refer to updates in forecasts and warnings.
Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville at 4:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 14.4 degrees South 147.1 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 20 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... slow moving
.Wind gusts near centre... 75 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
.Central pressure......... 999 hectoPascals
No further advices will be issued for this system unless it reintensifies.
This warning is also available through TV and Radio Broadcasts; the Bureau's
website at http://www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 212. The Bureau and the State
Emergency Service would appreciate this warning being broadcast regularly.
0 likes
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 37
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0639 UTC 22/01/2010
Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville
Identifier: 05U
Data At: 0600 UTC
Latitude: 14.4S
Longitude: 147.1E
Location Accuracy: within 10 nm [20 km]
Movement Towards: west southwest [243 deg]
Speed of Movement: 1 knots [2 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 25 knots [45 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 40 knots [75 km/h]
Central Pressure: 999 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: N/A nm [N/A km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: Not possible to Dvorak
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1004 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 120 nm [220 km]
Storm Depth: Shallow
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 22/1800: 14.5S 146.8E: 040 [075]: 025 [045]: 1000
+24: 23/0600: 14.5S 146.4E: 060 [110]: 025 [045]: 1000
+36: 23/1800: 14.6S 145.6E: 070 [130]: 030 [055]: 1000
+48: 24/0600: 14.6S 143.8E: 070 [130]: 025 [045]: 1002
REMARKS:
System is in a highly sheared environment. Expected to cross the coast between
36 to 48 hours.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 22/1300 UTC by Brisbane
TCWC.
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0639 UTC 22/01/2010
Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Neville
Identifier: 05U
Data At: 0600 UTC
Latitude: 14.4S
Longitude: 147.1E
Location Accuracy: within 10 nm [20 km]
Movement Towards: west southwest [243 deg]
Speed of Movement: 1 knots [2 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 25 knots [45 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 40 knots [75 km/h]
Central Pressure: 999 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: N/A nm [N/A km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: Not possible to Dvorak
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1004 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 120 nm [220 km]
Storm Depth: Shallow
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 22/1800: 14.5S 146.8E: 040 [075]: 025 [045]: 1000
+24: 23/0600: 14.5S 146.4E: 060 [110]: 025 [045]: 1000
+36: 23/1800: 14.6S 145.6E: 070 [130]: 030 [055]: 1000
+48: 24/0600: 14.6S 143.8E: 070 [130]: 025 [045]: 1002
REMARKS:
System is in a highly sheared environment. Expected to cross the coast between
36 to 48 hours.
Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 22/1300 UTC by Brisbane
TCWC.
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