ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
Weatherfreak000

#101 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:21 am

Convection refiring, a few models did indeed develop this past 24 hours...we will see how it goes.


Looks like Invest 91L is soon to be as well.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 31
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#102 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:57 am

Image

Latest
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 31
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#103 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Oct 27, 2010 11:15 am

27/1145 UTC 26.8N 40.8W ST1.5 90L

no change
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 31
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#104 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Oct 27, 2010 11:27 am

Image

Latest
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricanehink
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1872
Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
Location: New Jersey

#105 Postby Hurricanehink » Wed Oct 27, 2010 12:52 pm

Back up to 30%
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 31
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#106 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Oct 27, 2010 1:37 pm

Image

Latest
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 31
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#107 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Oct 27, 2010 1:37 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED OCT 27 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE
NORTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE SURFACE CIRCULATION OF THIS SYSTEM
HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER DEFINED TODAY AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
COULD BECOME MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT REMAINS
NEARLY STATIONARY.


DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER-
LEVEL AND SURFACE TROUGH ARE LOCATED ABOUT 650 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST
OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD
BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE...AND
THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL
ATLANTIC ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR SOME
SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS
A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/KIMBERLAIN
0 likes   

Florida1118
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1760
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Jun 19, 2010 12:57 pm
Location: Tampa, Florida

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#108 Postby Florida1118 » Wed Oct 27, 2010 5:22 pm

Image

Nice Convection
0 likes   

Florida1118
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1760
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Jun 19, 2010 12:57 pm
Location: Tampa, Florida

#109 Postby Florida1118 » Wed Oct 27, 2010 6:37 pm

NEARLY-STATIONARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES
NORTHWEST OF THE NORTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW REMAIN DISPLACED WELL TO
THE EAST OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER DUE TO UNFAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS. DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...THE UPPER-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT
COULD BECOME MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND THERE IS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

Image
0 likes   

Weatherfreak000

#110 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Wed Oct 27, 2010 6:44 pm

I see this developing. As well as one of the other invests. 5 named storms in the month of October anyone? 8-)
0 likes   

Florida1118
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1760
Age: 21
Joined: Sat Jun 19, 2010 12:57 pm
Location: Tampa, Florida

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#111 Postby Florida1118 » Wed Oct 27, 2010 6:47 pm

If all 3 get names, we will only be 2 away from going Greek. Crazy.
0 likes   

User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9477
Age: 28
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

#112 Postby brunota2003 » Wed Oct 27, 2010 8:01 pm

Wow...looks like the Atlantic is trying to go out with a bang.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 31
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#113 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Oct 27, 2010 8:22 pm

Image

Latest
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 113633
Age: 62
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion

#114 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 27, 2010 8:23 pm

AL, 90, 2010102800, , BEST, 0, 269N, 409W, 30, 1008, LO
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Hurricanehink
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1872
Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
Location: New Jersey

#115 Postby Hurricanehink » Wed Oct 27, 2010 9:45 pm

Special TWO.

UPDATED...A NEARLY-STATIONARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT
1200 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE NORTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW HAS BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING...AND RECENT SATELLITE DATA INDICATE
THAT THE LOW IS PRODUCING WINDS TO GALE FORCE. ANY ADDITIONAL
INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION WOULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A
TROPICAL STORM.
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 113633
Age: 62
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re:

#116 Postby cycloneye » Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:03 pm

Hurricanehink wrote:Special TWO.

UPDATED...A NEARLY-STATIONARY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED ABOUT
1200 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE NORTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW HAS BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED THIS EVENING...AND RECENT SATELLITE DATA INDICATE
THAT THE LOW IS PRODUCING WINDS TO GALE FORCE. ANY ADDITIONAL
INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION WOULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A
TROPICAL STORM.
THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.


Image
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9477
Age: 28
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:

#117 Postby brunota2003 » Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:08 pm

Come on buddy! You can do it! You can do it alllll night longggg!
0 likes   

Weatherfreak000

#118 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:21 pm

Seems highly likely now that not only will we see one storm, we may see all three.



What is the record for most storms/ most active at once for october? We MUST be looking good now...
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurricanehink
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1872
Joined: Sun Nov 16, 2003 2:05 pm
Location: New Jersey

Re:

#119 Postby Hurricanehink » Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:27 pm

Weatherfreak000 wrote:Seems highly likely now that not only will we see one storm, we may see all three.



What is the record for most storms/ most active at once for october? We MUST be looking good now...


At 12z on October 9, 1990, Tropical Storm Klaus was located over the Bahamas (dissipated 6 hours later), a tropical depression was over Cuba (having just formed and would cause Klaus's dissipation), and the subtropical storm that later became Hurricane Lili was east of Bermuda. As far as I know, there was never an occasion of four storms at once in October.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 31
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#120 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:37 pm

Image

Latest
0 likes   


Return to “2010”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest