ATL: KARL - Recon discussion

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srainhoutx
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Re: ATL: 92L - Recon discussion

#21 Postby srainhoutx » Mon Sep 13, 2010 9:51 pm

I guess no concern about all those W winds earlier. :cheesy:
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Re: ATL: 92L - Recon discussion

#22 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 14, 2010 11:46 am

It looks like plane may find a TD when it reaches the center as west winds are at Hunduras.
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Re: Re:

#23 Postby plasticup » Tue Sep 14, 2010 11:53 am

HURAKAN wrote:
thetruesms wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:sounds like a waste of resources
Operationally, perhaps, but for a research project focused on tropical cyclogenesis, it's right up their alley 8-)


Could be. But not much cyclogenesis here!!

Ziiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiing! :cheesy:
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Re: ATL: 92L - Recon discussion

#24 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 14, 2010 12:01 pm

Hey,someone post the google graphics to see where the plane is.
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Re: ATL: 92L - Recon discussion

#25 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 14, 2010 1:08 pm

Plane is decending.
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Re: ATL: 92L - Recon discussion

#26 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Sep 14, 2010 2:20 pm

VDM soon...
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Re: ATL: 92L - Recon discussion

#27 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Sep 14, 2010 2:28 pm

Are the SMFR reduced to 90% on this mission?
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#28 Postby brunota2003 » Tue Sep 14, 2010 2:36 pm

No...the SMFR is not reduced at all. Those are surface estimates.
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#29 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Sep 14, 2010 2:37 pm

brunota2003 wrote:No...the SMFR is not reduced at all. Those are surface estimates.


Thnx
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#30 Postby brunota2003 » Wed Sep 15, 2010 1:14 am

Got a flight level wind of 53 knots and they are still north of the center...all the SMFR readings were flagged in the data set, but one was up to 48 knots.
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Re: ATL: KARL - Recon discussion

#31 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 15, 2010 1:23 am

57 kt FL, 996.5 mb pressure. Probably around 50 kts...
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Re: ATL: KARL - Recon discussion

#32 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 16, 2010 6:35 am

66kts at flight level on last set and has not reached center.I think the next set will reach it.
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#33 Postby KWT » Thu Sep 16, 2010 6:43 am

Yeah or just be short....but either way thats very high winds given the pressure, microwave suggests an eyewall already in place and Dvorak estimate of 5.0 does suggest this is probably a hurricane but we will see just how high it goes!
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Re: ATL: KARL - Recon discussion

#34 Postby cycloneye » Thu Sep 16, 2010 6:44 am

71 kts at flght level-985.3mbs
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#35 Postby KWT » Thu Sep 16, 2010 6:47 am

Very impressive wind speeds, gotta be close to hurricane status right now you'd have thought!
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#36 Postby brunota2003 » Thu Sep 16, 2010 6:59 am

71*90% = 63.9
71*85% = 60.35
71*80% = 56.8

Not sure which reduction to use.
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Re: ATL: KARL - Recon discussion

#37 Postby plasticup » Thu Sep 16, 2010 7:00 am

And recon definitely found an eye. Looks like I'm not the only one eating my wheaties this morning.
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Re:

#38 Postby P.K. » Thu Sep 16, 2010 7:03 am

brunota2003 wrote:71*90% = 63.9
71*85% = 60.35
71*80% = 56.8

Not sure which reduction to use.


0.8 from this height, so around 55kts.
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#39 Postby brunota2003 » Thu Sep 16, 2010 7:07 am

Thanks! Is there a chart somewhere giving the break downs? I never can remember what they are :lol:

SMFR did pick up a nonflagged wind of 57 knots, which for once lines up perfectly with the flight level reduction (56.8 for 80%). Perhaps they should bump it up to 60 knots, encase stronger winds were not sampled (only 3 knots higher from those already found). Even if it is not at 60 knots right now, I'm sure within a few passes it will have strengthened some.
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Re: ATL: KARL - Recon discussion

#40 Postby plasticup » Thu Sep 16, 2010 7:08 am

edit: Nevermind. Posting after the night-shift is bad news.
Last edited by plasticup on Thu Sep 16, 2010 7:10 am, edited 2 times in total.
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