ATL: Ex INVEST 99L - Discussion

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cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#21 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 04, 2010 6:58 am

8 AM TWO=Down to 20%

AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF
AFRICA AND THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED.
HOWEVER... ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD ALLOW FOR SOME SLOW
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 10 MPH.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#22 Postby WeatherLovingDoc » Sat Sep 04, 2010 10:08 am

[b][img]Image

(Uploaded with Image Shack Toolbar)

Too big to post (189K zoom)

http://tinyurl.com/368chrd

from: http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#23 Postby Sanibel » Sat Sep 04, 2010 10:31 am

This might be timed just right so the shifting positive MJO phase catches up to it further west.
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#24 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Sep 04, 2010 12:18 pm

Image

Latest
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#25 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sat Sep 04, 2010 12:21 pm

Actually, the fact that 99L may not develop, may mean an increased chance of development for Gaston. It won't have another storm behind it to disrupt its outflow once it gets going....

All eyes now on Gaston based on some of the recent models...

99L may still develop down the road, but it desn't look good now.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#26 Postby Migle » Sat Sep 04, 2010 4:35 pm

I guess 99L has been deactivated since it's no longer on the Storm2k map?
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Re: ATL: INVEST 99L - Discussion

#27 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 04, 2010 4:38 pm

Migle wrote:I guess 99L has been deactivated since it's no longer on the Storm2k map?


NHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_al992010.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201009042114
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
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Re: ATL: Ex INVEST 99L - Discussion

#28 Postby Migle » Sat Sep 04, 2010 5:48 pm

I guess that means that we will have to look for Hermine elsewhere.
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Re: ATL: Ex INVEST 99L - Discussion

#29 Postby O Town » Sat Sep 04, 2010 8:03 pm

Looks like a good bit of shear in front of her now, gets better down
the road though.

Image

Image
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#30 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Sep 04, 2010 8:10 pm

Looks like the African wave train will stay at four for four for now.
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#31 Postby fci » Sun Sep 05, 2010 12:38 am

No, I think it would be 4 for 5 since the 5th one did not develop.
The streak is over.....
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Re: ATL: Ex INVEST 99L - Discussion

#32 Postby Florida1118 » Sun Sep 05, 2010 12:42 am

Not Even 0% on TWO. Its done.
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