ATL: HERMINE - Models

[HURRICANELONNY]

I don't think any models developed this last week. I may be wrong. So why should you trust them. I say Hurricane before landfall. Bath tub water and it's still heading north. So stick that up the models.

By the way. Everyone have a safe Labor Day. Season got a long way to go.So be ready and prepared. Heading to a cook out now. I've been elected to put the new grill together.

[HurrMark]

2010 seems to be all about Mexico landfalling storms....I bet next year we won't be so lucky.

Mexico and Canada...

I thought it would be a decent western Gulf year on the onset...so far, it seems like it's coming to fruition.

[srainhoutx]

The NAM may have just scored a major tropical coup with Hermine.

[vbhoutex]

The NAM may have just scored a major tropical coup with Hermine.

Can I just choose to ignore the 12Z NAM? It paints a very wet stormy picture for much of TX with a landfall between CRP and BRO if I am seeing it correctly. We are already starting to get some of the outer rains from Hermine. raining at the house now with a SLIGHT breeze.

[Extremeweatherguy]

According to the 12z model runs, the remnants of Hermine might lead to some interesting weather up here in Oklahoma around midweek. It looks like heavy, flooding rains could be a real possibility with an increased tornado threat as well. I will definitely be keeping a very close eye on this system!

12z GFS 6 hr rainfall (hr 66):



12z NAM 6 hr rainfall (hr 66):

[Yankeegirl]

it has been raining here on and off all day... I am stuck in a hotel at 1960 and 290 on the 4th floor, taking a few pictures of the squall lines coming through... Posted to my facebook.... Got a nice breeze kicking too....

[Extremeweatherguy]

18z GFS 48 hr total rainfall (hr 60):


The 18z GFS is showing a large swath of 3+ inch rain totals between late tonight and very early Thursday morning from south Texas up through central Oklahoma, with a few areas seeing amounts upwards of 5 to 6 inches.