WPAC: Ex DIANMU

[supercane]

03Z updates = noon Seoul time

WTPQ20 RJTD 100300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1004 DIANMU (1004)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100300UTC 31.3N 125.2E FAIR
MOVE N 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 260NM SOUTHEAST 120NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 110300UTC 35.3N 129.1E 85NM 70%
MOVE NE 16KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
45HF 120000UTC 37.7N 134.8E 180NM 70%
MOVE ENE 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
69HF 130000UTC 42.0N 144.8E 250NM 70%
MOVE ENE 22KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =

WTKO20 RKSL 100300
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 11
NAME STS 1004 DIANMU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 100300UTC 31.4N 125.3E
MOVEMENT NNE 7KT
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 60KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 101500UTC 33.4N 125.8E WITHIN 45NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 60KT
24HR
POSITION 110300UTC 35.0N 127.2E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
36HR
POSITION 111500UTC 36.4N 129.9E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
48HR
POSITION 120300UTC 38.0N 133.7E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 995HPA 39KT
60HR
POSITION 121500UTC 39.6N 139.8E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 995HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.


WTPQ20 BABJ 100400
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
STS DIANMU 1004 (1004) INITIAL TIME 100400 UTC
00HR 31.6N 125.2E 980HPA 30M/S
30KTS 200KM
50KTS 50KM
P12HR N 20KM/H=

Dvorak classifications holding steady around 3.5:

DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
10/0232 UTC 31.4N 125.4E T3.5/4.0 DIANMU
09/2032 UTC 29.9N 125.2E T3.0/4.0 DIANMU
09/1432 UTC 29.1N 125.3E T4.0/4.0 DIANMU

TXPN25 KNES 100306
SIMWIR

A. 05W (DIANMU)
B. 10/0232Z
C. 31.4N
D. 125.4E
E. THREE/MTSAT
F. T3.5/4.0/D1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...DT=3.5 BASED ON .8 BANDING ON LOG10
SPIRAL. PT=3.5. MET=3.5. FT BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL

...SCHWARTZ

[supercane]

ASCAT only caught west half of system, showing about 30 kt winds there:

[supercane]

Approximately 5 hr visible loop:



By the way, been looking at obs from Jeju Int'l Airport (RKPC) on the island of Jeju (the one just south of South Korea). Winds just beginning to pick up now with winds SE gusting to 31kt. See METAR below.

RKPC 100600Z 14020G31KT 100V180 4000 RA BR FEW008 BKN025 OVC070 29/24 Q0999 WS ALL RWY NOSIG

[supercane]

06Z updates:

JMA


WTPQ20 RJTD 100600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1004 DIANMU (1004)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 100600UTC 31.8N 125.2E FAIR
MOVE N 08KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 130NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 110600UTC 35.1N 129.6E 85NM 70%
MOVE ENE 15KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 120600UTC 37.8N 136.6E 180NM 70%
MOVE ENE 16KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 130600UTC 43.2N 147.3E 250NM 70%
MOVE NE 24KT
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT =

China:
WTPQ20 BABJ 100600 CCA
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
STS DIANMU 1004 (1004) INITIAL TIME 100600 UTC
00HR 32.0N 125.3E 980HPA 30M/S
30KTS 200KM
50KTS 50KM
P12HR NNE 20KM

South Korea:

WTKO20 RKSL 100600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 12
NAME STS 1004 DIANMU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 100600UTC 31.9N 125.2E
MOVEMENT N 10KT
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 60KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 101800UTC 33.8N 125.9E WITHIN 45NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 60KT
24HR
POSITION 110600UTC 35.3N 127.8E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
36HR
POSITION 111800UTC 36.7N 130.6E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
48HR
POSITION 120600UTC 38.3N 134.8E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 995HPA 39KT
60HR
POSITION 121800UTC 39.9N 141.6E WITHIN 190NM
PRES/VMAX 995HPA 39KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

[supercane]

Pretty good view of Dianmu from TMI:

[StormingB81]

Do you have any idea how much rain you've had from this system, its certainly a big system in terms of coverage so the eastern side will be very wet!

I wanted to get back to you on this. Yesterday we have 2.16 inches of rain and with the rain we had this morning Prolly close to or more then an inch today. Which would put us over all of last years rain of 65.35. SO far not including today Okinawa has had 64.51 Inches of rain. So I would say that we are over last years mark. And it is August 10. Granted an avg year Okinawa get about 93 inches (I looked it up) I just wanted to point out how we are oretty much over that now.

[KWT]

Wow thats real impressive, so your over last years total and we are only in August!

Anyway its still got a broad circulation with shallow convection going around it, almost starting to look increasingly subtropical now....though clearly still tropical for now.

[StormingB81]

Wow thats real impressive, so your over last years total and we are only in August!

Anyway its still got a broad circulation with shallow convection going around it, almost starting to look increasingly subtropical now.

yes however last year i think was an exeptionally dry year...avg is 93 inches...last year we just had 65

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[Chacor]

Mustn't be too far from landall on Jeju...

[KWT]

Yeah likely just a matter of hours.

ECM was a little too far west with this system but otherwise it has done a pretty exceptional job with this one.

[supercane]

WTPN31 PGTW 101500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DIANMU) WARNING NR 011
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101200Z --- NEAR 33.0N 125.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 33.0N 125.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110000Z --- 34.9N 127.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z --- 36.6N 130.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 18 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z --- 38.2N 134.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 23 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z --- 39.6N 140.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131200Z --- 42.6N 154.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
101500Z POSITION NEAR 33.5N 126.2E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (DIANMU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 270 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF SEOUL, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT
09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT
101200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 102100Z, 110300Z, 110900Z AND
111500Z.//
NNNN

[supercane]

WTPQ50 RJTD 101200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1004 DIANMU (1004)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101200UTC 32.9N 125.7E FAIR
MOVE NNE 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 260NM SOUTHEAST 130NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 111200UTC 35.6N 130.7E 85NM 70%
MOVE ENE 17KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
48HF 121200UTC 38.0N 137.2E 180NM 70%
MOVE ENE 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
72HF 131200UTC 43.3N 149.8E 250NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =



WTKO20 RKSL 101200
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 14
NAME STS 1004 DIANMU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 101200UTC 33.1N 125.7E
MOVEMENT NNE 9KT
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 60KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 110000UTC 34.9N 127.1E WITHIN 45NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
24HR
POSITION 111200UTC 36.4N 129.9E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
36HR
POSITION 120000UTC 37.9N 134.0E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
48HR
POSITION 121200UTC 39.4N 139.2E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 995HPA 39KT
60HR
POSITION 130000UTC 40.7N 145.8E WITHIN 0NM
PRES 998HPA
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.



WTPQ20 BABJ 101400
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
STS DIANMU 1004 (1004) INITIAL TIME 101400 UTC
00HR 33.1N 126.0E 980HPA 30M/S
30KTS 200KM
50KTS 50KM
P12HR NE 20KM/H=

[KWT]

Going to be a wet day tommorow for S.Korea thats for sure as Dianmu comes up from the SW keeping S.Korea on the northern side.

[supercane]

Actually wet now, probably clearing late today (Seoul time is around midnight)

[supercane]

WDPN31 PGTW 101500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 05W WARNING NR 11//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 12 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
A. TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (DIANMU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
270 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SEOUL, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MICROWAVE IMAGERY
SHOWS A CLEARLY DEFINED CENTER WITH CONVECTIVE BANDING IN ALL
QUADRANTS WRAPPING INTO THE CENTER. CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS MUCH
STRONGER OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE STORM. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
INDICATES THE STORM IS APPROACHING THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES BUT
HAS NOT YET UNDERGONE LINKAGE, HOWEVER, POLEWARD OUTFLOW HAS
IMPROVED AHEAD OF A DEEPENING MID-LATITUDE SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
THERE IS GOOD CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT POSITION BASED ON RECENT
MICROWAVE IMAGERY AND KOREAN RADAR DATA. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES OF 55 KNOTS FROM PGTW AND KNES.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. THE FORECAST TRACK PHILOSOPHY HAS NOT CHANGED AS SYSTEM
CONTINUES
TO TRACK CLOSE TO EXPECTATIONS.
B. TS 05W IS CRESTING THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A MID TO UPPER
LEVEL STEERING RIDGE. IT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN INTERACTION WITH THE
MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS SIMULTANEOUS WITH
FEELING THE EFFECTS OF THE RUGGED TERRAIN OF CHEJU ISLAND AND
SOUTHWESTERN KOREA. SHORTLY AFTER MAKING LANDFALL THE SYSTEM WILL
BEGIN EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION (ETT) AND CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT RE-
ENTERS THE EAST SEA. COOLER WATERS IN THAT BASIN AND INCREASING
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN THE SYSTEM AS
IT TRACKS TOWARD NORTHERN HONSHU. IT IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
ACCELERATE AND COMPLETE ETT BY TAU 48. THE REMNANT EXTRATROPICAL LOW
WILL PASS SOUTH OF MISAWA AB AFTER TAU 48. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN
EXCELLENT AGREEMENT THROUGH 12/12Z. FOLLOWING THAT GFS DEVIATES
POLEWARD BUT THE OTHER AIDS REMAIN IN STRONG AGREEMENT. THE GFS
SOLUTION IS BELIEVED TO BE AN ERRONEOUS ATTEMPT TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP
THE EXTRA-TROPICAL REMNANTS OF 05W INTO A DECAYING WAVE. THIS
FORECAST IS BASED ON THE CONSENSUS WITH GFS ELIMINATED AFTER TAU
48.//
NNNN



And 15Z update from JMA down to 50kt:

WTPQ20 RJTD 101500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1004 DIANMU (1004)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101500UTC 33.5N 126.3E FAIR
MOVE NE 09KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 240NM SOUTHEAST 130NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 111500UTC 36.0N 131.7E 85NM 70%
MOVE ENE 19KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 121200UTC 38.0N 137.2E 180NM 70%
MOVE ENE 14KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 040KT
GUST 060KT
69HF 131200UTC 43.3N 149.8E 250NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

[supercane]

Korea also drops Dianmu down, to 52kt from 60kt in their case:

WTKO20 RKSL 101500
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 15
NAME STS 1004 DIANMU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 101500UTC 33.7N 126.3E
MOVEMENT NE 16KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 110300UTC 35.1N 127.8E WITHIN 45NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
24HR
POSITION 111500UTC 36.4N 130.8E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 995HPA 39KT
36HR
POSITION 120300UTC 38.1N 135.4E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 995HPA 39KT
48HR
POSITION 121500UTC 39.6N 141.2E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 35KT
60HR
POSITION 130300UTC 40.8N 148.4E WITHIN 0NM
PRES 1000HPA
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

By the way, ASCAT missed to the left:

[supercane]

18Z updates:

JMA:

WTPQ20 RJTD 101800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 1004 DIANMU (1004)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 101800UTC 33.9N 126.7E FAIR
MOVE NE 13KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
30KT 220NM SOUTHEAST 130NM NORTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 111800UTC 36.4N 132.7E 85NM 70%
MOVE ENE 16KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 121800UTC 38.8N 139.5E 180NM 70%
MOVE ENE 15KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
72HF 131800UTC 43.5N 151.6E 250NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =



Korea:
WTKO20 RKSL 101800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 16
NAME STS 1004 DIANMU
ANALYSIS
POSITION 101800UTC 34.2N 126.7E
MOVEMENT NE 12KT
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
FORECAST
06HR
POSITION 110000UTC 35.0N 127.6E WITHIN 20NM
PRES/VMAX 988HPA 49KT
12HR
POSITION 110600UTC 35.3N 128.7E WITHIN 45NM
PRES/VMAX 990HPA 47KT
24HR
POSITION 111800UTC 36.5N 132.0E WITHIN 65NM
PRES/VMAX 995HPA 39KT
36HR
POSITION 120600UTC 38.0N 137.0E WITHIN 95NM
PRES/VMAX 998HPA 35KT
48HR
POSITION 121800UTC 39.6N 143.5E WITHIN 0NM
PRES 1000HPA
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.



China (note 25 m/s = 48.6 kt):

WTPQ20 BABJ 101900
SUBJECTIVE FORECAST
STS DIANMU 1004 (1004) INITIAL TIME 101900 UTC
00HR 34.0N 126.7E 988HPA 25M/S
30KTS 180KM
P12HR NE 25KM/H=

BTW, peak wind gusts at Jeju (KPRC, on island just off SW tip of South Korea) were 35kt, or converted to 1-min winds, 39.2kt. Lowest pressure was 989mb. I can't find surface winds to support 50kt MSW.

[supercane]

JTWC down to 45kt.

WTPN31 PGTW 102100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 05W (DIANMU) WARNING NR 012
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
101800Z --- NEAR 33.8N 126.2E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 09 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 33.8N 126.2E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z --- 35.4N 128.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 15 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z --- 37.0N 131.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 065 DEG/ 21 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z --- 38.6N 136.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 070 DEG/ 28 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z --- 40.4N 143.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 075 DEG/ 30 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 42.5N 159.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 34.2N 126.7E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 05W (DIANMU), LOCATED 20 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF
CHEJU-DO, SOUTH KOREA, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 09 KTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE
SYSTEM HAS BECOME ASYMMETRICAL WITH THE MAIN CONVECTION ELONGATED TO
THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT AS IT BEGAN TO ENCOUNTER STRONG WESTERLY
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM. THE
CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY FROM KUNSAN AIR BASE,
SOUTH KOREA, AND THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON A DVORAK ESTIMATE
OF T3.O FROM PGTW AND RJTD AND FROM THE SURFACE OBSERVATION FROM
CHEJU-DO AIRPORT. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES TS 05W HAS ROUNDED
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE AND BEGUN TO
GET ABSORBED INTO THE MID-LATITUDE WESTERLIES. DIANMU IS EXPECTED TO
BRUSH THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF THE KOREAN PENINSULA AND EMERGE IN THE SEA
OF JAPAN AS A WEAKENED TROPICAL STORM BY TAU 24. IT WILL THEN
TRANSITION INTO AN EXTRATROPICAL (XT) CYCLONE, BECOMING FULL XT BY
TAU 48 AFTER IT CROSSES NORTHERN HONSHU INTO THE PACIFIC OCEAN. THE
AVAILABLE NUMERIC GUIDANCE ARE IN SOLID AGREEMENT WITH GFS AS THE
SOLE OUTLIER TO THE LEFT OF THE ENVELOPE AFTER TAU 36. THIS TRACK
FORECAST IS JUST TO THE SOUTH OF CONSENSUS AFTER TAU 36 TO COMPENSATE
FOR GFS'S UNLIKELY DEFLECTION TO THE LEFT. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 14 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z, 110900Z, 111500Z AND 112100Z.//
NNNN

[StormingB81]

Ok so the Total rainfall for the 2 days was 2.60 inches and we only got some bands..It wasn't as bad as they thought..If we got hit with the center I could only imagine how much rain we coulda got..