WPAC: Ex-Tropical Storm LIONROCK (1006/07W)

[KWT]

Yeah Supercane Lionrock sounds superb, as I said really needed a 4/5 to do it justice, not a moderate sheared TS but I suppose thats what you get with nature!

[dexterlabio]

Lionrock. That's a cool name. Some models suggest a westward motion rather than a strike to the north.

[BrianD]

Lionrock? Sounds like it has potential. LOL, actually if I heard the cyclone Lionrock was coming towards me, it might be a little intimidating...

[senorpepr]

WTPQ21 RJTD 290600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1006 LIONROCK (1006)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290600UTC 20.2N 116.1E FAIR
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 100NM
FORECAST
24HF 300600UTC 20.8N 116.8E 85NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 310600UTC 21.3N 117.4E 160NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 010600UTC 21.9N 117.9E 220NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =

[senorpepr]

690
TCNA20 RJTD 290900
CCAA 29090 47644 LIONROCK(1006) 09205 11162 142/6 2//// 90307=

Lionrock was fixed at 20.5N 116.2E. Accuracy w/ 200 km. Mean width of Lionrock is 2-3° latitude, calculated over 12-15 hours. Moving NE (030°) at 07 kt.

[senorpepr]

WTPQ21 RJTD 290900
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1006 LIONROCK (1006)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 290900UTC 20.7N 116.3E FAIR
MOVE NNE 08KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 100NM
FORECAST
24HF 300900UTC 21.1N 117.0E 85NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 310600UTC 21.3N 117.4E 160NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 010600UTC 21.9N 117.9E 220NM 70%
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =

[senorpepr]

447
TXPN21 KNES 290945
SIMWIR

A. 07W (LIONROCK)

B. 29/0901Z

C. 20.8N

D. 116.2E

E. THREE/MTSAT

F. T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS

G. IR/EIR/VIS/AMSRE

H. REMARKS...6/10 BANDING RESULTS IN A DT OF 3.0. PT AND MET AGREE. DT
IS NOT CLEAR CUT SO FT BASED ON MET.

I. ADDL POSITIONS

29/0551Z 20.6N 116.0E AMSRE


...NEWHARD

[senorpepr]

TCNA21 RJTD 291200
CCAA 29120 47644 LIONROCK(1006) 09209 11163 14234 225// 90208=

20.9N 116.3E, T2.5/35 kt, Moving NE (020°) at 08 kt

[senorpepr]

WTPQ21 RJTD 291200
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1006 LIONROCK (1006)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291200UTC 20.8N 116.3E FAIR
MOVE NNE 06KT
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 100NM
FORECAST
24HF 301200UTC 21.3N 117.6E 85NM 70%
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
48HF 311200UTC 22.1N 118.7E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
72HF 011200UTC 23.7N 119.1E 220NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =

[oaba09]

About time the WPAC get's active...

[dexterlabio]

About time the WPAC get's active...

It's catching up with the Atlantic. In the Philippines, it seems we are "cyclone-free" for the weeks to come. It's nice to observe all those systems roaming around our territory as for now.

I wonder where will this storm go. It seems to be taking a northeast/northward track in a slow pace then it could then turn to a northwest direction.

[supercane]

WTPN31 PGTW 291500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (LIONROCK) WARNING NR 010
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291200Z --- NEAR 20.8N 116.3E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 06 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY A COMBINATION OF
SATELLITE AND RADAR
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N 116.3E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300000Z --- 21.6N 116.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 22.4N 116.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 23.1N 115.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 315 DEG/ 06 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 23.9N 114.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
291500Z POSITION NEAR 21.0N 116.3E.
TROPICAL STORM 07W (LIONROCK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM SOUTHEAST
OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX
HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 291200Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT
WARNINGS AT 292100Z, 300300Z, 300900Z AND 301500Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
STORM 08W (EIGHT) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN



WDPN31 PGTW 291500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 07W WARNING NR 10//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 12 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
A. TROPICAL STORM 07W (LIONROCK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 145 NM
SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
CONVECTION HAS BEGUN TO BUILD OVER THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) AS VERTICAL WIND SHEAR APPEARS TO HAVE SUBSIDED. THE CURRENT
POSITION IS BASED ON A 291022Z SSMIS AND A 291117Z AMSUB MICROWAVE
IMAGE. THE LATEST STORM MOTION, WHICH IS MORE POLEWARD, INDICATES A
POSSIBLE INTERACTION WITH THE DEVELOPING CYCLONE NORTH OF TAIWAN.
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS APPROACHING THE RIDGE
AXIS TO THE NORTH.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS
PROGNOSTIC REASON.
B. TS 07W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
PERIPHERY OF THE MID-LEVEL STEERING RIDGE ANCHORED SOUTH OF JAPAN.
AFTER TAU 24, A SECONDARY SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER EASTERN CHINA WILL
ASSUME STEERING AND PROPEL THE SYSTEM ON A MORE WESTWARD TRAJECTORY.
TS LIONROCK IS THEN EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND BY TAU 48. THE
AVAILABLE NUMERIC GUIDANCE ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT WITH JGSM AND ECMWF
ON THE EXTREME RIGHT AND GFS ON THE EXTREME LEFT OF THE ENVELOPE.
THIS TRACK FORECAST IS TO THE LEFT OF CONSENSUS.//
NNNN

[somethingfunny]

Does anyone know what language Lionrock comes from? What's its meaning?

[supercane]

I think Typhoon Hunter mentioned it's a Hong Kong landmark. From Wikipedia, "Lion Rock, or less formally Lion Rock Hill, is a famous hill in Hong Kong. It is located between Kowloon Tong in Kowloon and Tai Wai in the New Territories, and is 495-metres high."

[supercane]

Imagery roundup:
IR:

Microwave:

ASCAT missed.
From this UW-CIMSS TCTrak overlay with sat, obs, and shear, still looks to be some slight easterly shear, albeit light:

[supercane]

WTPQ21 RJTD 291500
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1006 LIONROCK (1006)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291500UTC 20.8N 116.3E FAIR
MOVE NNE SLOWLY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 100NM
FORECAST
24HF 301500UTC 21.6N 117.8E 85NM 70%
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 311200UTC 22.1N 118.7E 160NM 70%
MOVE NE SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
69HF 011200UTC 23.7N 119.1E 220NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =

[supercane]

WTPQ21 RJTD 291800
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1006 LIONROCK (1006)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 291800UTC 20.6N 116.3E FAIR
MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES 996HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 100NM
FORECAST
24HF 301800UTC 21.5N 117.8E 85NM 70%
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
48HF 311800UTC 22.0N 119.4E 160NM 70%
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
72HF 011800UTC 24.1N 119.8E 220NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =

[supercane]

WTPQ21 RJTD 292100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1006 LIONROCK (1006)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 292100UTC 20.5N 116.5E FAIR
MOVE SSE SLOWLY
PRES 994HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 100NM
FORECAST
24HF 302100UTC 21.3N 117.9E 85NM 70%
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT
45HF 311800UTC 22.0N 119.4E 160NM 70%
MOVE ENE SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
69HF 011800UTC 24.1N 119.8E 220NM 70%
MOVE N SLOWLY
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT =



WTPN31 PGTW 292100
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (LIONROCK) WARNING NR 011
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
291800Z --- NEAR 20.8N 116.7E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 015 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.8N 116.7E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
300600Z --- 21.3N 116.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
301800Z --- 21.7N 117.1E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
310600Z --- 22.0N 117.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
311800Z --- 22.9N 117.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
011800Z --- 23.9N 115.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
292100Z POSITION NEAR 20.9N 116.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 07W (LIONROCK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 165 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RECENT MICROWAVE IMAGERY INDICATE
THAT THE SYSTEM IS CONSOLIDATING SLOWLY AS VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR DECREASES. THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON A 291802Z
AMSR-E 36H IMAGE WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. TS 07W APPEARS TO BE
INTERACTING WITH THE TROPICAL LOW LOCATED ABOUT 480 NM
NORTHEAST OF TAIWAN. THE CURRENT FORECAST INDICATES A
SLOW NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD TRACK THEN TURN WESTWARD OVER
LAND WITH DISSIPATION NEAR TAU 72. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 291800Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
300300Z, 300900Z, 301500Z AND 302100Z. REFER TO TROPICAL
STORM 08W (KOMPASU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN



WTSS20 VHHH 291945
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
AT 291800 UTC, TROPICAL STORM LIONROCK (1006) WITH CENTRAL
PRESSURE 996 HECTOPASCALS WAS CENTRED WITHIN 60 NAUTICAL
MILES OF TWO ZERO POINT SEVEN DEGREES NORTH (20.7 N) ONE
ONE SIX POINT THREE DEGREES EAST (116.3 E) AND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHEAST SLOWLY FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
MAXIMUM WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 35 KNOTS.
RADIUS OF OVER 33 KNOT WINDS 30 NAUTICAL MILES.
RADIUS OF OVER 2 METRE WAVES 90 NAUTICAL MILES.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 301800 UTC
TWO ONE POINT TWO DEGREES NORTH (21.2 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT EIGHT DEGREES EAST (116.8 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 40 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 311800 UTC
TWO ONE POINT EIGHT DEGREES NORTH (21.8 N)
ONE ONE SEVEN POINT ZERO DEGREES EAST (117.0 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.
FORECAST POSITION AND INTENSITY AT 011800 UTC
TWO TWO POINT ONE DEGREES NORTH (22.1 N)
ONE ONE SIX POINT NINE DEGREES EAST (116.9 E)
MAXIMUM WINDS 45 KNOTS.



WTKO20 RKSL 291800
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 5
NAME TS 1006 LIONROCK
ANALYSIS
POSITION 291800UTC 20.6N 116.7E
MOVEMENT ESE 5KT
PRES/VMAX 996HPA 37KT
FORECAST
24HR
POSITION 301800UTC 21.8N 117.7E WITHIN 80NM
PRES/VMAX 985HPA 52KT
48HR
POSITION 311800UTC 23.1N 118.2E WITHIN 135NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 60KT
72HR
POSITION 011800UTC 24.4N 117.5E WITHIN 215NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 60KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.

[supercane]

FKPQ31 RJTD 300000
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20100830/0000Z
TCAC: TOKYO
TC: LIONROCK
NR: 13
PSN: N2050 E11635
MOV: NE 03KT
C: 992HPA
MAX WIND: 40KT
FCST PSN +6HR: 30/0600Z N2100 E11655
FCST MAX WIND +6HR: 45KT
FCST PSN +12HR: 30/1200Z N2100 E11720
FCST MAX WIND +12HR: 45KT
FCST PSN +18HR: 30/1800Z N2105 E11740
FCST MAX WIND +18HR: 50KT
FCST PSN +24HR: 31/0000Z N2105 E11805
FCST MAX WIND +24HR: 50KT
RMK: NIL
NXT MSG: 20100830/0600Z =




WTPN31 PGTW 300300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL STORM 07W (LIONROCK) WARNING NR 012
02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
---
WARNING POSITION:
300000Z --- NEAR 20.9N 116.8E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 025 DEGREES AT 02 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 20.9N 116.8E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
301200Z --- 21.2N 117.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 02 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
310000Z --- 21.6N 117.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
311200Z --- 22.3N 117.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 05 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
010000Z --- 23.2N 117.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 24.3N 116.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND
---
REMARKS:
300300Z POSITION NEAR 21.0N 116.8E.
TROPICAL STORM 07W (LIONROCK), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 170 NM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HONG KONG, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE
HEIGHT AT 300000Z IS 14 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 300900Z,
301500Z, 302100Z AND 310300Z. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 08W
(KOMPASU) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.
//
NNNN

[supercane]

VIS:

IR:

Microwave (still looks sheared):