ATL: Ex-Tropical Storm FIONA - Discussion

[Dean4Storms]

Not so sure that Fiona is history quite yet. As Earl starts to speed up and pull away she could get into better conditions and gain strength, then from there who knows what could happen.

[TheBurn]

[Aric Dunn]

Convection although minimal keeps firing around the center.. its going to be close as to if it can maintain.. so far its alive. just have to keep watching..
it is rather small which is not good for surviving..

[KWT]

Looking very sheared by Earl and is very weak but it is still holding on and it won't be long before the distance starts to increase again between Fiona and Earl and I personally suspect conditions will get much better once Earl has lifted out of the way.

[blazess556]

Looking very sheared by Earl and is very weak but it is still holding on and it won't be long before the distance starts to increase again between Fiona and Earl and I personally suspect conditions will get much better once Earl has lifted out of the way.

latest models keep it hanging around as its own entity a little longer.

[HURAKAN]

latest

[Cyclone1]

This is actually looking pretty decent for Fiona standards.

[KWT]

Yeah looks like Fiona is making a decent fist of trying to keep going, probably has another 24-36hrs of awful conditions then things slowly improve...if its still about I see no reason why it can't restrengthen.

[HURAKAN]

SUMMARY OF 200 PM AST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 62.2W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM NE OF ANGUILLA
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM ENE ANEGADA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES

[blazess556]

recon is still finding 60 knot flight level winds.

[CrazyC83]

Make that 70 kt FL winds. With SFMR malfunctioning, might have to go up to 55 kt for an actual intensity.

[blazess556]

Make that 70 kt FL winds. With SFMR malfunctioning, might have to go up to 55 kt for an actual intensity.

for that ragged of satellite appearance, this is very impressive.

[JtSmarts]

I agree with KWT, if Fiona is managing to actually strengthen in these horrible conditions, she really has a chance to at least become a moderate cane once Earl is out of the way and conditions begin to improve.

[HURAKAN]

It's impossible to look at this image and see a 60 mph storm! lol

[wxman57]

Make that 70 kt FL winds. With SFMR malfunctioning, might have to go up to 55 kt for an actual intensity.

Without convection to bring those winds down to the surface, the normal FL-surface reduction will yield too high a value. Definitely looks weaker than this morning. Convection isn't nearly as strong.

[HURAKAN]

Definitely looks weaker. Lets see what the RECON finds when it goes through the convection in the southern half

[Aric Dunn]

yeah if it can manage to break away more from the circ of earl it will have a much easier time..

[cycloneye]

18z Best Track

AL, 08, 2010090118, , BEST, 0, 193N, 622W, 50, 1000, TS

[HURAKAN]

Latest ... exposed

[CrazyC83]

SFMR is up to 53 kt as well. Seems like both sets of data support an increase to 55 kt.