ATL: LISA - Ex-Hurricane - Discussion

[cycloneye]

Hey peeps,Lisa will be again a Tropical Storm at 5 PM.

AL, 14, 2010092318, , BEST, 0, 175N, 286W, 35, 1004, TS

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest

[Evenstar]

Yay!

One question I have is, as I look at the blue map at the top of this page (yes, that's about as technical as am capable of), I see the track looks like it is going to pretty much go north with some west thrown in for good measure. Is that correct? What are the odds it will arc (I know, more newbie speak) south west, rather than north?

I'm going to stay tuned to Storm2k just in case I get lucky and my namesake actually does something interesting in the strengthening department. (Although as I said before, if she gets big, I want Lisa to be a fish. I am not a storm sadist.)

[Shuriken]

I'm having trouble visualizing where this killer knock-down westerly shear is supposed to be coming from which will (as forecast) allegedly snuff Lisa, or in spotting the impetus for projected NW movement.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/flash-wv.html

[HURAKAN]

Best Track ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest

Code: Select all

AL, 14, 2010092106,   , BEST,   0, 175N,  318W,  35, 1005, TS,  34, NEQ,   35,   35,    0,   20, 1010,  220,  35,  45,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       LISA, M,
AL, 14, 2010092112,   , BEST,   0, 177N,  317W,  40, 1002, TS,  34, NEQ,   35,   35,   25,   25, 1010,  220,  35,  50,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       LISA, M, 12, NEQ,  30,  30,   0,   0
AL, 14, 2010092118,   , BEST,   0, 178N,  315W,  40, 1002, TS,  34, NEQ,   35,   35,   35,   35, 1010,  220,  30,  50,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       LISA, M, 12, NEQ,  45,  45,  30,  30
AL, 14, 2010092200,   , BEST,   0, 176N,  313W,  40, 1002, TS,  34, NEQ,   40,   40,   40,   40, 1010,  220,  30,  50,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       LISA, M, 12, NEQ,  45,  45,  45,  45
AL, 14, 2010092206,   , BEST,   0, 173N,  309W,  40, 1002, TS,  34, NEQ,   40,   40,   40,   40, 1009,  220,  30,  50,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       LISA, M, 12, NEQ,  60,  60,  60,  60
AL, 14, 2010092212,   , BEST,   0, 173N,  304W,  40, 1002, TS,  34, NEQ,   40,   40,   40,   40, 1010,  250,  30,  50,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       LISA, M, 12, NEQ,  60,  60,  60,  60
AL, 14, 2010092218,   , BEST,   0, 174N,  300W,  35, 1003, TS,  34, NEQ,   40,   40,   40,   40, 1009,  300,  20,  50,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       LISA, M, 12, NEQ,  60,  60,  60,  60
AL, 14, 2010092300,   , BEST,   0, 175N,  296W,  35, 1004, TS,  34, NEQ,   40,   40,   40,   40, 1009,  300,  20,  50,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       LISA, M, 12, NEQ,  45,  45,  45,  45
AL, 14, 2010092306,   , BEST,   0, 175N,  293W,  35, 1004, TS,  34, NEQ,   40,   40,   40,   40, 1009,  275,  30,  45,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       LISA, M, 12, NEQ,  45,  45,  45,  45
AL, 14, 2010092312,   , BEST,   0, 174N,  288W,  35, 1004, TS,  34, NEQ,   40,   40,   40,   40, 1009,  200,  30,  40,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       LISA, M,
AL, 14, 2010092318,   , BEST,   0, 175N,  283W,  35, 1004, TS,  34, NEQ,   30,   30,   30,   30, 1009,  200,  30,  45,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       LISA, M, 12, NEQ,  30,  30,  30,  30
AL, 14, 2010092400,   , BEST,   0, 179N,  282W,  35, 1004, TS,  34, NEQ,   30,   30,   30,   30, 1010,  150,  30,   0,   0,   L,   0,    ,   0,   0,       LISA, M,


Seems like Lisa never weakened to tropical depression

[punkyg]

It is like Lisa hasn't made any forward progress since being upgraded to a tropical storm. why is that?

[HURAKAN]

It is like Lisa hasn't made any forward progress since being upgraded to a tropical storm. why is that?

The steering currents are very weak

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[HURAKAN]

Lisa is being Lenny-esque, going east when you're supposed to go west in these waters.

[HURAKAN]

AL, 14, 2010092412, , BEST, 0, 186N, 278W, 40, 1002, TS

stronger, 45 mph

[Cyclone1]

Wonder how far east she can get. Lisa is turning out to be kind of interesting,

[HURAKAN]

AL, 14, 2010092418, , BEST, 0, 197N, 278W, 50, 999, TS, 50, NEQ, 15, 15, 10, 15,


50 knots, 60 mph

GO LISA GO!!!

[ospreygrad]

Yeah, Lisa is hanging tough. She may have a chance to make it back to a low end cat 1 cane afterall.

[HURAKAN]

latest

[Evenstar]

Yay! I have been getting a lot of teasing using the word "blowhard". All I need is for Lisa to achieve cat. 1 for 30 seconds and I'll be able to . Go Lisa!

Thank you for watching her and keeping us updated. I am watching the various models and satellite stuff (that water vapor thing is gorgeous), but I can never make heads or tails of most of it. Which might explain why the other Lisa can't decide what she wants to be or where she wants to go....

Is her track pretty much certain?

Lisa

[HURAKAN]

Latest

[HURAKAN]

Is her track pretty much certain?

Mostly north

[cycloneye]

Lisa more stronger

SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 27.8W
ABOUT 370 MI...600 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES

[HURAKAN]

Like the NHC indicates, Lisa could be a little stronger than 50 knots

[supercane]

Latest microwave:

[HURAKAN]

An eye trying to peek out?