ATL: JULIA - Models

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ATL: JULIA - Models

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Sep 11, 2010 7:39 am

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046
WHXX01 KWBC 111207
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1207 UTC SAT SEP 11 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932010) 20100911 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        100911  0600   100911  1800   100912  0600   100912  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.6N  13.3W   13.4N  15.9W   14.2N  18.6W   15.0N  21.9W
BAMD    12.6N  13.3W   13.2N  16.0W   13.9N  18.8W   14.7N  21.6W
BAMM    12.6N  13.3W   13.3N  16.2W   13.9N  19.3W   14.6N  22.5W
LBAR    12.6N  13.3W   13.4N  16.3W   14.4N  19.4W   15.7N  22.3W
SHIP        20KTS          26KTS          32KTS          40KTS
DSHP        20KTS          25KTS          33KTS          40KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        100913  0600   100914  0600   100915  0600   100916  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.9N  25.2W   17.6N  30.4W   18.8N  34.5W   19.4N  38.1W
BAMD    15.8N  23.9W   19.6N  26.8W   24.9N  25.8W   28.6N  18.3W
BAMM    15.2N  25.4W   17.0N  29.7W   19.1N  32.4W   21.0N  35.0W
LBAR    17.1N  24.7W   21.0N  27.2W   26.3N  26.0W   30.9N  18.6W
SHIP        48KTS          61KTS          61KTS          56KTS
DSHP        48KTS          61KTS          62KTS          57KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.6N LONCUR =  13.3W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR =  17KT
LATM12 =  11.8N LONM12 =   9.6W DIRM12 = 288DEG SPDM12 =  16KT
LATM24 =  10.9N LONM24 =   7.0W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   15KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
NNNN

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#2 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Sep 11, 2010 7:39 am

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Re: ATL : INVEST 93L : MODELS

#3 Postby OURAGAN » Sat Sep 11, 2010 7:41 am

Another fish
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#4 Postby AussieMark » Sat Sep 11, 2010 7:54 am

GFS has this not even getting as far west as Igor

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Re: ATL : 93L - Models

#5 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 11, 2010 8:54 am

12z Tropical Models Suite

Code: Select all

WHXX01 KWBC 111322
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1322 UTC SAT SEP 11 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932010) 20100911 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        100911  1200   100912  0000   100912  1200   100913  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.9N  15.2W   13.3N  18.0W   13.4N  21.1W   13.6N  24.3W
BAMD    12.9N  15.2W   13.3N  18.0W   13.8N  20.8W   14.7N  23.3W
BAMM    12.9N  15.2W   13.4N  18.0W   13.9N  21.1W   14.5N  23.9W
LBAR    12.9N  15.2W   13.6N  18.3W   14.4N  21.5W   15.5N  24.6W
SHIP        20KTS          25KTS          32KTS          40KTS
DSHP        20KTS          28KTS          35KTS          43KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        100913  1200   100914  1200   100915  1200   100916  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.1N  27.0W   15.5N  31.0W   16.9N  33.4W   18.8N  35.6W
BAMD    15.9N  25.6W   19.9N  27.9W   25.6N  27.7W   28.8N  22.7W
BAMM    15.3N  26.5W   17.6N  30.0W   20.8N  31.6W   24.3N  32.9W
LBAR    16.9N  27.3W   20.3N  30.5W   24.6N  30.6W   28.0N  29.9W
SHIP        49KTS          63KTS          61KTS          54KTS
DSHP        52KTS          65KTS          64KTS          57KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.9N LONCUR =  15.2W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =  19KT
LATM12 =  12.3N LONM12 =  11.4W DIRM12 = 283DEG SPDM12 =  19KT
LATM24 =  11.3N LONM24 =   8.2W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   15KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 


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Re: ATL : 93L - Models

#6 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 11, 2010 1:52 pm

18z Tropical Models Suite

Code: Select all

WHXX01 KWBC 111846
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1846 UTC SAT SEP 11 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932010) 20100911 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        100911  1800   100912  0600   100912  1800   100913  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.0N  17.1W   13.3N  19.6W   13.7N  22.6W   14.3N  25.5W
BAMD    13.0N  17.1W   13.5N  19.6W   14.2N  22.1W   15.2N  24.5W
BAMM    13.0N  17.1W   13.5N  19.8W   14.2N  22.6W   15.0N  25.4W
LBAR    13.0N  17.1W   13.5N  20.2W   14.5N  23.6W   15.4N  26.9W
SHIP        20KTS          25KTS          36KTS          48KTS
DSHP        20KTS          25KTS          36KTS          48KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        100913  1800   100914  1800   100915  1800   100916  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.0N  28.1W   16.9N  32.3W   18.8N  35.2W   21.3N  37.3W
BAMD    16.5N  26.7W   20.1N  29.4W   24.5N  31.4W   28.6N  34.5W
BAMM    16.0N  27.9W   18.5N  31.4W   21.2N  33.9W   24.2N  36.8W
LBAR    16.7N  30.0W   19.4N  34.0W   23.6N  36.2W   27.4N  38.7W
SHIP        62KTS          78KTS          83KTS          77KTS
DSHP        62KTS          78KTS          83KTS          77KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.0N LONCUR =  17.1W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =  19KT
LATM12 =  12.6N LONM12 =  13.3W DIRM12 = 280DEG SPDM12 =  19KT
LATM24 =  11.8N LONM24 =   9.6W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
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#7 Postby BigB0882 » Sat Sep 11, 2010 3:19 pm

They have been pretty consistent on this being a fish and not just by a bit. Let's see if the west trend begins with this one.
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Re: ATL : 93L - Models

#8 Postby cycloneye » Sat Sep 11, 2010 7:53 pm

00z Tropical Models Suite

Code: Select all

861
WHXX01 KWBC 120050
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0050 UTC SUN SEP 12 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL932010) 20100912 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        100912  0000   100912  1200   100913  0000   100913  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.8N  18.5W   13.0N  20.9W   13.5N  23.6W   14.4N  26.1W
BAMD    12.8N  18.5W   13.1N  21.0W   13.8N  23.4W   14.8N  25.6W
BAMM    12.8N  18.5W   13.2N  21.2W   13.8N  23.9W   14.6N  26.4W
LBAR    12.8N  18.5W   13.2N  21.3W   14.1N  24.2W   15.1N  27.3W
SHIP        25KTS          34KTS          46KTS          59KTS
DSHP        25KTS          34KTS          46KTS          59KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        100914  0000   100915  0000   100916  0000   100917  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.3N  28.3W   17.6N  31.8W   19.6N  34.9W   22.5N  38.6W
BAMD    16.0N  27.3W   19.7N  29.1W   24.6N  30.6W   28.3N  30.5W
BAMM    15.7N  28.3W   18.2N  30.9W   21.2N  33.1W   25.0N  36.4W
LBAR    16.5N  29.9W   19.9N  33.7W   24.6N  36.5W   27.6N  40.0W
SHIP        71KTS          85KTS          82KTS          72KTS
DSHP        71KTS          85KTS          82KTS          72KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.8N LONCUR =  18.5W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR =  16KT
LATM12 =  12.9N LONM12 =  15.2W DIRM12 = 275DEG SPDM12 =  19KT
LATM24 =  12.3N LONM24 =  11.4W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM


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Re: ATL : 93L - Models

#9 Postby jlauderdal » Sat Sep 11, 2010 8:15 pm

we need a fish thread, just dump all the smelly fish in there and leave the players to their own threads
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Re: ATL : 93L - Models

#10 Postby StormClouds63 » Sun Sep 12, 2010 12:08 am

Yet another re-curve ... the pattern is set in stone for 2010.
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Re: ATL : 93L - Models

#11 Postby AussieMark » Sun Sep 12, 2010 7:38 am

jlauderdal wrote:we need a fish thread, just dump all the smelly fish in there and leave the players to their own threads


there would be no threads the way 2010 is going :lol:
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Re: ATL : 93L - Models

#12 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Sep 12, 2010 7:45 am

Code: Select all

645
WHXX01 KWBC 121242
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1242 UTC SUN SEP 12 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE TWELVE (AL122010) 20100912 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        100912  1200   100913  0000   100913  1200   100914  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.5N  20.8W   13.1N  23.0W   14.2N  25.4W   15.7N  27.8W
BAMD    12.5N  20.8W   13.4N  23.1W   14.6N  25.4W   16.1N  27.2W
BAMM    12.5N  20.8W   13.4N  23.1W   14.7N  25.5W   16.3N  27.7W
LBAR    12.5N  20.8W   13.2N  23.1W   14.3N  25.9W   15.7N  28.6W
SHIP        30KTS          38KTS          49KTS          58KTS
DSHP        30KTS          38KTS          49KTS          58KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        100914  1200   100915  1200   100916  1200   100917  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.1N  30.2W   19.5N  34.1W   21.6N  36.7W   27.0N  40.2W
BAMD    17.8N  28.6W   23.3N  30.5W   28.8N  33.4W   32.1N  34.8W
BAMM    18.1N  29.5W   21.9N  32.8W   24.7N  37.0W   28.5N  41.6W
LBAR    17.1N  31.1W   21.3N  34.3W   27.0N  38.6W   27.5N  42.8W
SHIP        66KTS          74KTS          68KTS          60KTS
DSHP        66KTS          74KTS          68KTS          60KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.5N LONCUR =  20.8W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  12KT
LATM12 =  12.2N LONM12 =  18.2W DIRM12 = 275DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =  12.0N LONM24 =  16.1W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   50NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
NNNN


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Re: ATL : 93L - Models

#13 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 12, 2010 8:03 am

The new graphic is now with storm 12.

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#14 Postby KWT » Sun Sep 12, 2010 5:42 pm

Interestingly the 18z is trying to bend this one back WSW as the upper ridge slams the door shut across the Central Atlantic...this is a very interesting evolution that has been hinted at by the GFS several times recently.

It rather depends on how close TD12 gets to Igor really...

Julia at 60W....at day 16!!

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... v_384m.gif
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Re: ATL: TD TWELVE - Models

#15 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 12, 2010 7:33 pm

00z Tropical Models Suite

Code: Select all

 
WHXX01 KWBC 130024
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0024 UTC MON SEP 13 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE TWELVE (AL122010) 20100913 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        100913  0000   100913  1200   100914  0000   100914  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.3N  22.9W   14.4N  25.2W   15.8N  27.8W   17.4N  30.4W
BAMD    13.3N  22.9W   14.7N  25.2W   16.4N  27.2W   18.4N  28.9W
BAMM    13.3N  22.9W   14.5N  25.2W   16.0N  27.6W   17.6N  30.0W
LBAR    13.3N  22.9W   14.4N  24.9W   15.9N  27.3W   17.5N  29.7W
SHIP    35KTS         44KTS          55KTS          65KTS
DSHP        35KTS          44KTS          55KTS          65KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        100915  0000   100916  0000   100917  0000   100918  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.8N  33.3W   19.0N  38.0W   20.2N  40.1W   26.9N  42.0W
BAMD    20.9N  30.0W   26.1N  32.7W   30.1N  37.7W   32.8N  40.5W
BAMM    19.2N  32.1W   21.2N  36.2W   23.4N  40.4W   27.2N  44.2W
LBAR    19.5N  31.6W   24.9N  35.1W   29.3N  38.9W   28.4N  44.1W
SHIP        71KTS          77KTS          75KTS          66KTS
DSHP        71KTS          77KTS          75KTS          66KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.3N LONCUR =  22.9W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
LATM12 =  12.9N LONM12 =  21.1W DIRM12 = 284DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =  12.2N LONM24 =  18.2W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   45NM RD34SE =   45NM RD34SW =   45NM RD34NW =  60NM

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Re: ATL: JULIA - Models

#16 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 13, 2010 7:49 am

12z Tropical Models Suite

Code: Select all

635
WHXX01 KWBC 131241
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1241 UTC MON SEP 13 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE JULIA (AL122010) 20100913 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        100913  1200   100914  0000   100914  1200   100915  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.6N  25.6W   15.6N  27.6W   17.1N  29.6W   18.5N  31.7W
BAMD    14.6N  25.6W   15.7N  27.5W   17.0N  28.9W   18.8N  29.6W
BAMM    14.6N  25.6W   15.9N  27.4W   17.7N  29.1W   19.7N  30.4W
LBAR    14.6N  25.6W   15.9N  27.6W   17.6N  29.7W   19.6N  31.7W
SHIP        35KTS          43KTS          53KTS          59KTS
DSHP        35KTS          43KTS          53KTS          59KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        100915  1200   100916  1200   100917  1200   100918  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.5N  33.6W   21.2N  35.7W   26.7N  38.7W   32.4N  42.7W
BAMD    21.2N  30.2W   26.6N  33.0W   29.4N  36.3W   29.9N  38.1W
BAMM    21.7N  32.0W   24.3N  35.7W   27.1N  40.4W   30.2N  44.5W
LBAR    21.9N  33.1W   26.9N  36.1W   28.3N  40.5W   28.1N  45.6W
SHIP        65KTS          72KTS          68KTS          56KTS
DSHP        65KTS          72KTS          68KTS          56KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.6N LONCUR =  25.6W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR =  13KT
LATM12 =  13.4N LONM12 =  22.9W DIRM12 = 293DEG SPDM12 =  12KT
LATM24 =  12.9N LONM24 =  21.1W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   45NM RD34SE =   45NM RD34SW =   45NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
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#17 Postby KWT » Mon Sep 13, 2010 7:55 am

Expected to become a hurricane still and most models do suggest this will likely occur as well...
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Models

#18 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 13, 2010 1:51 pm

18z Tropical Models Suite

Code: Select all

200
WHXX01 KWBC 131842
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1842 UTC MON SEP 13 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE JULIA (AL122010) 20100913 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        100913  1800   100914  0600   100914  1800   100915  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.1N  26.9W   16.1N  28.8W   17.3N  30.7W   18.5N  32.6W
BAMD    15.1N  26.9W   16.2N  28.7W   17.6N  30.1W   19.2N  31.2W
BAMM    15.1N  26.9W   16.2N  28.8W   17.6N  30.5W   18.9N  32.1W
LBAR    15.1N  26.9W   16.4N  28.9W   18.0N  31.0W   20.0N  32.9W
SHIP        45KTS          58KTS          67KTS          74KTS
DSHP        45KTS          58KTS          67KTS          74KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        100915  1800   100916  1800   100917  1800   100918  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.5N  34.0W   23.1N  36.4W   29.6N  40.2W   34.9N  43.3W
BAMD    21.3N  32.5W   25.5N  36.9W   28.0N  42.1W   30.1N  45.8W
BAMM    20.4N  33.4W   24.1N  36.8W   28.1N  41.7W   31.9N  44.9W
LBAR    22.5N  34.6W   27.5N  38.8W   29.3N  42.5W   30.7N  46.9W
SHIP        75KTS          79KTS          69KTS          53KTS
DSHP        75KTS          79KTS          69KTS          53KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.1N LONCUR =  26.9W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR =  14KT
LATM12 =  14.0N LONM12 =  24.2W DIRM12 = 295DEG SPDM12 =  14KT
LATM24 =  13.1N LONM24 =  22.0W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   50NM RD34SE =   45NM RD34SW =   45NM RD34NW =  60NM

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Re: ATL: JULIA - Models

#19 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 13, 2010 7:48 pm

00z TropicaL Models Suite

Code: Select all

656
WHXX01 KWBC 140042
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0042 UTC TUE SEP 14 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE JULIA (AL122010) 20100914 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        100914  0000   100914  1200   100915  0000   100915  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.4N  27.5W   16.5N  29.6W   17.4N  31.6W   18.2N  33.6W
BAMD    15.4N  27.5W   16.5N  29.4W   17.7N  31.0W   18.9N  32.4W
BAMM    15.4N  27.5W   16.6N  29.6W   17.7N  31.4W   18.8N  33.1W
LBAR    15.4N  27.5W   16.7N  29.2W   18.4N  31.0W   20.3N  32.9W
SHIP        45KTS          57KTS          65KTS          70KTS
DSHP        45KTS          57KTS          65KTS          70KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        100916  0000   100917  0000   100918  0000   100919  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.7N  35.1W   21.2N  38.6W   25.4N  43.6W   30.0N  47.3W
BAMD    20.4N  34.0W   23.7N  38.7W   26.1N  43.6W   27.9N  47.5W
BAMM    19.8N  34.5W   22.9N  38.6W   26.3N  43.7W   29.7N  47.5W
LBAR    22.5N  34.7W   27.1N  38.4W   29.1N  43.0W   30.5N  47.5W
SHIP        71KTS          72KTS          62KTS          47KTS
DSHP        71KTS          72KTS          62KTS          47KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.4N LONCUR =  27.5W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR =  11KT
LATM12 =  14.6N LONM12 =  25.6W DIRM12 = 292DEG SPDM12 =  12KT
LATM24 =  13.4N LONM24 =  22.9W
WNDCUR =   45KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  140NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   50NM RD34SE =   45NM RD34SW =   45NM RD34NW =  60NM
 

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Re: ATL: JULIA - Models

#20 Postby HurricaneRobert » Mon Sep 13, 2010 8:24 pm

Why is Julia moving so quickly in the models? Does she have a jetski?
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