CPAC: 92C INVEST

[Kingarabian]

I have a question... Why do most of the systems that develop in the central Pacific go west?

Steering currents are mostly from east to west.

Thank you

[Chacor]

And back down to 20%.

ACPN50 PHFO 020552
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
800 PM HST SUN AUG 1 2010

FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A WEAK LOW LEVEL CLOUD CIRCULATION ABOUT 975 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
HILO IS MOVING WEST NEAR 10 MILES AN HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
AROUND THIS SYSTEM ARE VERY SPARSE AND REMAIN DISORGANIZED. UPPER
LEVEL WINDS WILL HINDER DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MOVES
FURTHER WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. HOWEVER...THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING.

[Chacor]

Down to just 10%. Much ado over nothing?

ACPN50 PHFO 021142
TWOCP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
200 AM HST MON AUG 2 2010
FOR THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC...BETWEEN 140W AND 180

1. A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION ABOUT 950 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
HILO IS MOVING WEST NEAR 5 MILES AN HOUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
AROUND THIS SYSTEM HAVE NEARLY ALL DISSIPATED. HERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...NO TROPICAL CYCLONES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.

[KWT]

Looking that way, I was never too keen on it though if only because of the climo of the whole season, plus the fact it never was too convectivly active...

[HURAKAN]

BEGIN
CPHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_cp922010.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201008021342
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, CP, C, , , , , 92, 2010, DB, O, 2010073106, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , CP922010
CP, 92, 2010073006, , BEST, 0, 102N, 1360W, 20, 1011, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
CP, 92, 2010073012, , BEST, 0, 102N, 1365W, 20, 1011, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
CP, 92, 2010073018, , BEST, 0, 102N, 1370W, 20, 1011, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
CP, 92, 2010073100, , BEST, 0, 103N, 1377W, 20, 1011, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
CP, 92, 2010073106, , BEST, 0, 105N, 1388W, 20, 1011, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 850, 0, 0, 0, 0,
CP, 92, 2010073112, , BEST, 0, 107N, 1394W, 25, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 140, 45, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
CP, 92, 2010073118, , BEST, 0, 107N, 1400W, 25, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 140, 45, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
CP, 92, 2010080100, , BEST, 0, 107N, 1406W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 140, 45, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
CP, 92, 2010080106, , BEST, 0, 107N, 1410W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 160, 45, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
CP, 92, 2010080112, , BEST, 0, 107N, 1414W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 160, 50, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
CP, 92, 2010080118, , BEST, 0, 108N, 1419W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 160, 50, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
CP, 92, 2010080200, , BEST, 0, 109N, 1428W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 160, 50, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
CP, 92, 2010080206, , BEST, 0, 110N, 1438W, 25, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 160, 50, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
CP, 92, 2010080212, , BEST, 0, 111N, 1447W, 25, 1009, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 160, 50, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,

[Chacor]

Also no longer on the TWO but given the models, wouldn't be surprised if this got going again nearer to 155-160W.