WPAC: Ex-Severe Tropical Storm MALOU (1009/10W)

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supercane
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#161 Postby supercane » Tue Sep 07, 2010 11:35 pm

WTPQ20 RJTD 080300
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 1009 MALOU (1009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080300UTC 35.5N 136.6E FAIR
MOVE ESE 14KT
PRES 1004HPA
MXWD 035KT
GUST 050KT
30KT 140NM
FORECAST
24HF 090300UTC 35.4N 142.8E 85NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Storm MALOU (1009/10W)

#162 Postby cycloneye » Wed Sep 08, 2010 7:46 am

Supercane, do you have the updated ACE for the Wpac? I want to update the Wpac totals at the ACE thread in Talking tropics.
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#163 Postby StormingB81 » Wed Sep 08, 2010 8:00 am

I totaled 36.93 from the FSU website.
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#164 Postby StormingB81 » Wed Sep 08, 2010 8:09 am

you know this is curving back down....how funny would this be if it moves south an re develops...how many times has that happend....
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#165 Postby supercane » Wed Sep 08, 2010 5:48 pm

Last JMA advisory earlier:
WTPQ20 RJTD 080600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 1009 MALOU (1009)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 080600UTC 35N 138E
MOVE ESE 20KT
PRES 1004HPA =

And 18Z analysis:
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 35N 142E EAST 20 KT.
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#166 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Sep 08, 2010 8:27 pm

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#167 Postby Chacor » Wed Sep 08, 2010 8:47 pm

That's 11W (Meranti), not Malou.
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#168 Postby StormingB81 » Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:25 pm

man if that goes back past Tawain that will be crazy!
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#169 Postby supercane » Wed Sep 08, 2010 10:31 pm

JMA still saying this is a TD at 00Z:
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA AT 35N 143E ESE 10 KT.

CBC states no injuries, but 2 men had to be rescued. Beneficial side effect of ending a heat wave. See CBC story: Tropical storm Malou drenches Japan
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#170 Postby supercane » Wed Sep 08, 2010 11:57 pm

Looks like a nice extratropical system on ASCAT:
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Re: WPAC: Tropical Storm MALOU (1009/10W)

#171 Postby pepeavilenho » Thu Sep 09, 2010 3:02 pm

Why is this again in the NRL website?

Possible Re-development?

Image

Oh God.... :eek:
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#172 Postby StormingB81 » Thu Sep 09, 2010 4:15 pm

Well I saw a hint of a more south movement. Now it is more of a east I think it will be no worries just out to see and done.
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#173 Postby Chacor » Thu Sep 09, 2010 7:22 pm

JMA agrees:

WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA
AT 34.1N 145.4E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 06 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS.
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#174 Postby Chacor » Thu Sep 09, 2010 7:24 pm

JTWC has re-added the area to its TWO, but says it's still extratropical

AN AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS OF TS 10W) HAS PERSISTED
NEAR 34.2N 145.5E, APPROXIMATELY 300 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO,
JAPAN. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS THE REMNANTS OF TS 10W
(MALOU) HAVE TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE NORTHERN PACIFIC AS 25
TO 35 KNOT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. HOWEVER, THE SYSTEM IS NOT
TROPICAL AND STILL APPEARS TO BE PART OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB.
NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND INDICATES THE
SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD AS AN EXTRA-TROPICAL
CYCLONE. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
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#175 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Sep 09, 2010 7:26 pm

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Re:

#176 Postby theavocado » Thu Sep 09, 2010 8:27 pm

StormingB81 wrote:you know this is curving back down....how funny would this be if it moves south an re develops...how many times has that happend....


Typhoon Parma, 2003
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#177 Postby Chacor » Thu Sep 09, 2010 11:01 pm

JMA 00z:
WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA
AT 34.1N 147.0E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 13 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS.
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#178 Postby Chacor » Fri Sep 10, 2010 3:58 am

WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA
AT 34.0N 148.4E SEA EAST OF JAPAN MOVING EAST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS.

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 34.2N
145.5E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 147.0E, APPROXIMATELY 370 NM EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF TOKYO, JAPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS A FRONTAL, FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC),
WHICH IS THE REMNANTS OF TS 10W (MALOU). A RECENT 092345Z ASCAT PASS
DEPICTS AN ELONGATED LLCC WITH 25 TO 30 KNOT WINDS ON THE
SOUTHEASTERN PERIPHERY. THE SYSTEM IS NOT TROPICAL AND STILL APPEARS
TO BE PART OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE. NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN
GOOD AGREEMENT AND INDICATES THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK
EASTWARD AS AN EXTRA-TROPICAL CYCLONE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.
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#179 Postby Chacor » Fri Sep 10, 2010 7:24 am

Can we get a mod to change the topic title to "Tropical Depression ex-Malou"?

Continues to generate deep convection.

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#180 Postby KWT » Fri Sep 10, 2010 7:28 am

Looks a little ragged there though it did look decent last night looking at the image posted earlier in this thread.
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