WPAC - INVEST 97W Discussion

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WPAC - INVEST 97W Discussion

#1 Postby StormingB81 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 2:19 pm

This one is to the east of Okinawa.

I would post the link but it is Very long and I do not know how to do photos yet.
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Re: WPAC - INVEST 97W Discussion

#2 Postby cycloneye » Mon Aug 02, 2010 2:21 pm

Image
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#3 Postby StormingB81 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 2:23 pm

Thank you cycloneye!


And here is the link..I got it go to smaller.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
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#4 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 02, 2010 8:53 pm

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#5 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 02, 2010 8:59 pm

From NRL KML file:


Tropical Cyclone 97W

03 Aug 2010 0000Z
Location: 25.5 137.0
Winds: 15 knots
Central Pressure: 1010 hPa

From JMA:

WWJP25 RJTD 021800
WARNING AND SUMMARY 021800.
<snip>
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 25N 137E WSW 10 KT.
<snip>
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#6 Postby supercane » Mon Aug 02, 2010 9:36 pm

WWJP25 RJTD 030000
WARNING AND SUMMARY 030000.
WARNING VALID 040000.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI
YELLOW SEA EAST CHINA SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 38N 142E 41N 142E
47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 165E 60N 180E 41N 180E 38N 170E 39N 158E 38N
142E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 990 HPA AT 58N 145E EAST SLOWLY.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 25N 137E SW 10 KT.
HIGH 1028 HPA AT 42N 173E ESE SLOWLY.
STATIONARY FRONT FROM 38N 137E TO 40N 143E 42N 147E 44N 154E 49N 161E
50N 170E.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=
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#7 Postby StormingB81 » Mon Aug 02, 2010 11:46 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/TCFP/da ... inrfpa.png


looking pretty good for probabilty percentage!


And areas of intrest is up to fair

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/TCFP/da ... inrfps.png
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#8 Postby StormingB81 » Tue Aug 03, 2010 5:28 pm

According to JMA preasure is down to 1002...could be close..
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#9 Postby supercane » Tue Aug 03, 2010 6:31 pm

First morning vis:

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#10 Postby KWT » Tue Aug 03, 2010 7:02 pm

Not really anything there that catches my eye to be honest, things are certainly on the slow side globally and in this basin right now.
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#11 Postby StormingB81 » Tue Aug 03, 2010 7:48 pm

I think it went bye bye..it just looks like normal clouds now but im not a professional..lol
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Re: WPAC - INVEST 97W Discussion

#12 Postby dexterlabio » Wed Aug 04, 2010 6:20 am

"Domeng" has merged with the Low Pressure Area east of Batanes and intensified into a Tropical Storm.
Location of Center:
(as of 4:00 p.m.) 430 kms East of Basco, Batanes
Coordinates: 20.0°N, 126.6°E
Strength: Maximum sustained winds of 65 kph near the center and
gustiness of up to 80 kph
Movement: West at 19 kph
Forecast Positions/Outlook: Thursday afternoon:
40 km East of Basco, Batanes
Friday afternoon:
400 km West of Basco, Batanes


Areas Having Public Storm Warning Signal
PSWS # Luzon Visayas Mindanao
Signal No. 2
(60-100 kph winds) Cagayan
Babuyan Islands
Calayan Islands
Isabela
Batanes Group of Islands None None
Signal No. 1
(30-60 kph winds) Nueva Ecija
Aurora
Quirino
Nueva Viscaya
Ifugao
Benguet
Mt. Province
Pangasinan
Kalinga
Abra
Apayao
La Union
Ilocos Provinces None None


Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under signal # 1 & 2 are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.

Tropical Storm Domeng has enhanced the Southwest Monsoon that will generate moderate to rough seas as well as bring rains which may also trigger flashfloods and landslides in other areas of the country.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin alert to be issued at 11 PM today.

*****************************************
I was expecting that PAGASA will just let this system to be a tropical depression (since they are the ONLY agency classifying this as one). Now, this surprised me even more. They even upgraded it to a TS and stated the merging of a low pressure area (I assume they are talking about 97W) and this system.

On the other note, I observe thick cloud clusters in and out of the Philippine archipelago, associated with strong ITCZ activity (or the monsoon trough) and the strong surge of southwest monsoon. There are reports of strong rains in the metro and some areas in the country.

(I have also posted on this thread because I, too, have no idea of which Domeng really is...)
Last edited by dexterlabio on Wed Aug 04, 2010 6:25 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: WPAC - INVEST 97W Discussion

#13 Postby Typhoon Hunter » Wed Aug 04, 2010 6:22 am

Something clearly in the water system that PAGASA drink from. This is obviously a ridiculous over-reaction to the the Conson screw up they made. What a joke... :roll:
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#14 Postby supercane » Wed Aug 04, 2010 11:02 am

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#15 Postby supercane » Wed Aug 04, 2010 11:03 am

And yet they're persistent:


TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING FOR SHIPPING

WTPH RPMM 041200
TTT GALE WARNING 06

AT 1200 04 AUGUST TROPICAL STORM WAS ESTIMATED BASED ON SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA AT TWO ZERO POINT ZERO NORTH ONE TWO SIX POINT ZERO EAST FORECAST TO MOVE WEST AT ZERO FIVE METERS PER SECOND ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH SEAS WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETER RADIUS FROM CENTER ESTIMATED CENTRAL PRESSURE NINE NINE SEVEN HECTOPASCALS MAXIMUM WINDS ONE EIGHT METERS PER SECOND NEAR CENTER ONE THREE METERS PER SECOND WITHIN THREE ZERO ZERO KILOMETERS FORECAST POSITIONS AT 051200 TWO ZERO POINT ZERO NORTH ONE TWO ONE POINT THREE EAST AT 061200 TWO ZERO POINT ZERO NORTH ONE ONE EIGHT POINT THREE EAST ALL SHIPS WITHIN STORM AREA ARE REQUESTED TO SEND THREE HOURLY WEATHER REPORTS TO WEATHER MANILA PD
WEATHER MANILA
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Re: WPAC - INVEST 97W Discussion

#16 Postby KWT » Wed Aug 04, 2010 11:06 am

Typhoon Hunter wrote:Something clearly in the water system that PAGASA drink from. This is obviously a ridiculous over-reaction to the the Conson screw up they made. What a joke... :roll:


Thats exactly what I think, I reckon the Govt pressure has occured and they are indeed just upgrading anything out there to make it look like they've become more 'alert'
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Re: WPAC - INVEST 97W Discussion

#17 Postby oaba09 » Wed Aug 04, 2010 5:46 pm

KWT wrote:
Typhoon Hunter wrote:Something clearly in the water system that PAGASA drink from. This is obviously a ridiculous over-reaction to the the Conson screw up they made. What a joke... :roll:


Thats exactly what I think, I reckon the Govt pressure has occured and they are indeed just upgrading anything out there to make it look like they've become more 'alert'


Yup.....they're trying to avoid another scolding from the president LOL
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#18 Postby phwxenthusiast » Wed Aug 04, 2010 6:58 pm

just shows how absurd our weather bureau has become... :(
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