ATL: KARL - Models

[hurricaneCW]

Thank God for that ridge, hate it for MX, but we don't need that up here!

That's the difference between this site and easternuswx, people over there are begging for a strong storm to hit the U.S., but here it's the exact opposite and I agree with the keep away logic. Why on Earth would anyone want a storm impacting them, I don't get it.

[superfly]

Thank God for that ridge, hate it for MX, but we don't need that up here!

That's the difference between this site and easternuswx, people over there are begging for a strong storm to hit the U.S., but here it's the exact opposite and I agree with the keep away logic. Why on Earth would anyone want a storm impacting them, I don't get it.

Because it's fun and a cool experience. Same reason why people skydive.

[Typhoon_Willie]

That may be true but skydiving won't damage or destroy your house or your neighbors for that matter.

[Texas Snowman]

It's fun and a cool experience?

Maybe that's written with sarcasm. But if not, no offense, but I just don't understand statements like that.

Go ask the people in Ike's direct path how fun and cool it was. Over 80 people died in the U.S. and there was $29.6 billion in property damages.

Or Katrina. One of the five deadliest storms in U.S. history with 1,836 deaths and the costliest natural disaster in U.S. history with $81.2 billion in damages.

Igor is the perfect storm...strong, impressive on sat shots, fun to talk about, and a danger at the moment to nobody but a bunch of fish.

[Tireman4]

Thank God for that ridge, hate it for MX, but we don't need that up here!

That's the difference between this site and easternuswx, people over there are begging for a strong storm to hit the U.S., but here it's the exact opposite and I agree with the keep away logic. Why on Earth would anyone want a storm impacting them, I don't get it.

On the other hand, I hate the ridge. I would love some cooler air here in my neck of the woods. That being said, I do not like hurricanes either. As a veteran of Alicia, Ike, Rita and Fran, I wished they would all be fish storms.

[Javlin]

In looking at the models and synoptics ATM it sure looks like the Continental US is really on the safe side for the most part for alittle while.I mean that we have a LP going across and have had them for the last few weeks every few days to our N.These LP are being consistent in developing weakness in the HP over the E seaboard and out in the ATL.The only way I can see a threat ATM would be a homebrew in the GOM later in a month or so coming off the tailend of a front or from a wave that just sneeks under the radar.Poor MX has had more than her share this year.

[superfly]

It's fun and a cool experience?

Maybe that's written with sarcasm. But if not, no offense, but I just don't understand statements like that.

Go ask the people in Ike's direct path how fun and cool it was. Over 80 people died in the U.S. and there was $29.6 billion in property damages.

Or Katrina. One of the five deadliest storms in U.S. history with 1,836 deaths and the costliest natural disaster in U.S. history with $81.2 billion in damages.

Igor is the perfect storm...strong, impressive on sat shots, fun to talk about, and a danger at the moment to nobody but a bunch of fish.

I was in both Katrina and Ike. Both were cool experiences that I wouldn't give back for anything in the world.

P.S. I lost a house in New Orleans from Katrina and my roof got damaged in Houston from Ike. That's what insurance is for.

[Florida1118]

It's fun and a cool experience?

Maybe that's written with sarcasm. But if not, no offense, but I just don't understand statements like that.

Go ask the people in Ike's direct path how fun and cool it was. Over 80 people died in the U.S. and there was $29.6 billion in property damages.

Or Katrina. One of the five deadliest storms in U.S. history with 1,836 deaths and the costliest natural disaster in U.S. history with $81.2 billion in damages.

Igor is the perfect storm...strong, impressive on sat shots, fun to talk about, and a danger at the moment to nobody but a bunch of fish.

I was in both Katrina and Ike. Both were cool experiences that I wouldn't give back for anything in the world.

P.S. I lost a house in New Orleans from Katrina and my roof got damaged in Houston from Ike. That's what insurance is for.

Im going to go back to Karl's models, and not get involved...Pretty good agreement. another Mexico hit.

[Macrocane]

So what are the models saying about Karl?

[Aquawind]

So what are the models saying about Karl?

He has the fly swatter out I assume..so they say Mexico unfortunately..

[Diogenes]

I was in both Katrina and Ike. Both were cool experiences that I wouldn't give back for anything in the world.

P.S. I lost a house in New Orleans from Katrina and my roof got damaged in Houston from Ike. That's what insurance is for.

I lost family. I could do without the experience again.

[ROCK]

Stays well south as i stated last week.

KFDM is indeed the man. But can anyone top this from last week?

...and if I had to bet, it would be at some classifiable level on the Yucatan between Tulum and Mahaual.

whatever Steve....every blind squirrel finds a nut at some point....

[ROCK]

the 0z NAM is awefully slow to get Karl over the Yucatan....it takes all 84hrs to get into the BOC.....what does that suggest? nothing its the NAM.....

[ROCK]

well at 66hr the GFS still has Karl hanging around in the BOC so maybe the NAM was jacked up after all....

[South Texas Storms]

yeah rock the nam seems a little better this year. it handled hermine pretty darn well.

[ROCK]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_084l.gif

well Karl still hanging out in the BOC.....la la la...picking flowers or something....

[South Texas Storms]

man what takes it so long to get inland? do the steering currents collapse?

[ROCK]

man what takes it so long to get inland? do the steering currents collapse?

high not as strong as that SV moves across the NE.....steering relaxes...not enough to pull him up though....high going to build back on top of him soon...

[brunota2003]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/images/gfs_ten_084l.gif

well Karl still hanging out in the BOC.....la la la...picking flowers or something....

He's trying to impress the locals with his flower picking power, and win the heart of the farmer's daughter!

[ROCK]

guess what at 108hr Karl decides to sit in the BOC some more....serious upwelling I would suspect....

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... n_108l.gif