ATL: PAULA - Recon Discussion

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SouthFloridawx
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#61 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Oct 12, 2010 6:46 am

KWT wrote:When the next recon flight guys?

I'm guessing they are now on 12hr fixes...


Wish granted... :wink:

000
NOUS42 KNHC 101500
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1100 AM EDT SUN 10 OCTOBER 2010
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z OCTOBER 2010
TCPOD NUMBER.....10-131

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT SYSTEM (WESTERN CARIBBEAN)
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 11/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01HHA INVEST
C. 11/1400Z
D. 14.5N 82.5W
E. 11/1730Z TO 11/2130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT TWO -- TEAL 71
A. 12/0600Z
B. AFXXX 0218A CYCLONE
C. 12/0200Z
D. 16.0N 83.5W
E. 12/0500Z TO 12/0900Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: CONTINUE 12-HRLY FIXES IF
SYSTEM DEVELOPS.
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#62 Postby KWT » Tue Oct 12, 2010 8:29 am

Ah so recon will be leaving shortly then, thanks for that!
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#63 Postby KWT » Tue Oct 12, 2010 9:29 am

Recon flying towards the system right now...
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#64 Postby Evil Jeremy » Tue Oct 12, 2010 10:35 am

After cross referencing with previous flights, it seems that recon will reach the center of Paula around 12:50, but don't hold me to that lol.
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Recon Discussion

#65 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 12, 2010 11:29 am

Plane is decending.
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#66 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Oct 12, 2010 11:37 am

Wouldn't be surprised if they find a cat 2 hurricane. Impressive in the last few hours
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#67 Postby combellack » Tue Oct 12, 2010 12:10 pm

Looks like recon is finding 75-80 knot surface winds depending on the reduction they are using.
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Re:

#68 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Oct 12, 2010 12:13 pm

combellack wrote:Looks like recon is finding 75-80 knot surface winds depending on the reduction they are using.


They found surface winds of 90 kt.
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Recon Discussion

#69 Postby cycloneye » Tue Oct 12, 2010 12:14 pm

What is the reduction in this mission?
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Recon Discussion

#70 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Oct 12, 2010 12:15 pm

cycloneye wrote:What is the reduction in this mission?


80% at that level. The highest FL winds support 74 kt at the surface. (The SFMR is much higher though)
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Recon Discussion

#71 Postby drezee » Tue Oct 12, 2010 12:37 pm

Wow 27C...that center is cooking!!!
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#72 Postby SouthDadeFish » Tue Oct 12, 2010 1:20 pm

Eye temp decreased last pass through but pressure continues to fall. Also no remarks about a ragged eyewall this time.
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#73 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Oct 12, 2010 1:41 pm

Got to go, anyone can take over the HDOBs and graphics
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Recon Discussion

#74 Postby AdamFirst » Tue Oct 12, 2010 2:33 pm

EYE SHAPE CLOSER TO SQUARE THAN CIRCULAR

Reminds me of the train with square wheels...the island of misfit 'canes?
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Recon Discussion

#75 Postby mf_dolphin » Tue Oct 12, 2010 2:35 pm

AdamFirst wrote:EYE SHAPE CLOSER TO SQUARE THAN CIRCULAR

Reminds me of the train with square wheels...the island of misfit 'canes?


Don't think I've ever seen that comment in all the years I've been tracking these storms :-) We've gone from an 8 mile ragged eye to 10 mile circular to 12 mile square. Something for everyone :-)
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Recon Discussion

#76 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 13, 2010 11:09 am

So far in this mission, the shear is relentless,over 40kts. Lets see as the plane goes down in latitude,how is the shear.
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Recon Discussion

#77 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 13, 2010 11:37 am

Who wants to continue posting the obs?
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Re: ATL: PAULA - Recon Discussion

#78 Postby lester » Wed Oct 13, 2010 11:41 am

AdamFirst wrote:EYE SHAPE CLOSER TO SQUARE THAN CIRCULAR

Reminds me of the train with square wheels...the island of misfit 'canes?


It's hip to be a square ;)
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