ATL : EX TOMAS - Discussion

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#1801 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Nov 06, 2010 8:18 am

130230 2234N 07013W 6961 03141 0021 +096 +066 202065 069 039 009 00

69 knots FL
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#1802 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Nov 06, 2010 8:29 am

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#1803 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Nov 06, 2010 9:16 am

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pretty impressive ... Tomás holding on
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#1804 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Nov 06, 2010 9:56 am

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Tomás is leaving land behind and entering the open Atlantic
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#1805 Postby KWT » Sat Nov 06, 2010 9:58 am

If anything the actual structure is improving again right now, the eyewall is weakening mind you which is probably a hint of things to come, may well be a hurricane again right now...
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#1806 Postby Ntxw » Sat Nov 06, 2010 10:17 am

At this stage reminds me a lot of Shary with his current look. Had enough swirl to be a Hurricane and was firmly connected to a trough with a very similar look, but quickly died as it raced northeast.

Shary

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Tomas

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#1807 Postby plasticup » Sat Nov 06, 2010 11:08 am

It's pretty neat how the core is tropical but the northern side has completely merged into the cold front.
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Re: ATL : TOMAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1808 Postby emeraldislencguy » Sat Nov 06, 2010 11:21 am

it has been an amazing storm
a lot of people were saying yesterday it would be non tropical by now
thank goodness this did not happen in september
the damage was bad enough for a oct-nov storm
just think of how bad it could have been in sept or early oct
the people of Haiti have been through so much
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#1809 Postby Gustywind » Sat Nov 06, 2010 11:23 am

000
WTNT31 KNHC 061444
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM TOMAS ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
1100 AM EDT SAT NOV 06 2010

...TOMAS MOVING INTO THE OPEN ATLANTIC...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS
DISCONTINUED...

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 70.6W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM NNE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...991 MB...29.26 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS.

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM TOMAS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.6 WEST. TOMAS IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A NORTHEASTWARD
OR NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO...WITH A TURN TOWARD THE EAST
EXPECTED BY MONDAY. THE CENTER OF TOMAS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY
FROM THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS THIS MORNING.

REPORTS FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM THE HURRICANE
HUNTER DATA IS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TOMAS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE TURKS AND
CAICOS ISLANDS.

WIND...WINDS OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS AND THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD DIMINISH TODAY.

STORM SURGE...STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
SHOULD DIMINISH TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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#1810 Postby Gustywind » Sat Nov 06, 2010 11:23 am

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#1811 Postby Gustywind » Sat Nov 06, 2010 11:27 am

Tomas hurricane made seven dead in Haiti, which escapes the worst
REUTERS 06.11.2010
:rarrow: http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... -91383.php

Photo taken on November 5, 2010 / Eduardo Munoz
by Matthew Bigg
PORT - AU-PRINCE (Reuters) - Hurricane Tomas, again Saturday a tropical storm has made at least seven dead passing over of Haiti where heavy rains have caused flooding and landslides which have not reached the extent dreaded by the authorities.
In his latest newsletter, published Saturday to 10 h 00 GMT cyclonic eve of Miami (NHC) American Centre indicated that the eye of the storm was over the Turks and Caicos, North of Haiti.
Gusts of wind that accompany it have lost their power, at 110 km/h. Tomas expected to weaken in the coming days.
Haiti, presents to the catastrophic earthquake of January and the fight against an epidemic of cholera, the authorities considered that the hardest was passed. Heavy rains remain however provided on certain parts of the territory, as well as Dominican Republic in the Bahamas and Puerto Rico.
"Now that, relatively speaking, Haiti has escaped the danger, we must remain vigilant", said Friday night Haitian President René Préval.
Four people were killed in the province of Grande Anse (South-West), both in the southern province and one Bell Cove (Southeast), said the Director of emergency preparedness, Alta Jean-Baptiste. The Cayes, Jacmel Leograne, coastal towns were flooding theatre.
A Port - Port-au-Prince, the capital, hundreds of thousands of refugees still live in overcrowded camps since the earthquake, spent the night under the showers under precarious shelters and canvas camps.
Thursday, President Préval intervened on national radio wave invite his compatriots take precautions and follow instructions for evacuation to escape the gusts of wind, the surf and torrential rains.
All schools in the island had been closed since Thursday precautionary.
"We were incredibly fortunate", said Imogen Wall, spokesperson of Haiti UN humanitarian operations.
United Nations fear however that the passage of Tomas worsening in the coming days cholera epidemic which, according to an official assessment of the Government has already been 442 deaths and contaminated more than 6,700 people.
With Joseph Guyler Delva Port - au-Prince, Horace Helps to Kingston, Kevin Gray and Jane Sutton in Miami, Henri-Pierre André for the French service
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#1812 Postby Gustywind » Sat Nov 06, 2010 11:34 am

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#1813 Postby Gustywind » Sat Nov 06, 2010 11:46 am

Always impressive :eek: but hopefully less than what i had thought :) and that's the good news. Stay safe and dry my carib friends from Haiti. Thanks Lord!
Portfolio
In Haiti, "it has escaped the danger" after the passage of Hurricane Tomas DOCBOOK | 06.11.10 | 11 h 58 • updated the 06.11.10 | 13 h 09
View Thumbnails
:rarrow: http://www.microsofttranslator.com/bv.a ... _3222.html
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Re: ATL : TOMAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1814 Postby apocalypt-flyer » Sat Nov 06, 2010 11:51 am

Haiti truly dodged a bullet there. I mean, it's awful that there are casualties but let's be real, this could've been far more disastrous.
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#1815 Postby TheEuropean » Sat Nov 06, 2010 5:46 pm

recon found central pressure of 981.8 mb
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#1816 Postby TheEuropean » Sat Nov 06, 2010 5:55 pm

79 kt at flight level, 64 kt at surface

This would make Tomas a hurricane again - did anyone expect this?
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Re: ATL : TOMAS - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1817 Postby Macrocane » Sat Nov 06, 2010 6:06 pm

:eek: Wow, Tomas is full of surprises, for sure if is one of the most "disobedient" systems of the season.
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#1818 Postby brunota2003 » Sat Nov 06, 2010 6:08 pm

981? Surely would think that is an error by the sensor, but perhaps a dropsonde would say otherwise...that would be a pressure drop of over 10 millibars in what? Less than 6 to 12 hours?
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#1819 Postby HurricaneBelle » Sat Nov 06, 2010 6:11 pm

It's official - call him Hurricane Tomas again:

WTNT61 KNHC 062308
TCUAT1
HURRICANE TOMAS TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
715 PM AST SAT NOV 06 2010

...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATES THAT TOMAS HAS REGAINED
HURRICANE STRENGTH...

SHORTLY BEFORE 700 PM AST...2300 UTC...A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATED THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN
TOMAS HAVE INCREASED TO 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...MAKING TOMAS A
HURRICANE AGAIN. DETAILS WILL FOLLOW IN A SPECIAL ADVISORY TO BE
ISSUED BY 800 PM AST...0000 UTC.
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#1820 Postby HURAKAN » Sat Nov 06, 2010 6:12 pm

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