ATL: LISA - Ex-Hurricane - Discussion

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RL3AO
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#241 Postby RL3AO » Fri Sep 24, 2010 4:24 pm

Kinda looks like an eyewall on microwave.
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#242 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 24, 2010 4:30 pm

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#243 Postby HurricaneBelle » Fri Sep 24, 2010 6:00 pm

Make this HURRICANE Lisa. She's so special, she got a special advisory from NHC:

WTNT34 KNHC 242256
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE LISA SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142010
700 PM AST FRI SEP 24 2010

...LISA RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS INTO THE SEVENTH HURRICANE OF THE
SEASON...


SUMMARY OF 700 PM AST...2300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 27.8W
ABOUT 385 MI...615 KM NW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM AST...2300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LISA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 27.8 WEST. LISA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS
FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST EXPECTED BY LATE SATURDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LISA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING EXPECTED
BY SATURDAY NIGHT.

LISA IS A RATHER SMALL TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES...20 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
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Re: ATL: LISA - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#244 Postby Battlebrick » Fri Sep 24, 2010 6:00 pm

HURRICANE LISA!!!!

...LISA RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS INTO THE SEVENTH HURRICANE OF THE SEASON...
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The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#245 Postby Migle » Fri Sep 24, 2010 6:25 pm

Wow. Didn't see this one coming. Pretty far east for a Hurricane to.
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#246 Postby bob rulz » Fri Sep 24, 2010 6:27 pm

Migle wrote:Wow. Didn't see this one coming. Pretty far east for a Hurricane to.


Seems to be the standard for this year. One of these days conditions out there will be unfavorable.
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#247 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 24, 2010 6:30 pm

This is why you can't say anything is for sure to occur in the tropics because "never say never" applies bigtime. :)
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#248 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 24, 2010 6:36 pm

GO LISA GO!!!

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Little but powerful!
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#249 Postby lester » Fri Sep 24, 2010 6:44 pm

Did NOT see this coming. WOW
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#250 Postby plasticup » Fri Sep 24, 2010 6:48 pm

When I left a couple hours ago I thought she looked pretty good of a TS, but with the conditions as they are I did not expect that eye to pop out! Wow!
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#251 Postby Ptarmigan » Fri Sep 24, 2010 7:18 pm

Lisa came a long way. It comes to show that predicting intensity is very difficult. Julia and Lisa showed that. Also, Lisa is a very small storm.
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#252 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 24, 2010 7:35 pm

Image

Hurricane Lisa
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#253 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 24, 2010 7:36 pm

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#254 Postby superfly » Fri Sep 24, 2010 7:42 pm

pinhole eye, wow
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#255 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Sep 24, 2010 8:09 pm

Probably closer to a Cat 2 IMO.
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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#256 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 24, 2010 8:10 pm

00z Best Track

AL, 14, 2010092500, , BEST, 0, 203N, 278W, 70, 987, HU

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 010.invest
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#257 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Sep 24, 2010 8:17 pm

25/0000 UTC 20.4N 27.8W T4.0/3.5 LISA -- Atlantic

Now that is rare - stronger than the current intensity...
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#258 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 24, 2010 8:39 pm

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Re: ATL: LISA - Hurricane - Discussion

#259 Postby Ptarmigan » Fri Sep 24, 2010 8:57 pm

Lisa is a very small hurricane, so satellite estimates is going to be a bit trickier.
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#260 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Sep 24, 2010 9:09 pm

Image

Looks stronger than 70 knots
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