ATL: RICHARD - Remnant Low - Discussion

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HurricaneQueen
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#881 Postby HurricaneQueen » Sun Oct 24, 2010 1:33 pm

May you, your family and friends be safe, BZStorm. We've been looking for you for a few days and wishing you well.

Lynn
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#882 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Oct 24, 2010 1:35 pm

Image

very impressive
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Re: ATL: RICHARD - Hurricane - Discussion

#883 Postby Sanibel » Sun Oct 24, 2010 1:38 pm

Can't wait to get reconnaissance pressure readings from the look of the convection.
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#884 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Sun Oct 24, 2010 1:40 pm

Visible imagery suggests this indeed may be at the cusp of Cat 2. Definitely has the fist look and eye is clearing out rapidly. RI has definitely been occurring today and we could have easily have had our 6th major of the season of this had just a little bit more time.
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Re: ATL: RICHARD - Hurricane - Discussion

#885 Postby Aquawind » Sun Oct 24, 2010 2:23 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: RICHARD - Hurricane - Discussion

#886 Postby Sanibel » Sun Oct 24, 2010 2:41 pm

Cloud tops warmed prior to landfall:



Image
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Re: ATL: RICHARD - Hurricane - Discussion

#887 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 24, 2010 2:48 pm

Does anyone wants to post the google graphics of the flight? I ask because the storm2k member that is in Belize (BZSTORM) wants to see how is going.

Note= I see is being posted now,thanks brunota.
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Re: ATL: RICHARD - Hurricane - Discussion

#888 Postby dwsqos2 » Sun Oct 24, 2010 2:52 pm

While my no 'cane call was a total bust, note that subjective t numbers from SAB were only around 4.0 at 1745Z. Granted, Richard is small, and it has been leading satellite intensity estimates for a while now, but I'm not so sure that it's a category 2.
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#889 Postby SouthDadeFish » Sun Oct 24, 2010 2:52 pm

I almost think he's going through an eyewall replacement cycle. You can see a larger outer eyewall on radar.
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Re: ATL: RICHARD - Hurricane - Discussion

#890 Postby TheDreamTraveler » Sun Oct 24, 2010 3:01 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:I almost think he's going through an eyewall replacement cycle. You can see a larger outer eyewall on radar.


I think it's just the eyewall trying to get its act together. Richard hasn't been a hurricane for too long. Normally hurricanes go through eyewall replacement cycles when they're much stronger.
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Re: ATL: RICHARD - Hurricane - Discussion

#891 Postby HurricaneStriker » Sun Oct 24, 2010 3:17 pm

TheDreamTraveler wrote:
SouthDadeFish wrote:I almost think he's going through an eyewall replacement cycle. You can see a larger outer eyewall on radar.


I think it's just the eyewall trying to get its act together. Richard hasn't been a hurricane for too long. Normally hurricanes go through eyewall replacement cycles when they're much stronger.


But did Alex earlier in the season undergo erc?
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Re: ATL: RICHARD - Hurricane - Discussion

#892 Postby Sanibel » Sun Oct 24, 2010 3:18 pm

First pass shows only category 1. 82Kts Flight Level - Estimated 67Kts surface.


Looks like Richard is the second storm of late in this area to show a Fist and not follow through with intensification.
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Re: ATL: RICHARD - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#893 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 24, 2010 3:20 pm

cycloneye wrote:
cycloneye wrote:Two web cams from Belize.Looks very windy in those areas.

Image

Image
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Re: ATL: RICHARD - Hurricane - Discussion

#894 Postby Aquawind » Sun Oct 24, 2010 3:23 pm

Image
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Re: ATL: RICHARD - Hurricane - Discussion

#895 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Oct 24, 2010 3:24 pm

Image

Latest
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Re: ATL: RICHARD - Hurricane - Discussion

#896 Postby Macrocane » Sun Oct 24, 2010 3:27 pm

WiInds have really picked up on those webcams. It seems that Richard is about to make its first landfall on those islands (I think they're Turneffe islands).
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Re: ATL: RICHARD - Hurricane - Discussion

#897 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 24, 2010 3:29 pm

Decoded first VDM:

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 24th day of the month at 20:15Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 306)
Storm Number & Year: 19L in 2010
Storm Name: Richard (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 10
Observation Number: 05
A. Time of Center Fix: 24th day of the month at 19:55:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 17°04'N 87°35'W (17.0667N 87.5833W) (View map)
B. Center Fix Location: 50 miles (80 km) to the SE (127°) from Belize City, Belize.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,270m (4,167ft) at 850mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 67kts (~ 77.1mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 9 nautical miles (10 statute miles) to the NE (46°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 139° at 82kts (From the SE at ~ 94.4mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 10 nautical miles (12 statute miles) to the NE (46°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 982mb (29.00 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,524m (5,000ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 21°C (70°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,521m (4,990ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 10°C (50°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Closed Wall
M. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 20 nautical miles (23 statute miles)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 850mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 2 nautical miles
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 82kts (~ 94.4mph) in the northeast quadrant at 19:51:50Z

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Re: ATL: RICHARD - Hurricane - Discussion

#898 Postby brunota2003 » Sun Oct 24, 2010 3:31 pm

Just as an FYI, that webcam has a wx station with it (visited their website)...here is the link to their wx station:
http://cayecaulkerweather.com/weatherda ... r-data.htm

Right now about 35 mph sustained, with gusts to 40...pressure 1008.1 mb and falling rapidly. Where is Caye Caulker at exactly?
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Re: ATL: RICHARD - Hurricane - Discussion

#899 Postby Macrocane » Sun Oct 24, 2010 3:35 pm

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Re: ATL: RICHARD - Hurricane - Discussion

#900 Postby cycloneye » Sun Oct 24, 2010 3:39 pm

Here it is.Very small island behind the larger one is where the cam is.

Image

Image
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