ATL: EX Tropical Depression FIVE - Recon discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
KWT
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 31390
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 11:02 am
Location: UK!!!

#41 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 16, 2010 12:38 pm

Yep flying out towards the system now along the coast...
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 33
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

#42 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Aug 16, 2010 1:08 pm

Well...at least we got the flight. I think the center should be a little more well defined at this time, we'll see.
0 likes   

User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 33
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

#43 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Aug 16, 2010 1:31 pm

If they are finding winds in the low to mid 20s in the areas without convection, I think they can find a few upper 30s, maybe even low 40s, in the convection.
0 likes   

User avatar
lester
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1305
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 5:21 pm
Location: Washington, DC
Contact:

#44 Postby lester » Mon Aug 16, 2010 2:38 pm

recon found 33 kts sfmr
0 likes   

User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 33
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

#45 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Aug 16, 2010 2:41 pm

Here we go into the deeper convection!
0 likes   

User avatar
lester
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1305
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 5:21 pm
Location: Washington, DC
Contact:

Re:

#46 Postby lester » Mon Aug 16, 2010 2:42 pm

brunota2003 wrote:Here we go into the deeper convection!


Should be interesting :D
0 likes   

User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 33
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

#47 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Aug 16, 2010 2:46 pm

SMFR picked up 49, 37, and 34 as the top three highest. Doesn't the error code 05 mean both rain and wind from SMFR are suspect? Looks like there are some issues.

Here we are:

FF: Quality control flags.

First column indicates status of positional variables as follows:
0 All parameters of nominal accuracy
1 Lat/lon questionable
2 Geopotential altitude or static pressure questionable
3 Both lat/lon and GA/PS questionable

Second column indicates status of meteorological variables as follows:
0 All parameters of nominal accuracy
1 T or TD questionable
2 Flight-level winds questionable
3 SFMR parameter(s) questionable
4 T/TD and FL winds questionable
5 T/TD and SFMR questionable
6 FL winds and SFMR questionable
9 T/TD, FL winds, and SFMR questionable
0 likes   

User avatar
ColinDelia
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 918
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2005 5:52 am
Location: The Beach, FL

#48 Postby ColinDelia » Mon Aug 16, 2010 2:58 pm

A few SFMR 30 kts. Unflagged this time
0 likes   

User avatar
lester
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1305
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 5:21 pm
Location: Washington, DC
Contact:

#49 Postby lester » Mon Aug 16, 2010 3:03 pm

VDM out.
0 likes   

User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 10852
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

Re: ATL: EX Tropical Depression FIVE - Recon discussion

#50 Postby Ivanhater » Mon Aug 16, 2010 3:08 pm

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 16th day of the month at 19:58Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 301)
Tropical Depression: Number 5 (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 06
A. Time of Center Fix: 16th day of the month at 19:28:30Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 29°07'N 87°02'W (29.1167N 87.0333W)
B. Center Fix Location: 92 miles (148 km) to the S (173°) from Pensacola, FL, USA.

C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: Not Available
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 21kts (~ 24.2mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 60 nautical miles (69 statute miles) to the NE (52°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 143° at 23kts (From the SE at ~ 26.5mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 68 nautical miles (78 statute miles) to the NE (52°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1008mb (29.77 inHg) - Extrapolated
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 25°C (77°F) at a pressure alt. of 301m (988ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 25°C (77°F) at a pressure alt. of 306m (1,004ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 23°C (73°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Wind and Pressure
N. Fix Level: 1,500 feet
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 2 nautical miles
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 23kts (~ 26.5mph) in the northeast quadrant at 19:05:50Z
Sea Level Pressure Extrapolation From: Below 1,500 feet
Maximum Flight Level Temp: 25°C (77°F) which was observed 48 nautical miles (55 statute miles) to the NE (52°) from the flight level center
0 likes   
Michael

User avatar
petit_bois
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 227
Joined: Tue Jun 22, 2010 12:04 pm
Location: Petit Bois Island Mississippi

Re: ATL: EX Tropical Depression FIVE - Recon discussion

#51 Postby petit_bois » Mon Aug 16, 2010 3:45 pm

very dry on the entire eastern side of this...
0 likes   
Resident of the Atlantic Basin's Major Hurricane Hit Capital!
Camille (200+winds), Frederic, Goerges, Katrina... and many many more.

Disclaimer: I'm likely the smartest guy here... but I have no idea where a tropical cyclone will go. I suggest you take my opinion as a grain of salt. I suggest you look to the National Hurricane Center for accurate info.


Return to “2010”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 108 guests