WPAC: Ex DIANMU

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senorpepr
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#301 Postby senorpepr » Mon Aug 09, 2010 11:27 am

WTPQ20 RJTD 091500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1004 DIANMU (1004)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091500UTC 29.2N 125.2E FAIR
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 240NM EAST 120NM WEST
FORECAST
24HF 101500UTC 33.4N 125.7E 85NM 70%
MOVE NNE 09KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 111200UTC 35.3N 128.4E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 121200UTC 39.2N 135.7E 250NM 70%
MOVE NE 17KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =
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#302 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 09, 2010 12:39 pm

Looks a bit like a high latitude N.Atlantic system...its developed something that looks like an eye, whether or not its a ture eye or whether the convection is just banding around the LLC I've not a clue but its looking stronger for sure. I'd go with 60kts but could easily be 65kts as well.
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#303 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 09, 2010 1:47 pm

18Z update from China:


WTPQ20 BABJ 091800 CCA
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
STS DIANMU 1004 (1004) INITIAL TIME 091800 UTC
00HR 29.8N 125.2E 980HPA 30M/S
30KTS 200KM
50KTS 50KM
P12HR N 20KM/H
P+24HR 34.1N 126.0E 980HPA 30M/S
P+48HR 36.8N 129.8E 985HPA 25M/S
P+72HR 39.8N 137.8E 990HPA 23M/S
P+96HR 41.6N 146.8E 1000HPA 12M/S=
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#304 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 09, 2010 1:58 pm

18Z update from JMA:


WTPQ20 RJTD 091800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1004 DIANMU (1004)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 091800UTC 29.7N 125.1E FAIR
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 260NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 101800UTC 33.9N 126.1E 85NM 70%
MOVE NNE 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 111800UTC 36.6N 131.0E 180NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 121800UTC 40.2N 141.4E 250NM 70%
MOVE ENE 22KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =

Image
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Re: Re:

#305 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 09, 2010 2:00 pm

Chacor wrote:
Chacor wrote:Also, can I just say that the "discussion" bit in the topic title is not needed. For non-ATL storms, everything including advisories and models go into a single thread so the identifier is unnecessary.


Mods, can we please take this request into account?


I second the motion to remove the word "discussion" from the thread title for non-Atlantic basin systems.
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#306 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 09, 2010 2:11 pm

Probably at its peak right now, as its approaching the westerlies. Map made in UW-CIMSS TCTrak with sat, obs, shear, track overlays:

Image
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#307 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 09, 2010 2:14 pm

KMA's 18Z update out:


WTKO20 RKSL 091800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 8
NAME STS 1004 DIANMU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 091800UTC 29.7N 125.1E
MOVEMENT NNE 10KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 100600UTC 32.2N 125.1E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
24HR
POSITION 101800UTC 34.5N 126.6E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
36HR
POSITION 110600UTC 35.5N 128.3E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 995HPA 39KT
48HR
POSITION 111800UTC 36.7N 130.3E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 995HPA 39KT
60HR
POSITION 120600UTC 38.0N 132.9E WITHIN 215NM
PRES/VMAX 997HPA 35KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

Image
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#308 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 09, 2010 2:18 pm

Given its structure and rather weak convection, I agree with 60 kt.
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#309 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 09, 2010 2:35 pm

Shear probably will increase soon though probably not quickly enough to weaken it too much before any landfall in S.Korea.
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#310 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 09, 2010 5:31 pm

WTPN31 PGTW 092100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DIANMU) WARNING NR 008
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
091800Z --- NEAR 29.8N 125.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 350 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 29.8N 125.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
100600Z --- 32.1N 125.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
101800Z --- 34.3N 126.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
135 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 36.0N 128.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 17 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 37.7N 131.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 20 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 40.3N 141.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
092100Z POSITION NEAR 30.4N 125.2E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (DIANMU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 475 NM
SOUTH OF SEOUL, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
THAT THE SYSTEM IS STRUGGLING TO SUSTAIN DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE
WESTERN SEMICIRCLE. AS A RESULT, THE MOST RECENT DVORAK INTENSITY
ESTIMATE FROM PGTW REMAINS AT A 3.0 OR 45 KNOTS. RJTD'S ESTIMATE OF
2.5 (35 KNOTS) IS LIKELY TOO LOW, AND KNES'S ESTIMATE OF 4.0 (65
KNOTS) IS MUCH TOO HIGH GIVEN THE CURRENT CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE. A
WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW, LOCATED WITHIN ONE DEGREE TO THE NORTHWEST, IS
LIKELY RESPONSIBLE FOR DAMPENING THE CONVECTION OVER THE WESTERN
HALF. THE DEEPEST CONVECTION CONITUNES TO FLARE ON THE EASTERN SIDE.
THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY. THE
STORM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK TOWARDS SOUTHERN KOREA ALONG THE
WESTERN EXTENSION OF A MID TO UPPER LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE
EAST, AND WILL MAKE LANDFALL AROUND 10/1800Z AS A STRONG TROPICAL
STORM. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE SYSTEM COULD INTENSIFY IN EXCESS OF
55 KNOTS IF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE NORTHWEST WASHES OUT OR IF AN
UPPER LEVEL MID-LATITUDE TROUGH, CURRENTLY ANALYZED OVER NORTHERN
NORTH KOREA, TAPS INTO THE SYSTEM AND IMPROVES OUTLFOW. THE SYSTEM
WILL THEN BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO EXTRATROPICAL AS IT TRACKS ACROSS
THE KOREAN PENINSULA INTO THE SEA OF JAPAN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
STRONG UPPER LEVEL WESTERLIES AND A BAROCLINIC BOUNDARY. THE SYTEM
WILL HAVE WEAKENED TO 35 KNOTS OR LESS AT THIS POINT. FOR THE
DURATION OF THE FORECAST THE SYSTEM WILL QUICKLY TRANSIT THROUGH THE
SEA OF JAPAN AND WILL COMPLETE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IN THE
VICININTY OF OF MISAWA, JAPAN AROUND 12/1800Z. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 091800Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100300Z,
100900Z, 101500Z AND 102100Z.//
NNNN

Image

Image
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#311 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 09, 2010 5:40 pm

JMA 21Z update:

WTPQ20 RJTD 092100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1004 DIANMU (1004)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 092100UTC 30.1N 125.1E FAIR
MOVE N 09KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 260NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 102100UTC 34.2N 127.0E 85NM 70%
MOVE NE 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 111800UTC 36.6N 131.0E 180NM 70%
MOVE NE 12KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 121800UTC 40.2N 141.4E 250NM 70%
MOVE ENE 22KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =

And Korea:
WTKO20 RKSL 092100
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 9
NAME STS 1004 DIANMU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 092100UTC 30.1N 125.2E
MOVEMENT NNE 9KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 100900UTC 32.8N 125.2E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
24HR
POSITION 102100UTC 34.4N 126.7E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
36HR
POSITION 110900UTC 35.9N 129.0E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 995HPA 39KT
48HR
POSITION 112100UTC 37.6N 132.0E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 995HPA 39KT
60HR
POSITION 120900UTC 39.1N 135.3E WITHIN 215NM
PRES/VMAX 997HPA 35KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


And China:

WTPQ20 BABJ 092200
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
STS DIANMU 1004 (1004) INITIAL TIME 092200 UTC
00HR 30.5N 125.2E 980HPA 30M/S
30KTS 200KM
50KTS 50KM
P12HR N 20KM/H=

MW presentation still good, but Dvorak classification shows lower T numbers:

Image

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
09/2032 UTC 29.9N 125.2E T3.0/4.0 DIANMU
09/1432 UTC 29.1N 125.3E T4.0/4.0 DIANMU

TXPN25 KNES 092117
SIMWIR

A. 05W (DIANMU)
B. 09/2032Z
C. 29.9N
D. 125.2E
E. THREE/MTSAT
F. T3.0/4.0/W1.0/06HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS... 5/10 BANDING FOR DT=2.5 MET=3.5 WITH PT=3.0. FT BASED
ON PT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL


...SALEMI
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#312 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 09, 2010 6:12 pm

Early morn vis from CIRA:

Image
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#313 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 09, 2010 6:24 pm

Convection looks a little shallow with this system which maybe why the Dvorak numbers have dropped, along with the fact the western side looks less impressive then it did...

That being said 3.0 looks too low to me.
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#314 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 09, 2010 8:00 pm

JMA 00Z advisory up to 55kt:

WTPQ20 RJTD 100000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1004 DIANMU (1004)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100000UTC 31.0N 125.1E FAIR
MOVE N 13KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 260NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 110000UTC 34.9N 128.1E 85NM 70%
MOVE NE 14KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 120000UTC 37.7N 134.8E 180NM 70%
MOVE ENE 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 130000UTC 42.0N 144.8E 250NM 70%
MOVE ENE 22KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =

Image

China:

WTPQ20 BABJ 100000 CCA
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
STS DIANMU 1004 (1004) INITIAL TIME 100000 UTC
00HR 31.0N 125.2E 980HPA 30M/S
30KTS 200KM
50KTS 50KM
P12HR NNE 20KM/H
P+24HR 35.4N 127.7E 980HPA 30M/S
P+48HR 39.3N 136.4E 990HPA 23M/S
P+72HR 42.7N 147.5E 1000HPA 16M/S=
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#315 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 09, 2010 8:25 pm

And KMA puts Dianmu all the way up to 60 kt:

WTKO20 RKSL 100000
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 10
NAME STS 1004 DIANMU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 100000UTC 31.1N 125.1E
MOVEMENT N 21KT
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 60KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 101200UTC 33.2N 125.3E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 60KT
24HR
POSITION 110000UTC 34.7N 126.8E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
36HR
POSITION 111200UTC 36.1N 129.3E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
48HR
POSITION 120000UTC 37.8N 132.5E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 995HPA 39KT
60HR
POSITION 121200UTC 39.4N 136.0E WITHIN 215NM
PRES/VMAX 995HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

Image
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#316 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 09, 2010 8:45 pm

Image

Map made in UW-CIMSS TCTrak with sat, obs, shear, which is relatively light in Dianmu's vicinity.
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#317 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 09, 2010 9:02 pm

JTWC 03Z advisory out early; up to 50 kt.

WTPN31 PGTW 100300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DIANMU) WARNING NR 009
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
100000Z --- NEAR 31.1N 125.1E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 13 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 31.1N 125.1E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
101200Z --- 33.3N 125.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 125 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 12 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 35.3N 127.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 14 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 37.0N 130.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 38.5N 134.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z --- 40.9N 145.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
100300Z POSITION NEAR 31.6N 125.2E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (DIANMU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 390 NM
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SEOUL, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 13
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
100000Z IS 18 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 100900Z, 101500Z, 102100Z AND
110300Z.//
NNNN

Image
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#318 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 09, 2010 9:23 pm

JTWC prognostic reasoning out:

WDPN31 PGTW 100300Z
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 05W WARNING NR 09//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 12 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (DIANMU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
390 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SEOUL, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD
AT 13 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. THE TS HAS INTENSIFIED A MODEST
05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN SEVERELY
LIMITIED WITHIN THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
LOCATED NEAR SHANGHAI, CHINA. THIS LACK OF CONVECTION HAS KEPT
DVORAK ESTIMATES LOW DESPITE A STRONG AND WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) EVIDENT IN A 092243Z AMSUB MICROWAVE
IMAGE. IN FACT, THERE IS SO LITTLE CONVECTION WITHIN THE WESTERN
SEMICIRCLE THAT THE LLCC HAS BECOME PARTLY EXPOSED. THE OUTER RAIN
BANDS ARE NOW BEGINNING TO AFFECT CHEJU AND SOUTHERN JAPAN. MORE
RECENTLY DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM PGTW HAVE RISEN FROM A 3.0
TO A 3.5 OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS, AND RJTD HAS INCREASED FROM 2.5 TO
A 3.0 AS WELL. THIS INCREASE IS LIKELY IN RESPONSE TO SLIGHTLY
IMPROVED POLEWARD OUTFLOW AHEAD OF A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH AND A
SUBTLE WEAKENING OF THE TROUGH TO THE WEST.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY HAS NOT CHANGED.
B. TS 05W IS CURRENTLY TRACKING ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A
MID TO UPPER LEVEL STEERING RIDGE TO THE EAST. IT IS FORECAST TO
CREST THE RIDGE WITHIN 24 HOURS AND MAKE LANDFALL OVER SOUTH KOREA
AT 55 KNOTS. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT IT COULD MAKE LANDFALL STRONGER
THAN 55 KNOTS IF CONVECTION BEGINS TO BUILD WITHIN THE WESTERN SEMI-
CIRCLE AND/OR POLEWARD OUTFLOW IMPROVES AHEAD OF A FINGER OF THE
SUBTROPICAL JET. AFTER MAKING LANDFALL THE CYCLONE WILL WEAKEN AND
BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF STRONG UPPER
LEVEL WESTERLIES AND A STATIONARY BAROCLINIC BOUNDARY. THE
CYCLONE WILL ACCELERATE THROUGH THE SEA OF JAPAN AND WILL BECOME
FULLY EXTRATROPICAL AFTER 12/0000Z. THE REMNANT EXTRATROPICAL LOW
WILL PASS SOUTH OF MISAWA AROUND TAU 72. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN
EXCEPTIONAL AGREEMENT WITH THIS TRACK SCENARIO.//
NNNN

And PGTW's Dvorak:

TPPN10 PGTW 100011
A. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DIANMU)
B. 09/2332Z
C. 31.1N
D. 125.2E
E. FIVE/MTSAT
F. T3.5/3.5/D1.0/24HRS STT: D0.5/06HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 40A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAP OF .70 ON LOG10
SPIRAL YIELDS A DT OF 3.5. PT AGREES. MET YIELDS A 3.0. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
09/2000Z 30.2N 125.2E AMSU
09/2055Z 30.3N 125.2E SSMS
UEHARA
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StormingB81
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Re: Re:

#319 Postby StormingB81 » Mon Aug 09, 2010 9:33 pm

supercane wrote:
Chacor wrote:
Chacor wrote:Also, can I just say that the "discussion" bit in the topic title is not needed. For non-ATL storms, everything including advisories and models go into a single thread so the identifier is unnecessary.


Mods, can we please take this request into account?


I second the motion to remove the word "discussion" from the thread title for non-Atlantic basin systems.



I got it...It is removed from the title.
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HURAKAN
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#320 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 09, 2010 10:22 pm

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