ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

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ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#1 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Oct 21, 2010 7:20 am

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182
WHXX01 KWBC 211213
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1213 UTC THU OCT 21 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL902010) 20101021 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        101021  1200   101022  0000   101022  1200   101023  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    10.0N  22.5W   10.8N  24.6W   11.5N  26.7W   12.4N  28.8W
BAMD    10.0N  22.5W   10.9N  24.4W   12.2N  26.3W   14.3N  28.2W
BAMM    10.0N  22.5W   10.9N  24.4W   12.0N  26.1W   13.4N  27.8W
LBAR    10.0N  22.5W   11.2N  24.3W   12.9N  26.0W   14.9N  27.6W
SHIP        20KTS          24KTS          30KTS          33KTS
DSHP        20KTS          24KTS          30KTS          33KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        101023  1200   101024  1200   101025  1200   101026  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.6N  31.0W   16.4N  35.2W   19.2N  38.5W   20.8N  41.4W
BAMD    17.0N  30.4W   23.0N  35.7W   25.2N  37.7W   25.7N  37.3W
BAMM    15.0N  29.6W   19.1N  33.7W   22.7N  36.6W   23.7N  38.1W
LBAR    17.2N  29.0W   20.8N  30.3W   21.1N  29.5W   19.8N  27.5W
SHIP        34KTS          26KTS          22KTS          20KTS
DSHP        34KTS          26KTS          22KTS          20KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  10.0N LONCUR =  22.5W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
LATM12 =   9.8N LONM12 =  20.5W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =   9.6N LONM24 =  18.5W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   90NM WNDM12 =   15KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
NNNN

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#2 Postby HURAKAN » Thu Oct 21, 2010 7:24 am

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#3 Postby KWT » Thu Oct 21, 2010 7:30 am

ECM develops this by 96hrs and takes it NW/NNW and eventually heads towards the Azores as a system becoming extratropical...
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Re: ATL : INVEST 90L : MODELS

#4 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 21, 2010 12:43 pm

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#5 Postby SouthDadeFish » Thu Oct 21, 2010 12:46 pm

CMCish should become a real word, like a synonym for bullish. It is bullish on everything. Would be cool to get a name out of this one 8-)
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Re:

#6 Postby AJC3 » Thu Oct 21, 2010 12:53 pm

SouthDadeFish wrote:CMCish should become a real word, like a synonym for bullish. It is bullish on everything. Would be cool to get a name out of this one 8-)


It has an alternative acronym: Constantly Makes Cyclones.
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Re: Re:

#7 Postby SouthDadeFish » Thu Oct 21, 2010 12:56 pm

AJC3 wrote:
SouthDadeFish wrote:CMCish should become a real word, like a synonym for bullish. It is bullish on everything. Would be cool to get a name out of this one 8-)


It has an alternative acronym: Constantly Makes Cyclones.


Oh I like it. We can use that acronym and make CMCish an adjective :D
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Re: ATL : INVEST 90L : MODELS

#8 Postby cycloneye » Thu Oct 21, 2010 1:19 pm

18z Tropical Models

Code: Select all

493
WHXX01 KWBC 211809
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1809 UTC THU OCT 21 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL902010) 20101021 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        101021  1800   101022  0600   101022  1800   101023  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    10.2N  23.5W   10.9N  25.4W   11.6N  27.3W   12.4N  29.3W
BAMD    10.2N  23.5W   11.2N  25.3W   12.6N  27.2W   14.8N  29.2W
BAMM    10.2N  23.5W   11.1N  25.2W   12.2N  26.8W   13.6N  28.3W
LBAR    10.2N  23.5W   11.4N  25.3W   13.2N  27.0W   15.3N  28.7W
SHIP        25KTS          32KTS          39KTS          41KTS
DSHP        25KTS          32KTS          39KTS          41KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        101023  1800   101024  1800   101025  1800   101026  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.3N  31.5W   15.7N  36.2W   17.8N  39.9W   19.2N  43.1W
BAMD    17.6N  31.9W   23.2N  36.9W   24.7N  38.5W   25.5N  38.6W
BAMM    15.1N  30.2W   19.2N  34.7W   22.2N  37.3W   23.1N  38.6W
LBAR    17.6N  30.3W   20.9N  31.7W   21.4N  31.3W   20.4N  29.0W
SHIP        40KTS          28KTS          23KTS          20KTS
DSHP        40KTS          28KTS          23KTS          20KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  10.2N LONCUR =  23.5W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
LATM12 =   9.9N LONM12 =  21.5W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =   9.7N LONM24 =  19.5W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   80NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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#9 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Oct 22, 2010 8:32 pm

Code: Select all

543
WHXX01 KWBC 230059
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0059 UTC SAT OCT 23 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL902010) 20101023 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        101023  0000   101023  1200   101024  0000   101024  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.5N  25.4W   17.1N  27.5W   18.5N  29.3W   19.8N  30.9W
BAMD    15.5N  25.4W   18.0N  26.1W   20.3N  25.8W   21.9N  24.8W
BAMM    15.5N  25.4W   17.5N  26.2W   19.2N  26.7W   20.5N  27.2W
LBAR    15.5N  25.4W   18.1N  25.8W   19.9N  25.9W   20.7N  25.4W
SHIP        25KTS          25KTS          26KTS          22KTS
DSHP        25KTS          25KTS          26KTS          22KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        101025  0000   101026  0000   101027  0000   101028  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.1N  32.6W   23.4N  34.7W   24.8N  36.6W   25.8N  39.0W
BAMD    22.5N  23.6W   21.1N  22.2W   20.6N  22.4W   21.8N  22.8W
BAMM    21.8N  27.9W   23.3N  28.7W   23.5N  30.0W   23.9N  32.0W
LBAR    20.9N  24.7W   21.5N  23.0W   22.6N  22.7W   24.4N  22.5W
SHIP        17KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP        17KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.5N LONCUR =  25.4W DIRCUR = 345DEG SPDCUR =  15KT
LATM12 =  12.6N LONM12 =  24.5W DIRM12 = 337DEG SPDM12 =  12KT
LATM24 =  10.5N LONM24 =  24.0W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   90NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  225NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
NNNN


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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#10 Postby cycloneye » Mon Oct 25, 2010 2:01 pm

18z Tropical Models

Code: Select all

WHXX01 KWBC 251844
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1844 UTC MON OCT 25 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL902010) 20101025 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        101025  1800   101026  0600   101026  1800   101027  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    24.3N  39.8W   25.2N  41.0W   25.9N  42.1W   26.6N  43.3W
BAMD    24.3N  39.8W   25.3N  40.7W   26.4N  41.5W   27.7N  42.0W
BAMM    24.3N  39.8W   25.1N  40.9W   26.0N  41.9W   26.8N  42.8W
LBAR    24.3N  39.8W   26.1N  40.7W   27.9N  41.3W   29.9N  41.5W
SHIP        30KTS          34KTS          41KTS          46KTS
DSHP        30KTS          34KTS          41KTS          46KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        101027  1800   101028  1800   101029  1800   101030  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    27.3N  44.6W   27.9N  48.0W   29.5N  51.1W   34.5N  51.1W
BAMD    29.0N  42.5W   29.3N  43.4W   29.3N  45.5W   30.5N  46.5W
BAMM    27.7N  43.7W   28.3N  46.0W   29.1N  48.7W   32.7N  50.2W
LBAR    31.7N  40.9W   34.0N  35.6W   32.8N  32.1W   32.2N  35.1W
SHIP        50KTS          55KTS          53KTS          51KTS
DSHP        50KTS          55KTS          53KTS          51KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  24.3N LONCUR =  39.8W DIRCUR = 320DEG SPDCUR =  13KT
LATM12 =  22.3N LONM12 =  38.0W DIRM12 = 318DEG SPDM12 =  13KT
LATM24 =  20.6N LONM24 =  35.8W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =  150NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  250NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#11 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Oct 26, 2010 7:14 am

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364
WHXX01 KWBC 260647
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0647 UTC TUE OCT 26 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL902010) 20101026 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        101026  0600   101026  1800   101027  0600   101027  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    25.8N  40.4W   26.5N  41.5W   27.2N  42.6W   27.7N  43.8W
BAMD    25.8N  40.4W   27.0N  41.1W   28.1N  41.4W   29.2N  41.5W
BAMM    25.8N  40.4W   26.6N  41.3W   27.3N  41.9W   28.1N  42.5W
LBAR    25.8N  40.4W   27.4N  40.6W   29.2N  40.6W   30.7N  40.2W
SHIP        35KTS          41KTS          46KTS          50KTS
DSHP        35KTS          41KTS          46KTS          50KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        101028  0600   101029  0600   101030  0600   101031  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    27.8N  45.3W   27.6N  48.6W   28.8N  51.0W   32.3N  50.9W
BAMD    29.8N  40.9W   29.4N  41.4W   30.4N  44.4W   34.5N  44.9W
BAMM    28.3N  43.0W   28.1N  44.9W   29.0N  47.5W   32.5N  48.1W
LBAR    32.1N  38.8W   33.1N  33.2W   32.0N  31.9W   31.4N  36.4W
SHIP        52KTS          53KTS          48KTS          43KTS
DSHP        52KTS          53KTS          48KTS          43KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  25.8N LONCUR =  40.4W DIRCUR = 340DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  24.3N LONM12 =  39.8W DIRM12 = 330DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  22.3N LONM24 =  38.0W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =  120NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =  150NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
NNNN


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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Models

#12 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Oct 26, 2010 11:12 am

Code: Select all

876
WHXX01 KWBC 261251
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1251 UTC TUE OCT 26 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL902010) 20101026 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        101026  1200   101027  0000   101027  1200   101028  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    25.5N  40.4W   26.4N  41.2W   27.2N  42.2W   27.7N  43.2W
BAMD    25.5N  40.4W   26.7N  40.7W   28.0N  40.7W   29.1N  40.3W
BAMM    25.5N  40.4W   26.4N  41.0W   27.3N  41.5W   27.9N  41.8W
LBAR    25.5N  40.4W   26.9N  40.3W   28.3N  40.2W   29.6N  39.8W
SHIP        35KTS          40KTS          45KTS          47KTS
DSHP        35KTS          40KTS          45KTS          47KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        101028  1200   101029  1200   101030  1200   101031  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    27.5N  44.3W   27.1N  46.9W   28.0N  48.8W   30.4N  49.5W
BAMD    29.3N  39.2W   29.0N  40.5W   30.8N  43.3W   34.6N  43.3W
BAMM    27.8N  42.0W   27.5N  44.1W   28.9N  46.8W   32.2N  47.3W
LBAR    30.6N  38.6W   31.3N  35.6W   32.9N  37.0W   35.3N  39.3W
SHIP        50KTS          54KTS          49KTS          43KTS
DSHP        50KTS          54KTS          49KTS          43KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  25.5N LONCUR =  40.4W DIRCUR =   0DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  24.8N LONM12 =  40.0W DIRM12 = 324DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
LATM24 =  23.3N LONM24 =  38.9W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =  120NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =  150NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM


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